DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Thursday 1/20
DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Thursday 1/20 Head on over for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, NFL optimal lineups, and our NHL Optimizer. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy, and more. We've got you completely covered. Point Guard Luka Doncic FD - $10900 DK - $10400 Opponent - PHO Proj Pts FD - 49.75 DK - 54.87 We have a much smaller three-game slate on Thursday and with the return of Klay Thompson in Golden State, which limits the usage for Curry, the top payup is an easy decision for me tonight. I know it's a smaller slate but love seeing the price on Doncic trending down, especially on DraftKings where it's at a season-low. The matchup isn't great as the Suns rank 2nd in defensive efficiency but I am not worried as Luka has been scorching hot coming off his best performance of the season(72.5 DK/67.3 FD) and is nearly averaging a triple-double(23.9 pts, 10.7 rebs, 9.3 ast) and 55.5 DK/46.5 FD points per game in the month of January. I will have exposure to Luka in all formats. Malcolm Brogdon FD - $6600 DK - $7400 Opponent - GS Proj Pts FD - 34.46 DK - 37.69 Brogdon returned from injury last night and while he was limited to 26 minutes, he put up a solid line with 19 points, four rebounds, and six assists for 34 fantasy points. I am speculating a bit here but would expect him, even on a back-to-back, to get closer to his full run tonight and that is great news as he is coming at a fantastic price point on both sites. Like Luka, he also draws a tough matchup as the Warriors are the top defensive team but we have a very small slate and limited options so I am taking a shot with the excellent PTS/$ value in all formats. Shooting Guard Devin Booker FD - $9000 DK - $8300 Opponent - DAL Proj Pts FD - 40.57 DK - 44.73 This feels a bit like chasing as he is coming off a monster 48-point performance but it's hard to ignore the price, especially on DraftKings, this smaller slate. What I like here is that it hasn't been just one game for Booker as he has now dropped 30+ points in three straight and isn't just shooting reliant averaging 4.4 assists, and 5.4 rebounds per game on the season....
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – The American Express
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – The American Express Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! The Courses PGA West TPC Stadium Course Par 72 - 7,113 Yards PGA West Nicklaus Tournament Course Par 72 - 7,159 Yards La Quinta Country Club Par 72 - 7,060 Yards Previous Five Winners 2021 - Si Woo Kim(-23) 2020 - Andrew Landry(-26) 2019 - Adam Long(-26) 2018 - Jon Rahm(-22) 2017 - Hudson Swafford(-20) After a couple Hawaii events to kick off 2022, the PGA Tour now heads back to the mainland for the California swing. It starts this week with the American Express which is back to a three-course rotation this year. That means each player in the field will play one round on each of PGA West Stadium Course, PGA West Nicklaus Course, and La Quinta Country Club Thursday through Saturday. Those who make the cut(Top 65 & ties) will then play the final round on the PGA West Stadium Course. All three courses are Par 72's under 7,200 yards and all have ranked outside the Top 30 in difficulty in each of the last five years. The course I will concentrate on for my stats model this week will be the Stadium Course which will be used twice including the final round. It is a Pete Dye design so ball-striking is once again at a premium with emphasis on hitting fairways off the tee and hitting the below-average-sized greens. In general, I don't really narrow my player pool down based on the order they play the three courses for the full-tourney contests but one narrative that gets thrown around is playing the Stadium Course in Round 3 as to play it on back-to-back days. Do with that what you will. As for the weather forecast, we will have to monitor leading up to lock but as of now, Saturday looks to be very window all day while the other three days appear calm...
DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Monday 1/18 Main Slate
DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Monday 1/18 Main Slate Head on over for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, NFL optimal lineups, and our NHL Optimizer. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy, and more. We've got you completely covered. Point Guard Dejounte Murray FD - $10200 DK - $10000 Opponent - PHO Proj Pts FD - 49.29 DK - 52.08 The Spurs as a whole have been a disaster this season but Murray has broken out in a big way in his fifth season in the league. Almost every single stat has taken a huge jump overall and he has been especially great lately where he has averaged 24.5 points, 8.2 rebounds, and 9.4 assists good for 55 DK/53.8 FD points per game over his last seven since returning to the lineup. He draws a tough matchup against the Suns tonight but on a five-game slate, this matchup has the 2nd highest total(225) and is expected to stay close(PHO -5). With the projected volume Murrya should continue to get, I am on board in all formats. Anfernee Simons FD - $7600 DK - $8000 Opponent - ORL Proj Pts FD - 40.31 DK - 44.99 This is an interesting one this early in the day as the price has jumped even with CJ McCollum likely returning to action. I am not totally concerned with the latter as McCollum is likely limited in his return being out for nearly two months and the price jump is sort of warranted as Simons has been terrific in the starting lineup. He has averaged 28.8 points and 8.2 assists which are good for 47.8 DK/44.31 FD points per game in those six starts. Against an Orlando team that ranks 24th in defensive efficiency in a game expected to stay close, I will have a ton of exposure to Simons in all formats. Shooting Guard Donovan Mitchell FD - $8200 DK - $9000 Opponent - LAL Proj Pts FD - 43.45 DK - 46.76 Capping off this full day of basketball on Monday is the game with the highest total(232.5) and full of fantasy targets. For me, it starts with Mitchell who has been a very consistent fantasy producer all season and even better in the short term. At his prices, we are looking for a floor of about 40 FD/45 DK points and Mitchell has provided that in eight of his last 10 games...
DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Thursday 1/13
DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Thursday 1/13 Head on over for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, NFL optimal lineups, and our NHL Optimizer. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy, and more. We've got you completely covered. Point Guard Ja Morant FD - $9700 DK - $9200 Opponent - MIN Proj Pts FD - 45.21 DK - 48.2 While it is highly unlikely he would overtake the superstars to win the MVP this season, Morant is most definitely making a case for himself with plays like this! For fantasy, what I like the most here is that he is playing those guys ahead of him in the MVP odds but isn't priced as such still under $10K on both sites. He comes into tonight averaging 29.1 points, 6.3 rebounds, 6.1 assists, and 49.6 DK/41.4 FD points per game over his last eight. The T-Wolves are ranked 11th in defensive efficiency this season but run the 6th fastest pace which should lead to a ton of possessions on both sides allowing Mornant to get a full run and the opportunity to hit and exceed his projection. Lock and load in all formats. Patrick Beverley FD - $6700 DK - $5300 Opponent - MEM Proj Pts FD - 31.16 DK - 32.35 Staying in the same game, we have Patrick Beverley who returned from a two-game absence on Tuesday, and despite being limited to just 21 minutes was able to hit nearly 5x value on DraftKings. I fully expect him to return to a full run tonight which easily puts him in to play on DraftKings in a game with the highest total on the slate. Even with the last game where he was limited, Beverley comes in averaging over 31 DK points per game over his last 10 with a balanced fantasy attack contributing in almost all categories. This is going to be a high-paced, high-scoring game and Beverley is one of our top PTS/$ values on DraftKings. Fire him up in all formats. Strongly Consider: Dennis Smith Jr.(POR) who is likely to get the start with Lillard, McCollum, and Simons all out for Portland Shooting Guard Ben McLemore FD - $4100 DK - $4200 Opponent - DEN Proj Pts FD - 24.15 DK - 27.8 To say the Trail Blazers are short-handed at the guard position would be an understatement. All three of McCollum, Lillard, and now Simons are declared...
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Sony Open
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Sony Open Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! The Course Waialae Country Club Par 70 - 7,044 Yards Greens - Bermuda **Click the image above to see a hole by hole breakdown from PGATour.com** Previous Five Winners 2021 - Kevin Na(-21) 2020 - Cameron Smith(-11) 2019 - Matt Kuchar(-22) 2018 - Patton Kizzire(-17) 2017 - Justin Thomas(-27) The PGA Tour stays in Hawaii this week but jumps north to O'ahu Island for the Sony Open and the first full-field event of 2022. The field got a little weaker on Monday with Bryson DeChambeau dropping out with wrist soreness. With that, the field is led by last week's winner Cameron Smith who joined a shortlist of players who have won both Hawaii events(Furyk, Els, Singh, ZJ, JT) and also broke into the OWGR Top 10 for the first time in his young career. The host course, as it has been since the inaugural event back in 1971, is Waialae Country Club. It will be a much different test than last week in that we move from a Par 73 with wide fairways and some of the largest greens on Tour to a Par 70 with tight fairways that include several doglegs and average-sized greens. It's very much a positioning style golf course and for that I will rely heavily on Strokes Gained: Ball Striking in my model. The second stat I will be looking at in my model this week is Par 4 scoring which becomes a focus on a Par 70 with just two Par 5's. Looking at last year, it also had an extremely high correlation to success. Finally, the other main stat in my model is Birdie or Better % as the winning score has averaged right around -20 which even includes the very windy 2020 event in which Cameron Smith won. This year's forecast looks very similar to last week which saw winds...