Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Sanderson Farms Championship
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Sanderson Farms Championship Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! The Course Country Club of Jackson Par 72 - 7,460 Yards Greens - Bermuda **Click the image above to see a hole-by-hole breakdown from PGATour.com** Previous Five Winners(by season) 2022 - Sam Burns(-22) 2021 - Sergio Garcia(-19) 2020 - Sebastian Munoz(-18) 2019 - Cameron Champ(-21) 2018 - Ryan Armour(-19) After another USA victory in the President's Cup, the 2022-23 PGA Tour season continues with a trip to the Country Club of Jackson for the Sanderson Farms Championship. The course is a Par 72 with some length as it is listed at 7,460 yards on the scorecard. Despite that, it has played as one of the easiest courses on tour ranking 45th out of 50 courses during the 2022 season and has not ranked inside the Top 25 in any season. It does have some of the narrowest fairways on tour but the rough is only around 2" tall on average and doesn't present much of a challenge. Right off the bat, this elevates SG: Approach in my model and breaking that down further, I like to look at Good Drive % and Rough Proximity which take into account a low fairways hit % in the 50-55% range. What I find, however, in these early season events is that stats models can be a bit misleading with an influx of Korn Ferry Tour players who have a very small or no sample size on the PGA Tour. With this, I will be looking at a lot of different data to come up with my player pool and favorite plays which you will see below. Let's get started. Top Targets Sahith Theegala World Golf Ranking (#51) Vegas Odds (20/1) Draftkings ($10,400) FanDuel ($11,600) Theegala is coming off a very successful rookie season on Tour where he made 26 of 32 cuts(81%), came close to winning the Travelers Championship(T2), and...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 9/26/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 9/26/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Bryce Elder FD - P 8900 DK - SP 8400 Opponent - WSH (Cory Abbott) Park - WSH FD - 21.96 DK - 10.9 I am not thrilled about targeting value pitching in both slots today but considering we have a four-game slate with the top pitchers facing each other's top offenses, it feels like the optimal way to build lineups. Let's start with the Braves' Bryce Elder who has been up and down from the minors all season but has been huge down the stretch allowing just nine hits and two earned runs over his last three starts while racking up 22 strikeouts(30% K rate). He will look to continue that success in a plus matchup against the Nationals who have dropped 10 of their last 14 games while scoring just 2.8 runs per game(.280 wOBA/77 wRC+) and striking out 23.6% of the time. Fire up Elder in all formats. Roansy Contreras FD - P 8200 DK - SP 7500 Opponent - CIN (Chase Anderson) Park - PIT FD - 31.31 DK - 16.25 Going down a bit further we have another rookie in Roansy Contreras who despite a couple of blowups, has been impressive in 2022. He has allowed three or fewer earned runs in 13 of his 16 starts and one or fewer in four of his last five and despite giving up six earned runs in his previous start, struck out a career-high 10 batters. What really stands out on Monday is the matchup against the Reds who have tallied a league-low .255 wOBA and 55 wRC+ over the past two weeks. I will have exposure in all formats. Catcher/First Base Adley Rutschman FD - C 3100 DK - C 4700 Opponent - BOS (Connor Seabold) Park - BOS FD - 11 DK - 8.37 Ryan Mountcastle FD - 1B 2700 DK - 1B 4000 Opponent - BOS (Connor Seabold) Park - BOS FD - 10.9 DK - 8.33 With just four games on Monday, our options are pretty limited but this is a game I will be stacking heavily on both sides. Let's start with the Orioles and Adley Rutschman who came into the season as a top prospect and is now the center of a rebuilding team that is also pushing towards the playoffs. He is coming off an 0 for 5 on Sunday but went into that game hitting .320 with a .416...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 9/24/22(Main Slate)
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 9/24/22(Main Slate) Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Framber Valdez FD - P 11200 DK - RP 10200 Opponent - BAL (Tyler Wells) Park - BAL FD - 34.65 DK - 18.09 The one thing holding Valdez back from being a dominant pitcher early in the season was the lack of strikeouts. Well, he has shut up those critics(myself included) in the second half recording seven or more in eight of 10 starts while going 8-1 with a 2.42 ERA/2.71 xFIP. He now gets a plus matchup against the O's who came out firing in the second half but have fallen off big time sitting bottom five in wOBA(.288) and wRC+(86) over the last month. Considering Kershaw gets a much tougher matchup against the Cards and Darvish is pitching in Coors, Valdez is easily my top pitcher in all formats. Logan Gilbert FD - P 10200 DK - SP 8500 Opponent - KC (Kris Bubic) Park - KC FD - 36.09 DK - 20.02 While there is always a risk in rostering a pitcher in September on a team that has clinched, this is not the case with Gilbert and the Mariners who are in a tight battle for an AL Wildcard. That is great news as Gilbert has been phenomenal down the stretch allowing just six earned runs over his last six starts(1.57 ERA) and has struck out nine or more batters in three of his last four. Like Valdez, he also gets a terrific matchup as a -185 favorite against the Royals who are not only a below-average offense overall(.301 wOBA/92 wRC+) but also worse against right-handed pitching(.296 wOBA/.89 wRC+). He is in play in all formats, especially on DraftKings where the price still sits in the mid $8K range. Catcher/First Base Ty France FD - 1B 3000 DK - 1B 3900 Opponent - KC (Kris Bubic) Park - KC FD - 10.82 DK - 8.25 Carlos Santana FD - 1B 2300 DK - 1B 2800 Opponent - KC (Kris Bubic) Park - KC FD - 9.26 DK - 6.96 The Mariners will be without their star, Julio Rodriguez, for at least 10 days and that puts some pressure on the rest of the lineup as they are trying to hold on to the final AL Wildcard spot. The good news for us in fantasy is that it opens up some value and that starts at first base with France and Santana. France has been...
Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 3
Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 3 Welcome back football fans. Week 3 is here and we gave you our top cash game plays earlier in the week. Now it's time to look at some high upside stacks for GPP formats. Let's get started. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Chalk Stack of the Week - Buffalo Bills Josh Allen FD 9000 DK 8200 Opponent MIA Proj Points FD - 23.05 DK - 23.85 Stefon Diggs FD 8300 DK 7700 Opponent MIA Proj Points FD - 16.84 DK - 20.71 This stack checks all the boxes starting with a game that has the highest total(53.5) and fairly close spread(BUF -5.5). While the Bills are currently passing the ball under 60% of the time, that has been the direct result of two blowouts to start the year. Despite that fairly low pass %, Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs have been crushing with Allen throwing for an average of 307 yards through two games with seven passing touchdowns while adding 66 yards on the ground and a rushing touchdown. For Diggs, he has looked uncoverable catching 20 of his 24 targets for 270 yards and four touchdowns. With that dominance, it is also a bit surprising to see his price barely jump up where he is the 5th and 6th most expensive wideout on DraftKings and FanDeul this week. The matchup is another good one for the Bills as they face the Dolphins who rank 31st in DVOA pass defense and rank 29th and 22nd in fantasy points against quarterbacks and wide receivers. With this being a projected close game, I also love running this stack back with a Dolphins wideout and the good news is that they have two elite playmakers in Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. I will have a mix of both of them in my lineups but lean towards Waddle who is the cheapest. Leverage off the Chalk - Kansas City Chiefs Patrick Mahomes FD 8700 DK 7900 Opponent IND Proj Points FD - 23.34 DK - 24.13 Travis Kelce FD 7800 DK 7900 Opponent IND Proj Points FD - 16.02 DK - 19.54 There is going to be heavy ownership on Josh Allen and the Bills stack and looking specifically at the quarterback position, Jalen Hurts is also going to be very highly owned. This creates an excellent leverage spot to use Patrick Mahomes who may not be as mobile and have the same floor but definitely has the same...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 9/22/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 9/22/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Early George Kirby FD 9300 DK 9600 Opponent - OAK (Adrián Martínez) Park - OAK FD - 41.99 DK - 22.71 Would anyone be surprised(outside of Robbie Ray) if Kirby started the Mariners first game in the playoffs? In terms of efficiency, he has been one of the best in the league this season let alone for his own team. He hasn't walked more than one batter in any start, has held opponents to two or fewer earned runs in 11 of his last 12 starts and also limited opponents to four or fewer hits in four straight. He now gets an elite matchup on Thursday against an A's team that has ranked bottom five all season and has struck out over 27% of the time over the last month. Locka nd load with Kirby in all formats. Main Justin Verlander FD 11100 DK 10700 Opponent - BAL (Kyle Bradish) Park - BAL FD - 40.88 DK - 22.85 Despite being limited to just 79 pitches in his return from the IL, Verlander looked dominant holding the A's hitless over five innings while striking out nine. That performance lowered his league-leading ERA to 1.78 on the season as he remains the Vegas favorite to win the AL Cy Young. He will look to add to his elite resume in a terrific matchup against an Orioles team that has really fallen off over the last couple of weeks scoring just over three runs a game with a .282 wOBA and 82 wRC+. Verlander comes at a high price but is easily our top pitcher in all formats. Catcher/First Base Early Wilmer Flores FD 2800 DK 4700 Opponent - COL (José Ureña) Park - COL FD - 8.74 DK - 6.67 David Villar FD 2800 DK 2500 Opponent - COL (José Ureña) Park - COL FD - 7.44 DK - 5.68 The Giants are once again high on our PTS/$ rankings in Coors and with their lineup full of super-utility players, I will just group them together to start things off. Let's start with Flores who is having a career year in terms of home runs, RBI, and runs scored and while the average is down he has been good in the short term with hits in four of his last five including three multi-hit efforts. For Villar, the rookie has had some growing pains since being called up in July but...