Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Shriners Children’s Open
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Shriners Children's Open Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! The Course **Click the image above to see a hole by hole breakdown from PGATour.com** Previous Five Winners(by season) 2021 - Martin Laird(-27) 2020 - Kevin Na(-23) 2019 - Bryson DeChambeau(-21) 2018 - Patrick Cantlay(-9) 2017 - Rod Pampling(-20) Top Stats in the Model Strokes Gained: Approach Proximity(target distance varies depending on golfer) Birdie or Better % Opportunities Gained Strokes Gained: Putting on Bentgrass When breaking down the top stats I use a combination of my own cheatsheet and the tools over at FantasyNational.com. Top Tier Targets Abraham Ancer World Golf Ranking (#12) Vegas Odds (22/1) Draftkings ($10,400) FanDuel ($11,800) The top tier is loaded this week but like many(looking at FanShare Sports) I am very high on Abraham Ancer who checks every single box. This is his first start of the fall season but finished up last year with a T9 at the Tour Championship and tallied three Top 10's in his final four events including a huge win at the WGC St. Jude Invitational. In this field, he ranks 11th in ball striking on the back of an elite iron game(10th in SG: APP, 4th in Prox) and putter. It's the putter that really has him stand out above the rest of the top tier for me as he is easily #1 in this tier putting on Bentgrass. Ancer also returns to the Shriners with Top 5 finishes in two of the last three years. All things considered, he is my top overall play this week in all formats and I also like sprinkling some outright bets at that #. Si Woo Kim World Golf Ranking (#44) Vegas Odds (40/1) Draftkings ($9,000) FanDuel ($10,300) It is going to be close between Si Woo and Ancer for top-owned play this week and it's easy to why. Like Ancer, Si Woo comes in with terrific form, especially to...
Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 4
Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 4 The 2021 NFL season is now in full swing and the DFSR team has covered with content all week long. Earlier in the week, we covered our top cash game plays and also looked at all the relevant injuries and now it's time to look at some of the top stacks for GPP formats. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! High-Priced/Low-Owned Stack Kyler Murray FD 8200 DK 7800 Opponent LAR Proj Points FD - 21.76 DK - 22.42 DeAndre Hopkins FD 7600 DK 7700 Opponent LAR Proj Points FD - 10.3 DK - 12.8 On the surface, this appears to be a bad matchup against the Rams talented defense but not so fast. They have not been that impressive early on giving up the 8th most passing through three weeks with most of that coming from Tom Brady a week ago(432 yards). Kyler not only brings the same passing upside as Brady and has a very comparable stable of weapons, but he has also adds big upside with his legs(5.7 att per game) and the Rams have also given up the 8th most rushing yards(22.3) per game to QB's. Like I mentioned above, the Cards have a very diverse pass-catching group led by superstar Deandre Hopkins. After commanding a huge target share in this offense a year ago, he has only received 18 targets through three games which is a bit concerning and the reason I won't have exposure in cash games. For GPP formats, I love pairing Kyler with Nuke as he is going to be very low-owned due to the combined lack of volume early on and the other top wideouts in plus spots. The matchup also drives more to Hopkins on the outside as Jalen Ramsey is the top corner and has been running over 55% of his coverage in the slot which could neutralize Kirk and Moore this week as tough matchups affect young players much more than the vets. You can't hold down an elite receiver for long and I love targeting this very high upside stack even more when it will be low owned. Lock and load! High-Owned WR/Low-Owned QB Stack Baker Mayfield FD 7300 DK 6200 Opponent MIN Proj Points FD - 17.71 DK - 18.46 Odell Beckham Jr. FD 6600 DK 5800 Opponent MIN Proj Points FD - 12.41 DK - 15.02 First up in this category is the Browns passing game. With Jarvis Landry out and OBJ's...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 10/1/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 10/1/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers The decisions at starting pitcher are tough tonight as Kershaw is likely on a pitch count, the White Sox and Astros, with their divisions locked up, won't be pushing Lynn or Valdez and Sandy Alcantara tops the salary on DraftKings. There are a few spots that do stand out so let's get started. Ranger Suárez FD - P 9000 DK - SP 8800 Opponent - MIA (Sandy Alcantara) Park - MIA FD - 30.04 DK - 15.32 The Phillies have been getting a glimpse into their future as Suarez has been making a strong case to open the 2022 season in the rotation. Since they fully stretched him out in late August, he has been spectacular holding opponents to just seven earned runs over seven starts while striking out 45(27%) and walking eight. Tonight, he and the Phillies are -120 favorites against a Marlins team that ranks in the bottom third offensively. At these prices, Suarez is my top pitcher in all formats. Steven Matz FD 8000 DK 8700 Opponent - BAL (Undecided) Park - BAL FD - 37.07 DK - 19.7 Continuing with the balanced approach, we have Steven Matz who won't be limited tonight as the Jays are in do or die mode in the final three days of the season. Matz has been a welcome addition to the rotation this season and has impressed with a 3.88 ERA/3.95 xFIP and has been terrific down the stretch allowing two or fewer earned runs in nine of his last 10 starts. He now faces a bottom-five offense in Baltimore to close out his season and hopefully help the Jays playoff push. I will have exposure in all formats and will be pairing him with Suarez in cash games. Catcher/First Base Freddie Freeman FD 3900 DK 5500 Opponent - NYM (Tylor Megill) Park - NYM FD - 13.54 DK - 10.13 There is some risk in rostering players from teams who have locked up their playoff spot but this is a great spot that I want to get exposure to on this slate. Freeman has been closing out the season strong hitting .320 with a .386 wOBA in the month of September and now gets a plus matchup against rookie Tylor Megill who has really struggled against left-handed bats(.413 wOBA against). The Braves are one of my top teams to target tonight and Freeman is my top overall play at...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 9/30/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 9/30/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Robbie Ray FD - P 10800 DK - SP 10000 Opponent - NYY (Corey Kluber) Park - TOR FD - 40.6 DK - 21.63 The Jays can make the American League wildcard race even crazier with another win against the Yankees tonight and the good news is they are sending their ace to the mound. On top of the playoffs, Ray is also in the running for the Cy Young and got some help there with his offense getting to Cole last night. For Ray, the floor is high as he has held opponents to two or fewer earned runs in 21 of 31 stars and he also has a ton of upside with a slider that is creating a 24% swinging-strike rate and 58% K rate. It won't be easy against the Yankees bats but on this slate, Ray is my top pitcher in all formats. Joe Ryan FD - P 8800 DK - SP 9300 Opponent - DET (Tarik Skubal) Park - MIN FD - 31.83 DK - 17.27 Things get interesting at Sp2 on DraftKings tonight with no pitcher really standing out above the rest. While the price is going parabolic, I am on rookie Joe Ryan who has more than impressed since being called up in September. He has gone at least five innings in all four starts, held opponents to just six earned runs(2.45 ERA/3.54 xFIP), and has struck out 25(32%) while walking just three. He now gets a matchup against a below-average Tigers offense as a -185 favorite and is my top SP2 and one of my top overall pitchers on this slate. Catcher/First Base Pete Alonso FD 3800 DK 3900 Opponent - MIA (Edward Cabrera) Park - MIA FD - 11.82 DK - 8.78 This is much more about DraftKings tonight as Alonso's price has dipped into the $3K range. It's as if he is priced based on his average(.258) and not by his production as he enters the night with a .357 wOBA, 129 wRC+ with 35 home runs, and 89 RBI. The matchup is also above-average as Cabrera has struggled to a 5.79 ERA/5.49 xFIP through his first six starts and it comes down to control walking 3+ in five of those six starts. That should help the Mets get on base for Alonso who has a ton of upside. GPP only on FanDuel but a great PTS/$ value in all...
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Sanderson Farms Championship
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Sanderson Farms Championship Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! The Course Country Club of Jackson Par 72 - 7,461 Yards Greens - Bermuda **Click the image above to see a hole by hole breakdown from PGATour.com** Previous Five Winners 2020 - Sergio Garcia(-19) 2019 - Sebastian Munoz(-18) 2018 - Cameron Champ(-21) 2017 - Ryan Armour(-19) 2016 - Cody Gribble(-20) After a dominating performance from Team USA(19-9) at the Ryder Cup, the PGA Tour Fall Season continues with a trip to the Country Club of Jackson for the Sanderson Farms Championship. The field is led by the reigning champ, Sergio Garcia, who is among the leaders on the odds board in a weaker field with just one Top 25 player in the world(Sam Burns). This will be the eighth year with the Par 72 Country Club of Jackson hosting this event. It is a longer course, listed at 7,461 yards on the scorecard but hasn't stopped it from being a birdie fest. The winning score has fallen between -16 and -21 in the first seven trips to the course and has only ranked inside the Top 25 hardest courses once in that time. From a stats model perspective, the first thing I am looking at is Strokes Gained: Ball Striking. When breaking that down further, I am leaning on about 70% Strokes Gained: Approach and 30% Strokes Gained: Off the Tee in my model. With shorter rough(2") than the PGA Tour average, it is more of a grip and rip off the tee so I am also giving Driving Distance a boost, as well. On approach, as I say weekly, depends on the player(s) you are targeting. Looking at a group of players who are long off the tee? Concentrate on short to mid-iron proximity ranges. Opposite for guys who are shorter off the tee. Focus on those long-iron ranges. With more low-scoring expected, Birdie or Better...