Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Rocket Mortgage Classic
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Rocket Mortgage Classic Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! The Course Detroit Golf Club Par 72 - 7,340 Yards Greens - Bent/Poa Previous Winners 2020 - Bryson DeChambeau(-23) 2019 - Nate Lashley(-25) This week the PGA Tour heads back to Detroit Golf Club for a third straight year for the Rocket Mortgage Classic. It is a weaker field overall and top-loaded with Bryson DeChambeau(#6) and Patrick Reed(#9) the only two Top 10 players in the World rankings teeing it up this week. The course is a classic tree-lined Donald Ross design that forces a lot of shot-making with a pretty even split of doglegs to the left and right. While we were mostly guessing at correlated stats over the last two years, we finally have a nice accumulation of stats to look at. The first thing that stands out is Par 4 scoring which has had a very high correlation to finishing position both years(relative to other courses). On top of that, Strokes Gained: Approach had a higher correlation than Off the Tee when looking at Ball Striking. Add in the winning score in the -20's both years and I am leaning heavily on SG: Approach, Par 4 scoring, and Birdie or Better % in my model this week. With that said, let's jump in and look at a few core plays in my player pool this week. Top Tier Targets Bryson DeChambeau World Golf Ranking (#6) Vegas Odds (7.5/1) Draftkings ($11,400) FanDuel ($12,200) I am not thrilled about the top tier outside of Bryson and Patrick Reed so that is where I will be loading up this week. Let's start with Bryson who used a combination of his length(+6.7 strokes off the tee) and a hot putter(+7.8 strokes) to win the event with a winning score of -23. He hasn't posted a Top 10 in almost two months but is more than due considering the...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 6/29/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 6/29/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Brandon Woodruff FD - P 11400 DK - SP 11000 Opponent - CHC (Zach Davies) Park - MIL FD - 38.06 DK - 21.26 The Cubs run into an absolute buzzsaw this series facing the Brewers top pitching and they face arguably the best of the bunch in Woodruff tonight. He has been one of the best pitchers in baseball on the season with the 3rd best ERA(1.89) and xFIP(2.81) among qualified pitchers. He just doesn't give up a ton of contact or walk many batters(.76 WHIP) giving him a high floor and also provides a ton of upside with a 31% K rate facing a Cubs team that has struck out over 30% of the time over the past few weeks. Easily my top pitcher in all formats on this slate. Jose Urquidy FD - P 9500 DK - SP 9900 Opponent - BAL (Undecided) Park - HOU FD - 36.65 DK - 19.11 The price is on the rise but it's most definitely warranted as Urquidy has been terrific since returning from injury going 3-1 with a 3.45 ERA/3.50 xFIP and has seen the K #'s rise substantially since the start of the season. He now gets an elite matchup against a struggling Orioles team that has dropped 16 of their last 18 games while scoring just an average 3.1 runs per game and striking out 27% of the time. With a larger slate and tons of value bats, it won't be hard to pair Urquidy with another top pitcher making him my favorite SP2 on this slate and is close to my favorite PTS/$ option on FanDuel. Catcher/First Base Yuli Gurriel FD - 1B 3000 DK - 1B 5300 Opponent - BAL (Undecided) Park - HOU FD - 13.52 DK - 9.85 First article of the week for me so of course, I am going to start off with one of my favorite DFS plays this season in Yuli Gurriel. He has been great all season(.333/.396/.517 slash) and it's also hard to ignore the short-term as he went into Monday night's game hitting .386 in June with a .406 wOBA and 164 wRC+. DraftKings is catching up in terms of pricing but he is still 7th in pricing but the real value lies on FanDuel where he is still $3K. I will have exposure in all formats. Nate Lowe FD - 1B 2700 DK - 1B 4200...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 6/25/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 6/25/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Carlos Rodón FD - P 11200 DK - SP 10700 Opponent - SEA (Yusei Kikuchi) Park - CHW FD - 35.08 DK - 18.82 While Jacob deGrom is sort of running away with the National League Cy Young at this point, the race is much closer in the American League and Rodon has been near the front since the start of the season. It has been a spectacular comeback story that includes a no-hitter(near perfect game) and he enters the night having held opponents to one or fewer earned runs in 10 of his 12 starts. A lot of the success comes on the back of an elite fastball/slider combination that he throws 82% of the time and helped him to a career-high 36.6% K rate. The prices are near season high's but he gets an elite matchup vs. a bottom 5 offense so fire him up in all formats. Chris Paddack FD - P 8500 DK - SP 8800 Opponent - ARI (Corbin Martin) Park - SD FD - 34.42 DK - 18.56 After a rocky April, Paddack has really started to come into form posting a 3.35 ERA and even better 3.24 xFIP over his last eight starts. What really stands out is the K upside he has provided lately with six or more strikeouts in four straight starts including 20 over his last two starts. He now gets an elite matchup vs. a struggling(to put it kindly) D-backs team that has posted a league-worst .280 wOBA, 75 wRC+, and .119 ISO since the start of May while only winning five(5!!) games. Paddack is my favorite SP2 on DraftKings and a nice GPP pivot play on FanDuel tonight. Also Consider: Alek Manoah(TOR) in a plus matchup vs. the Orioles if he starts. He is still waiting on his appeal decision after hitting Franco in his last meeting with the O's Catcher/First Base Yuli Gurriel FD - 1B 3300 DK - 1B 5000 Opponent - DET (Wily Peralta) Park - DET FD - 15.3 DK - 11.73 It is going to be really hard not to go back to the Astros once again and I don't think we can fade them at this point until they really cool down or get priced out of the park. Gurriel has seen his price go up slowly and finally hit $5K on DraftKings but he is having a better season than Jose...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 6/23/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 6/23/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Early Brandon Woodruff FD - P 10700 DK - SP 10300 Opponent - ARI (Caleb Smith) Park - ARI FD - 40.98 DK - 23.2 As well as Kevin Gausman has pitched this season, the decision at top pitcher on this slate is pretty easy here. To start with, Woodruff gets the much better matchup against the D-backs who are among the worst offenses in the league and much worse against right-handed pitching. For Woodruff, he is coming off his worst start of the season but it was in Coors and before that he had held opponents to just 11 earned runs over his previous 12 starts. All things considered, Woodruff is my top pitcher in all formats on the early slate. Also Consider: Dylan Cease(CHW) in a plus matchup against the Pirates Main Jose Urquidy FD - P 8500 DK - SP 8100 Opponent - BAL (Thomas Eshelman) Park - BAL FD - 32.46 DK - 16.92 The main slate is a much tougher decision at pitcher tonight with Bauer and Musgrove going head to head and add in Trevor Rogers and all three top pitchers have pretty terrible matchups. I will bypass those guys in cash and head down the board a bit with Jose Urquidy who is a -200 favorite tonight against the Orioles. The K upside(22%) or lack thereof is a bit of an issue but the price is low enough that we can deal with it an on DK we are looking for about 16 points and he has tallied 15 or more in six of his last seven starts with 22 or more in three of his last four. All things considered, I love the PTS/$ value here making him my fav pitcher for cash games on the main slate. Catcher/First Base Early Paul Goldschmidt FD - 1B 3900 DK - 1B 5000 Opponent - DET (Matt Manning) Park - DET FD - 11.6 DK - 8.72 After a slow start to the season, Goldy has really started to heat up hitting over .300 in the month of June with an elite .392 wOBA and 153 wRC+. With it, however, is a huge spike in price but it is also slightly relative to the size of this early slate. The Cards sit right behind the White Sox in terms of implied runs and goldy is my favorite play at first in all formats. Main...
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Travelers Championship
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Travelers Championship Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! The Course TPC River Highlands Par 70 - 6,841 Yards Greens - Bent/Poa Previous Five Winners 2020 - Dustin Johnson(-19) 2019 - Chez Reavie(-17) 2018 - Bubba Watson(-17) 2017 - Jordan Spieth(-12) 2016 - Russell Knox(-14) After another incredible Major Championship that went right down to the wire, it was Jon Rahm taking home the hardware for his first Major win. Outside of Tiger who is just on his own level in terms of Torrey Pines, there is not another golfer with closer ties to the venue. Not only did Rahm pick up his first career win here back in 2015, but he also proposed to his wife here and now won a U.S. Open here. Adding to it is the karma surrounding Rahm after holding a six-stroke lead after round 3 at the Memorial but having to WD due to a Covid test. All in all, it was a spectacular week and we now move on and prepare for the upcoming and final major of the season, the OPEN Championship. Before we get ahead of ourselves, the PGA Tour heads to TPC River Highlands for the Travelers Championship this week. Considering the event is following a major, we have a fairly strong field including five of the Top 10(DJ, Bryson, Cantlay, Brooks, Reed) and 24 of the Top 50 players in the world teeing it up this week. This week will most definitely be playing differently than the U.S. Open that played very tough with a winning score of -6 while the Travelers Championship winner has averaged -16 over the last five years. It shows in the stats as TPC River Highlands has seen an average driving accuracy close to 70% and the average GIR rate over 70% when looking at the last five years. When breaking down ball striking, which is always at the top of...