DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 7/30/22(Main Slate)
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 7/30/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Framber Valdez FD 10400 DK 9700 Opponent - SEA (Chris Flexen) Park - SEA FD - 37.05 DK - 19.27 We have a big decision to make at the top on this main slate with a couple of lefties who are both big favourites. With Kershaw taking the mound in Coors, I slightly lean Valdez in a home matchup against the Mariners who have had no answer for Astros pitching in the first two games of the series scoring a combined three runs. Consistency has been the name of the game for Valdez who has held opponents to three or fewer earned runs in 18 of 19 starts and two or fewer in 13 of those starts. All things considered, Valdez is our top pitcher on this slate. Ranger Suárez FD 8400 DK 7600 Opponent - PIT (Mitch Keller) Park - PIT FD - 29.55 DK - 14.54 Much like last night, we are going to be looking for some value at the SP2 spot to try and fit the Dodgers' bats in Coors or one of the other top/expensive offensive teams(ATL, HOU, STL). What draws me to Suarez is the fact he is a -160 favourite and cheaper than the opposing pitcher(Mitch Keller) who has worse numbers overall. Suarez may lack GPP winning upside with a 19% K rate but he has made up for it with consistency posting a 2.98 ERA/3.52 xFIP over his last eight starts. He also faces a Pirates team that has lost six of seven games out of the break and are a bottom-five team against left-handed pitching. I will have exposure to Suarez in all formats. Catcher/First Base Matt Olson FD 3800 DK 5500 Opponent - ARI (Corbin Martin) Park - ARI FD - 13.66 DK - 10.17 First base is loaded at the top and I wouldn't fault anyone for loading up on Goldy or Freeman but I am going to take the discount and ride with Olson who is in an equally good matchup. We are never rostering Olson because of his consistency(.250 average) but rather because of his fantasy production in the middle of the loaded Braves lineup. While he has yet to record a multi-hit effort in the second half, he does have two doubles, three home runs, and six RBI. He now faces Corbin Martin who has been running a slippery slop walking nine batters in his last...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 7/28/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 7/28/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Zack Wheeler FD 10700 DK 10200 Opponent - PIT (Zach Thompson) Park - PIT FD - 36.01 DK - 19.34 Wheeler looked sharp coming out of the break giving up just three hits and one earned run with six strikeouts and no walks over seven innings. It was a continuation of the consistency he showed us in the first half and has now held opponents to two or fewer earned runs in 12 of his last 14 starts. The price tag has nearly reached another season-high but what makes it worth it is the uptick in strikeouts over the last two seasons thanks to a fastball that is generating an elite 14.4% swinging strike rate. Capping it off is a matchup against a Pirates team that has come out flat in the second half losing four of five games while scoring just 11 runs. Lock Wheeler in as the top target on the mound tonight. Shohei Ohtani FD 11100 DK 8900 Opponent - TEX (Spencer Howard) Park - TEX FD - 43.11 DK - 23.7 This one is pretty easy at the SP2 position on DraftKings with Ohtani sitting under $9K as a -222 home favourite tonight. The system also has him sitting atop the projections tonight and it makes sense as the floor is ridiculously high. This was on full display in his first start out of the break as the Braves got to him for six earned runs but he still managed to tally 20 DK points thanks to 11 strikeouts. It was the fifth start in a row he has tallied double-digit K's and the seventh straight start tallying 20 or more DK points(32.4 average). He now faces a Rangers team that has lost five of their last six and are much worse against right-handed pitching(92 wRC+ vs 115 against LH). All things considered, Ohtani is our top overall pitcher on DraftKings and an excellent pairing with Wheeler on this slate. Catcher/First Base Jared Walsh FD 2600 DK 2900 Opponent - TEX (Spencer Howard) Park - TEX FD - 11.59 DK - 8.73 Finding value with the bats is going to be key on this slate with the pitchers I listed above combined with the fact the top three teams are all very expensive to stack. Enter Jared Walsh who has moved up the order with no Trout and it has been red-hot to start the second...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 7/25/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 7/25/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Tony Gonsolin FD 10200 DK 10200 Opponent - WSH (Paolo Espino) Park - WSH FD - 38.94 DK - 20.26 Max Fried FD 10500 DK 10500 Opponent - PHI (Ranger Suárez) Park - PHI FD - 34.91 DK - 18.98 We have some tough decisions to make on the mound as we get multiple options for who we could easily make a case for and against. There is a path to paying up for both on DraftKings so I will group these first-time All-Stars together here. Let's start with Gonsolin who enters the second half with the third most wins(11) and fourth-best ERA(2.02) in baseball. Outside of that final start in St. Louis(5 ER against) he has held opponents to two or fewer earned runs in the other 16 starts while striking out 24% of batters. The Dodgers are usually a team we caution when using starters as the pitch count never gets too high but that efficiency has allowed Gonsolin to average almost six innings per start since the start of May. For Fried, his numbers are very similar as he enters the second half with a 2.64 ERA/3.15 xFIP and 23% K rate. Gonsolin gets the nod in terms of the matchup as he faces a Washington team that is well on their way to a rebuild and despite not striking out much, rank bottom four in wOBA, wRC+, and ISO over the last month. Fried faces a much better Phillies offence overall but they haven't been the same without Bryce Harper who remains out with a thumb injury. I am likely going to play both together with an abundance of value bats that we are routinely getting but if I had to choose just one, I am taking Gonsolin as my top arm. Sean Manaea FD 9900 DK 8800 Opponent - DET (Drew Hutchison) Park - DET FD - 35.73 DK - 19.31 While I prefer to take the safe route with the two above options, the system is on board with taking some savings at SP2 and upgrading the bats. Enter Manaea who may not be the model of consistency(4.11 ERA/3.93 xFIP) but is still priced below $9K on DraftKings in a very good matchup. He faces a Tigers team that ranks dead last in almost every offensive category and have struck out at a 26% rate since the All-Star break. Despite the risk(every pitcher has...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 7/23/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 7/23/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Gerrit Cole FD 11300 DK 10400 Opponent - BAL (Jordan Lyles) Park - BAL FD - 41.52 DK - 23.64 There were some ups and downs in the first half but Cole finished very strong holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs in six of his last seven starts(2.14 ERA). Not only has he been providing a terrific fantasy floor but he has also provided the elite upside we have come to love as he finished with 23 strikeouts over his final two starts and tallied a 36% K rate in those seven starts mentioned above. He faces an Orioles team that finished the first half hot but still ranks as a bottom 10 offence overall. Cole is my top overall pitcher on this slate. Kyle Wright FD 10500 DK 9100 Opponent - LAA (Patrick Sandoval) Park - LAA FD - 37.33 DK - 19.97 The Braves' 2017 5th overall pick has faced some hurdles along the way but is finally making an impact on the major league roster. He went into the All-Star break 2nd in the majors in wins(11) with an impressive 2.95 ERA/3.49 xFIP. The only thing really lacking lately are the strikeouts(five or fewer in five straight) but he still holds a slightly above-average 24% rate on the season. He also gets a terrific matchup against a Trout-less Angels team that is operating at a sub 60 wRC+ without him. Lock and load in all formats. Catcher/First Base José Abreu FD 3500 DK 4800 Opponent - CLE (Konnor Pilkington) Park - CLE FD - 9.28 DK - 7.02 Game two of the Guardians/White Sox is on the main slate tonight and it's the Chicago side that I favour for offence. They get a plus matchup against rookie Konnor Pilkington who has struggled as a starter putting a to of runners on base(1.78 WHIP) which has led to an underwhelming 4.84 ERA/4.91 xFIP. He has only given up four home runs but that could change as he is giving up over a 40% hard contact rate and 11% barrel rate. For Abreu, his slow start is a thing of the past as he enters the night with hits in nine straight and 23 of his last 24 games. The price is getting back up there but all things considered, he is my top PTS/$ play at first base on this slate. Sean Murphy FD 2500 DK...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 7/21/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 7/21/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Jon Gray FD - P 9000 DK - SP 8600 Opponent - MIA (Pablo López) Park - MIA FD - 33.07 DK - 17.06 This game presents us with an interesting choice on the mound and I am probably going the least popular route with Gray. While Lopez is the better pitcher overall, Gray has a lot going for him today and it starts with his form going into the All-Star break as he posted a 2.06 ERA/2.56 xFIP over his last seven starts. The biggest reason I am on Gray here is the matchup as he faces a Marlins' offence that ranked dead last in runs scored, home runs, wOBA, and wRC+ over the final two weeks going into the break. I wouldn't talk anyone off Lopez here or even the idea of pairing them together but for me, Gray is my top play on this slate. Zach Logue FD - P 7500 DK - 5700 Opponent - DET (Tarik Skubal) Park - OAK FD - 19.67 DK - 10.12 If you aren't pairing Lopez and Gray or taking a risk with an arm in the Yankees/Astros game, there is really only one other place to end up for SP2 on DraftKings. While the A's dumped pretty much all talent in the offseason it did mean there would be a ton of opportunities for young players in their system. Zach Logue is one of those and while it has been a roller coaster ride, the good news is that he has held opponents to two or fewer earned runs in five of his six starts including his latest start holding the Astros to just three hits. The matchup also helps as he faces the Tigers who are a bottom-three offence and went into the break losers of eight of their last nine games. He is my top value SP2 on DraftKings to help me get to more bats. Catcher/First Base Sean Murphy FD 2500 DK 4200 Opponent - DET (Tarik Skubal) Park - DET FD - 8.59 DK - 6.47 What makes this small slate the most difficult is the fact that the best matchup for bats is also one of the worst offences in baseball. Either way, I am fully on board targeting against Tarik Skubal who really struggled coming into the break posting a 6.86 ERA with seven home runs against(16% HR/FB) in his final eight starts....