DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 8/20/22(Main Slate)
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 8/20/22(Main Slate) Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Joe Musgrove FD 10500 DK 10100 Opponent - WSH (Josiah Gray) Park - WSH FD - 47.98 DK - 25.98 The pitching landscape isn't great on the main slate today as the top guys have had their struggles in the second half but the good news is that they get plus matchups. Let's start with Joe Musgrove who hasn't been nearly as bad as the 4.97 ERA in the second half as the xFIP(3.71) is running over a run better and the BABIP(.321) and HR/FB rate has also spiked above the norm. I am not worried at all, especially in a matchup against the Nats who are a bottom-five offence since trading Juan Soto and have also seen their K rate jump about 3-4 % as well. Musgrove is my top pitcher on this slate. Logan Gilbert FD 9800 DK 8000 Opponent - OAK (James Kaprielian) Park - OAK FD - 37.44 DK - 20.66 Gilbert's numbers(6.59 ERA) may look ugly in the second half but considering 13 of the 20 earned runs over five starts came against the Yankees, I am not too concerned. He looked much better in the other three starts going six innings in each, posting a 3.50 ERA and tallying 19 strikeouts(26% K rate). What really stands out is the matchup as he faces the A's who were playing above their heads to start the second half but have come back down to Earth scoring just 2.8 runs per game over their last 17 games. Better yet, they have struggled even more against righties ranking second to last in wOBA(.274) and wRC+(80) in the split. Fire up Gilbert in all formats. Catcher/First Base Paul Goldschmidt FD 4800 DK 6000 Opponent - ARI (Madison Bumgarner) Park - ARI FD - 13.32 DK - 10.09 If there is one player we want to be paying up for on this slate it's Paul Goldschmidt. He is the odds-on-favourite to win the MVP leading the NL in average, wOBA, wRC+, is third in home runs and second in RBI. He has been incredibly consistent all season and has always hit lefties well but this season he has been on another level hitting .429 with an insane .561 wOBA, 272 wRC+, and .405 ISO. Now he faces a struggling lefty in Madison Bumgarner who has given up four or more runs in five of his last six starts(6.19 ERA)...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 8/18/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 8/18/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Early Zac Gallen FD 10100 DK 8500 Opponent - SF (Logan Webb) Park - SF FD - 31.52 DK - 16.7 It is hard to get behind Heaney on this slate, even with the win equity, as he hasn't made it through five innings in four straight starts. Instead, I will save some money and roll with Zac Gallen who has been very consistent lately holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs in five of his last six starts(1.41 ERA/3.09 xFIP) including twice against today's opponent, the Giants. For fantasy, he has provided a 2x floor(on DK) in each of those starts and flashed big-time upside with 30+ DK points(3.5x at these prices) in three of those starts. All things considered, Gallen is my top pitcher on the early slate. Main Jacob deGrom FD 12000 DK 10300 Opponent - ATL (Max Fried) Park - ATL FD - 35.2 DK - 20.46 He still hasn't exceeded 76 pitches in any of his three starts but has still looked absolutely dominant allowing just six hits in 16.2 innings while striking out 28 of 56 batters he has faced. I would have to check but I don't remember any pitcher striking out 50% of batters he has faced over a three-start stretch and it is backed up by an insane 24.6% swinging strike rate. Since last facing deGrom, the Braves have been on a tear but I am not concerned with the fantasy floor here at all and there is still so much more upside should he finally get close to a full workload. Fire up deGrom in all formats. Also Consider Yu Darvish(SDP) who is a massive favourite(-380) against a Nats team that has seen their K rate spike since trading Juan Soto Catcher/First Base Early Paul Goldschmidt FD 4700 DK 5800 Opponent - COL (Antonio Senzatela) Park - COL FD - 11.23 DK - 8.51 This early slate has a very similar feel as the main slate last night and at least for the Cards, that is a good thing. They have a terrific balance of elite, top-priced plays and value at the top of the order which makes a partial or full-stack extremely viable. Goldy is right near the top of our projections and while the price is peaking on FanDuel, he still remains under $6K on DraftKings despite staying red-hot with hits in six of his last seven...
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – BMW Championship
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – BMW Championship Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! The Course Wilmington Country Club Par 71 - 7,534 Yards Greens - Bentgrass **Click the image above to see a hole-by-hole breakdown from PGATour.com** The first event of the FedEx Cup Playoffs wrapped up on Sunday night with Will Zalatoris beating out Sepp Straka on the third playoff hole. Pretty incredible for Willy Z considering he was closer to the bottom of the leaderboard than the top after a 71 in round one. The win moved him from 12th to 1st in the standings and he and 67 others will now head to the BMW Championship where the field will be cut down to 30 for the final event, the Tour Championship. The BMW Championship has alternated courses each year for the playoffs and this year will be hosted at Wilmington Country Club. While we don't have course history to go off of this week, it is not hard to tell the players will face a U.S. Open-like challenge in this Par 71 that stretches over 7,500 yards. On top of that, it has tree-lined fairways with strategic bunkers placed in key landing areas on both sides of the fairway, some blind tee shots, and doglegs which can also create some problems as missing the fairway means dealing with around 4-inch bluegrass rough. On approach, the golfers will see very large bentgrass greens that are expected to be firm and fast. Statistically, my top stat is going to be SG: Approach as a whole with some added weight on long-iron proximity. Now let's jump into the picks. Top Targets Justin Thomas FedEx Cup Rank (#10) Vegas Odds (14/1) Draftkings ($10,100) FanDuel ($11,200) Thomas made his first start in the USA since a rough stretch overseas where he missed the cut at the Scottish Open and finished T53 at the Open Championship. While the irons were not exactly sharp(+.8 SG:...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/15/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/15/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Gerrit Cole FD - P 11000 DK - SP 10100 Opponent - TB (Undecided) Park - NYY FD - 45.9 DK - 26.22 Cole got back to his dominant self in his last start against the Mariners holding them to four hits over seven innings while striking out eight and walking none. Oddly enough the price has come down to almost a season-low, at least on DraftKings, while entering the night as one of the biggest favourites on the board. He faces a Rays team that he has absolutely dominated all season holding them to just eight hits and two earned runs over three starts while striking out 29 batters(40%). Cole leads all pitchers in our projections and is an elite play in all formats. Joe Ryan FD - P 9000 DK - SP 7300 Opponent - KC (Kris Bubic) Park - MIN FD - 34.7 DK - 18.66 There is a path to paying up for both pitchers on this slate but I am jumping on the value train to get a huge upgrade in my bats and Joe Ryan leads the way. While he has gotten roughed up in two of his last three starts, I am not worried for several reasons starting with the fact those came against red-hot teams in the Padres and Dodgers. Those two starts also came on the road and Ryan has some very glaring home/road splits this season and has been elite at home with a 2.92 ERA(5.05 ERA on the road). Tonight he faces a Royals team that has been better in the second half in terms of wOBA and wRC+ but have also seen their K rate(23.3%) go up. All things considered, Ryan is my top SP2 on this slate. Catcher/First Base Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD - 1B 4000 DK - 1B 6000 Opponent - BAL (Kyle Bradish) Park - TOR FD - 14.83 DK - 11.17 Vladdy's hit streak came to an end at 22 games on Sunday and while the power somewhat lacked(3 HR), he posted an elite .374/.424/.582 slash line during that time. This and the smaller slate explain the high price tag tonight but with Alonso and Freeman in much tougher matchups, Vladdy is easily the top pay-up option. He and the Jays also get a plus matchup against Kyle Bradish who has posted a 6.42 ERA over 13 starts and has given up at least...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 8/13/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 8/13/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Jacob deGrom FD 10800 DK 10600 Opponent - PHI (Aaron Nola) Park - PHI FD - 44.99 DK - 26.15 Despite a strict pitch count in his first two starts of the season, deGrom has looked as dominant as ever striking out 18 of 36 batters he has faced. Read that again! With around a 25% increase in that pitch count from start one to two he likely gets up around a full workload on Saturday so these prices definitely feel like a buy-low. The matchup on paper may not look great but the Phillies are already without Bryce Harper and are likely still without NL home run leader, Kyle Schwarber. Fire up deGrom in all formats. Lucas Giolito FD 8500 DK 7500 Opponent - DET (Matt Manning) Park - DET FD - 38.08 DK - 20.18 To say 2022 has been a roller coaster ride for Giolito would be a massive understatement but it has helped keep the price in check which is great news considering he gets the best matchup on the board tonight. He faces a Tigers' team that ranks dead last on the season and has been even worse in the second half with an ugly .261 wOBA, 67 wRC+, and 27% K rate. For Giolito, the walks have been the biggest issue but he has battled through them lately winning two straight while posting 18+ DK points in each. All things considered, he is my top SP2 on this slate. Catcher/First Base Freddie Freeman FD 3900 DK 5400 Opponent - KC (Brad Keller) Park - KC FD - 15.15 DK - 11.42 The Dodgers are scorching hot right now winning 11 straight games and have scored seven or more runs in eight of those and we are going to continue to ride that high on Saturday. It starts with MVP hopeful Freddie Freeman who checks all the boxes starting with a price that is somehow sitting in the mid $5K range on DraftKings and sub $4K range on FanDuel. It's not like he has cooled off hitting .338 in the second half with a .391 wOBA/155 wRC+ and now faces a pitcher in Brad Keller who has recorded a 6.65 ERA/5.22 xFIP in the second half and has given up home runs at almost double the rate to lefties. All things considered, Freeman is our top play at first and one of our top overall...