Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – The American Express
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – The American Express Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! The Courses Stadium Course Par 72 - 7,113 Yards Greens - Bermuda Nicklaus Tournament Course Par 72 - 7,159 Yards Greens - Bermuda La Quinta Country Club Par 72 - 7,060 Yards Greens - Bermuda Previous Seven Winners 2022 - Hudson Swafford(-23) 2021 - Si Woo Kim(-23) 2020 - Andrew Landry(-26) 2019 - Adam Long(-26) 2018 - Jon Rahm(-22) 2017 - Hudson Swafford(-20) 2016 - Jason Dufner(-25) Welcome to multi-course rotation and pro-am season golf fans. That's right, the PGA Tour heads to La Quinta, California for The American Express this week where there will be three courses used to accommodate the pro-ams in the field. Each player in the field will play one round on each course from Thursday through Saturday with the cut of Top 65 and ties happening after round 3 is complete. Those players will then play the final round on the Stadium Course on Sunday. The field for the American Express is stacked this year with five of the Top 7 and 10 of the Top 20 players in the OWGR teeing it up in Cali. Making that even more interesting is the fact almost every one of those players has good event history here. Looking at the courses, all three are Par 72's that come in under 7,200 yards and have been on the easier side in terms of average scoring which makes sense with the presence of amateurs. That means a lot of birdies for the pros and the reason we have seen a winning score in the -20's each year going back to 2016 when these three courses became the staple here. When researching and looking at stats, keep in mind that there is only Shotlink data on the Stadium Course. This makes it somewhat challenging when trying to put together a model so for these types of events...
DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Monday 1/16
DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Monday 1/16 Head on over for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, NFL optimal lineups, and our NHL Optimizer. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Guards Marcus Smart FD - $6400 DK - $6900 Opponent - CHA Proj Pts FD - 34.2 DK - 34.6 If you are playing the early slate, some exposure to the Celtics is optimal as they get one of the best matchups on the entire day facing the Hornets who run a top-10 pace and rank 27th in defensive efficiency. The Celtics will also be without Jaylen Brown on Monday and while positional correlation isn't perfect, Smart has been playing great in his absence. He has taken double-digit shots(15/12) in back-to-back games, but the ball distribution has really stood out as he has tallied 10 and 12 assists for back-to-back double-doubles, as well. He is one of our top-rated PTS/$ guards on Monday. Gabe Vincent FD - $5000 DK - $5200 Opponent - ATL Proj Pts FD - 26.85 DK - 28.11 The price is on the rise but Vincent is set to make his fourth straight start with Kyle Lowry already ruled out for this one. In Lowry's three-game absence, Vincent has taken 12 or more shots in each and has been very efficient over the last two games making 21 of 31 shots and providing us 45+ fantasy points in each. While I don't expect that type of run-hot shooting to continue it is a fantasy-friendly matchup against the Hawks who rank 25th in fantasy points to guards. Fire up Vincent in all formats. Russell Westbrook FD - $8300 DK - $8600 Opponent - HOU Proj Pts FD - 39.09 DK - 40.15 The system is very conservative with Westbrook's projection which is directly correlated to him coming off the bench this season. I am only considering him a core play tonight as we have a smaller two-game slate on Monday and it also helps Westbrook is in great form, as well. Since laying an egg against the Hornets on January 2, Westy has averaged 23 points, nine assists, and 7.6 rebounds per game over his last five which is just shy of a 50-point fantasy average. LeBron is also dealing with an injury and playing on a back-to-back could sit this one out which would most definitely elevate Westy to elite status. Stay tuned. Also Consider: Tyus Jones(MEM) if Ja Morant is out. He put up 40+ fantasy points in both games of a back-to-back January 8th &...
DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Saturday 1/14
DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Saturday 1/14 Head on over for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, NFL optimal lineups, and our NHL Optimizer. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Guards *At this point, Luka is an auto-play and should be about $1000 more expensive on both sites. He is still hard to build around so my early construction will be centered around getting two of my favorite $10K players in my lineup as a core. Let's dig in!* James Harden FD - $10600 DK - $10100 Opponent - UTA Proj Pts FD - 49.36 DK - 53.3 After Luka, it is very close for me between Ja Morant and James Harden in high total games but I lean towards the latter as he has actually been giving us a more consistent PTS/$ return. He isn't garnering the same usage as in the past but has become an even more elite distributor averaging 12.5 rebounds over his last 10 games to go with 6.7 rebounds and 22.5 points for a fantasy return of over 55 points per game. He now faces a Utah defence that runs fast(11th in pace) and is 26th in defensive efficiency. Fire up Harden in all formats. Gary Trent Jr. FD - $6900 DK - $6100 Opponent - ATL Proj Pts FD - 33.52 DK - 35.06 The guard position is loaded in every price tier tonight so lineup construction will ultimately come down to the final injury report and how much value is available. If you are looking for a consistent mid-tier play for cash games, don't overlook Gary Trent. He is very shooting dependant and even with the Raptors at full strength, he has been one of their best players lately. He is averaging over 17 shots and 24 points per game over his last eight while giving us a return of 37.8 fantasy points per game. In a matchup against one of the most fantasy-friendly defence's in the league, I have Trent in my first-look cash builds for tonight. Buddy Hield FD - $6700 DK - $6300 Opponent - MEM Proj Pts FD - 38.11 DK - 42.44 Andrew Nembhard FD - $5700 DK - $4600 Opponent - MEM Proj Pts FD - 26.32 DK - 28.63 The Pacers are on a back-to-back on Saturday but it might not matter for playing time as they look to be short-handed once again with Haliburton, Turner, and NeSmith all missing last night's game. The one thing we know for sure is that Haliburton is out for...
DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Thursday 1/12
DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Thursday 1/12 Head on over for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, NFL optimal lineups, and our NHL Optimizer. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Guards Luka Doncic FD - $12200 DK - $12800 Opponent - LAL Proj Pts FD - 62.51 DK - 66.5 When we pay right up for these superstars, we are looking more for the raw points than the PTS/$ value but what's great about Luka is that he gives us both. It didn't take long for his price to hit the $12K range this season and that is right where it has sat for months which is crazy considering he is averaging 73.6 DraftKings points over his last nine games and 65.9 over the last 20. I see no reason he doesn't get there tonight in a pace-up game vs a fast Lakers team(2nd in pace) that ranks 21st in defensive efficiency and 24th in fantasy points to guards. Doncic is once again a building block for me in all formats. Gary Trent Jr. FD - $7200 DK - $6200 Opponent - CHA Proj Pts FD - 33.21 DK - 34.91 The mid-range when looking at guards is somewhat lacking tonight, which makes Gary Trent stand out, at least on DraftKings where the price is slow to catch up to the consistent form lately. He is a shooting-dependant guard but has been getting consistent usage with 13 or more shots in seven straight games and he has also been shooting about 3-4% better than his season averages which has resulted in 30 or more DraftKings points in each of those games. In a plus matchup against the Hornets that rank 25th in defence and 18th in fantasy points to guards, I am on board with Trent in all formats on DraftKings tonight. Gabe Vincent FD - $4100 DK - $4000 Opponent - MIL Proj Pts FD - 24.16 DK - 26.8 This is a very interesting game in that the Heat draw a terrible matchup against the Bucks 3rd ranked defence but have already ruled out multiple players leading to a ton of much-needed value, especially if playing Luka. Vincent got the start last game with both Lowry and Herro out and despite only shooting 25% from the field, still hit over 7x at his punt pricing. That price has gone up but a similar performance would still get him over 5x value which is a great floor and starting point tonight. I will have exposure in all formats. Small Forward...
Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Wildcard Playoffs(Saturday)
Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Wildcard Playoffs(Saturday) Welcome back football fans. Week four in the NFL is here and DFSR has you covered. Earlier in the week, we look at our top cash game picks and now it's time to look at some stacks that help us get to the top of or GPP contests. Let's get started. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks Justin Herbert FD 7800 DK 6600 Opponent JAX Proj Points FD - 20.79 DK - 20.79 This wildcard matchup between the Chargers and Jaguars is where I will be focusing most of my exposure on Saturday and it starts with a total(47.5) that is almost a touchdown higher than the 49ers/Seahawks. For Herbert, he checks almost every box and it starts with the matchup against the Jags' defence that ranks 30th in DVOA against the pass and 24th in fantasy points against quarterbacks. While Herbert struggled to hit 3x value over his last four games, he did throw multiple touchdowns in each of the last two games. Herbert has the highest floor and ceiling on this small slate and is our top quarterback in all formats. Brock Purdy FD 7100 DK 5500 Opponent SEA Proj Points FD - 14.49 DK - 14.49 If you are looking to take the value route, especially on DraftKings, Brock Purdy is the cheapest option on the slate, the biggest favourite, and has played terrific down the stretch. Since taking over for the injured Jimmy G in week 13, Purdy thrown for multiple touchdowns in all five games while averaging 18.1 fantasy points per game. He is surrounded by talented playmakers and can easily be double-stacked and his price also allows us to load up on elite running backs on this slate. I will have a ton of exposure to Purdy in all formats. Running Back Austin Ekeler FD 9000 DK 8300 Opponent JAX Proj Points FD - 19 DK - 21.58 Travis Etienne Jr. FD 7100 DK 6300 Opponent LAC Proj Points FD - 16.65 DK - 17.83 All three top running backs on this slate are in play and can be stacked together with the value at other positions. Let's start with Austin Ekeler who led all running backs in targets(7.5) and receptions(6.3) per game while also setting career-highs in rushing yards, targets, and receptions(still would have got there on tar/rec with 17 weeks). While the Jags offence has been above-average against running backs(11th in DVOA vs the rush), the matchup is...