DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 5/5/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 5/5/21 Welcome back baseball fans. We have a few afternoon games today but we will be focusing our attention on the 11-game main slate looking at some core plays at each position for FanDuel and DraftKings. Let's get started. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Shane Bieber FD - P 12200 DK - SP 10400 Opponent - KC (Brady Singer) Park - KC FD - 47.33 DK - 26.92 What an absolutely loaded main slate in terms of pitching tonight with three elite options right at the top. You really can't go wrong with either of them but the system has a clear favorite and it's Shane "don't call me Justin" Bieber who is projected for about 15% more than Darvish in the same price range. Bieber has also been one of the best pitchers in baseball to this point in the season as he comes in with a 2.76 ERA/2.34 xFIP and has double-digit strikeouts in five of six starts for an incredible 39.5% K rate. My only concern here is the matchup as the Royals have only struck out around 21% of the time on the season but I am not concerned as Bieber struck out 12 Royals in their first meeting in early April. Fire up Bieber in all formats. Martin Pérez FD - P 6700 DK - SP 6600 Opponent - DET (Casey Mize) Park - BOS FD - 33.99 DK - 17.12 First of all, on DraftKings, I really don't mind pairing Buehler with Bieber as it only takes us slightly over $20K but it leaves us searching for multiple punt plays to tier it all together. This build may look better closer to lock when lineups come out but for now, I will be looking for a value SP2, at least in cash games. Martin Perez doesn't stand out on his own merit here as he enters his sixth start with a 4.70 ERA and his high walk rate(8.5%) has not helped him get deep into games. What I do like is the price(obviously) but more importantly, the matchup vs. the Tigers who rank dead last in wOBA(.261), wRC+(67), and K rate(31%) on the season. Making it even more enticing is that they have an embarrassing 33 wRC+ and 38% K rate vs. left-handed pitching. This alone puts Perez, who is also a -190 favorite, at the top of my PTS/$ value list tonight. Catcher/First Base Ryan Zimmerman FD - 1B...
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Wells Fargo Championship
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Wells Fargo Championship Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! The Course Quail Hollow Club Par 71 - 7,600 Yards Greens - Bermuda **Click the image above to see a hole by hole breakdown from PGATour.com** Previous Five Winners 2019 - Max Homa(-15) 2018 - Jason Day(-12) 2016 - James Hahn(-9) 2015 - Rory McIlroy(-21) 2014 - J.B. Holmes(-14) This week the PGA Tour heads back to Quail Hollow Club for the Wells Fargo Championship for the first time since 2019 after last years event was canceled due to the pandemic. A very strong field including seven of the Top 10 in the World will take on the beast that is Quail Hollow Club. It has ranked Top 10 hardest courses on Tour(including majors) in three straight and four of the last five times it has hosted this event. I say that because in 2017 it was Eagle Point hosting the event while Quail Hollow prepared for the PGA Championship. The first thing that jumps off the page when looking at the Par 71 setup is the 7,600 yards listed on the scorecard meaning you best be wearing your big boy pants this week if you seek to contend. Looking at the last two Wells Fargo Championships(2019, 2018) only two players who finished Top 10 averaged under 300 yards off the tee, and those who finished Top 5 averaged just over 312 yards off the tee. When breaking down Strokes Gained: Ball Striking, Driving Distance is right up there this week. Not only do you need to be long off the tee but you better be good with the long irons as well with three of the four Par 3's coming in over 200 yards including the monster 249 yard 6th hole. That leads into some of the hardest Par 4's on Tour with eight over 450 yards, five over 480 yards, and three over 500!! Strokes...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 5/4/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 5/4/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Jacob deGrom FD - P 12500 DK - SP 11100 Opponent - STL (Johan Oviedo) Park - STL FD - 47.43 DK - 27.25 Anytime deGOAT takes the mound the slate is centered around him as he is putting up absolutely insane numbers. He has gone at least six innings in all five starts while limiting opponents to three or fewer hits in four of five, has allowed just two earned runs all season, and has a 59:4 strikeout to walk ratio. Looking at the stats, the matchup is average as the Cards sit with a 92 wRC+ on the season but do produce runs 16% less against right-handed pitching which is just more confirmation deGrom is the top pitcher in all formats. Huascar Ynoa FD - P 8000 DK - SP 8200 Opponent - WSH (Joe Ross) Park - WSH FD - 32.38 DK - 17.23 I have been on Ynoa through this whole price climb on DraftKings and I still feel he is a bit underpriced based on the underlying stats. He has gone five innings or more in four of his five starts and limited the opponent to four or fewer hits and two or fewer earned runs in all four. Not only has he been consistent, but he has also flashed a ton of upside with a 32% K rate backed up by a 14.6% swinging-strike rate. The Nats aren't a great matchup but it is a huge upgrade with no Soto and have one of the biggest split differentials in the league with a 136 wRC+ vs. lefties and a 76 wRC+ vs. righties. At these prices, he is in play in all formats on both sites. Catcher/First Base Eric Hosmer FD - 1B 3300 DK - 1B 4600 Opponent - PIT (Mitch Keller) Park - SD FD - 10.23 DK - 7.77 The Padres are my top team to target on tonight's slate in a plus matchup vs. the struggling Mitch Keller. Over five starts, he has already given up 24 hits and 13 walks for a 1.98 WHIP and has been punished with 17 earned runs and a 50% hard contact rate(via statcast). For Hosmer, he has been consistent getting on base lately with hits in eight of his last 11 games with six walks but hasn't provided any power with a .000 ISO in that time. I am willing to somewhat dismiss...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 4/30/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 4/30/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Gerrit Cole FD - P 12200 DK - SP 10500 Opponent - DET (Tarik Skubal) Park - NYY FD - 51.91 DK - 29.12 We have three aces up top tonight but it's Gerrit Cole that stands out as the top play as he checks every box starting with the fact the Yankees are huge -340 favorites. He also comes into tonight with a better ERA(1.71), xFIP(2.07), WHIP(.73), and K rate(42%) than Shane Bieber who is also having a great start to the season. The kicker here for me is that he gets a much better matchup against the Tigers who rank 29th in wRC+(79) on the season while striking out 29% of the time, 31% over the last seven days. Cole is my top pitcher in all formats. Brady Singer FD - P 8400 DK - SP 7000 Opponent - MIN (Michael Pineda) Park - MIN FD - 31.11 DK - 15.89 To fit Cole or Bieber no DraftKings without sacrificing a ton of bats we have to take some risks with a value arm. For me, that arm is Brady Singer of the Royals who has massively out-performed this price tag since that dud against to start the year. In three starts since he has allowed just 12 hits and two earned in 18 innings while striking out 20(29%) and walking just three. The matchup may seem a bit scary but the Twins are just league average overall, against righties, and have lost eight of their last 10 games while scoring just 3.6 runs per game. All things considered, Singer is my top PTS/$ value play on DraftKings and paired with Cole leaves you a comfortable average salary of just over $4K. Also Consider: Andrew Heaney(LAA) as a top value SP2 on DraftKings under $7K and has been great lately allowing just seven hits and three earned runs over his last three starts with 25 strikeouts. Catcher/First Base Nate Lowe FD - 1B 3200 DK - 1B 3900 Opponent - BOS (Nathan Eovaldi) Park - TEX FD - 8.89 DK - 6.73 With matchups and some of the prices of the top-tier players, I will be taking a bit more of a value approach to the first base position tonight. It starts with Nate Lowe who has been red-hot lately with hits in five straight and nine of his last 11 games with five multi-hit efforts and he...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 4/28/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 4/28/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Happy Hump Day baseball fans. We have games scattered throughout the day but for this article, I will be looking at my top picks at each position for the 10-game main slate on FanDuel and DraftKings. Let's get started. Pitchers Tyler Glasnow FD - P 10800 DK - SP 10300 Opponent - OAK (Cole Irvin) Park - TB FD - 37.73 DK - 20.91 Carlos Rodón FD - P 11000 DK - SP 9800 Opponent - DET (Casey Mize) Park - CHW FD - 41.13 DK - 22.21 A very strong case can be made for both ace pitchers tonight and on DraftKings, there are enough value bats to pair them together which gets us just $100 over my SP budget. Let's start with Glasnow who is coming off a rough start vs. the Jays giving up five earned runs but the good news is that he ended up striking out 10 pushing his K rate up to 39.7% for the season backed up by a 16% swinging-strike rate. The matchup is not ideal against the A's who are a Top 10 offense but getting an elite pitcher under $11K on either site always feels like a buy-low opportunity. For Rodon, he followed up that amazing no-hitter with a three-hit performance against Cleveland and while he walked five he was able to get out of trouble striking out eight and giving up just one earned run. There is most definitely some regression coming as he has a very low .105 BABIP against but hard to argue the matchup tonight as he faces a Tigers team that ranks dead last against lefties with a .225 wOBA, 42 wRC+ and 34% K rate. Huascar Ynoa FD - P 7900 DK - SP 7800 Opponent - CHC (Kyle Hendricks) Park - ATL FD - 34.5 DK - 18.5 This is a very interesting play in that all the numbers tell us Ynoa has been good with a 3.68 ERA and even better 2.86 xFIP but got lit up by these Cubs just 10 days ago. I am not overall concerned for a couple of reasons starting with the price and the fact he has limited teams to just three earned runs over his other three starts. If you are not paying gup for both pitchers on DraftKings tonight, Ynoa is my top value SP2 option. Catcher/First Base Freddie Freeman FD - 1B 3900 DK...