Daily Fantasy NFL Football Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, and Starsdraft - Week 3 Editor's note: Get ready for Raybon's insightful article on NFL's week 3! He's done an amazing job breaking down the top plays of the week, but obviously, he could never include every single great play. If you want point projections for individual players? Go ahead and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks. Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Starsdraft. Click here for a free 3 Day Free Trial Last week was a rough week for Vegas, and as a result, a rough week for selecting RBs and defenses in DFS. The Rams were an utter disappointment, but at least they put up positive points, something neither the Dolphins nor the Ravens can say, despite being huge favorites against perennial offensive lightweights in the Jaguars and Raiders, respectively. With that being said, now is a good time to emphasize a key to profitability in DFS: process over results, as my good friend Denny Carter likes to say. Vegas should be part of your process because over time, they have been incredibly accurate, and also highly predictive of fantasy production at the running back and defense positions. Will there be weeks where they get a few key spots wrong? Sure. But let’s not forget Vegas also had the Steelers with one of the highest totals on the slate – Ben Roethlisberger and DeAngelo Williams were fixtures is many a GPP winning lineup last week. Stick with the process and the results will come, which I can attest to. QUARTERBACK Tom Brady - FD 8700 DK 7700 Starsdraft 8800Opponent- JAC Brady has the highest floor this week, making him an ideal cash game play (you don’t need me to tell you he has upside as well after a 466-yard, 3-TD dismantling of one of the league’s best defenses in Buffalo). At over 30 points, the Patriots have the highest team total on the slate. The Jaguars allowed Ryan Tannehill to complete 30 of 44 passes for 359 yards and two TDs last week. Russell Wilson - FD 8400 DK 7000 Starsdraft 8800Opponent- CHI Wilson’s team has the second-highest Vegas total on the slate at 29 points – unusual for run-heavy Seattle. Wilson carries more risk than Brady, particularly because the Seahawks tend not need him to air the ball out as much at home, where they tend to have more success running than on the road. However, Wilson’s upside is tremendous because of the aforementioned Vegas total and his matchup against a Bears defense that has given up a 74 percent...

Daily Fantasy NFL Football Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 2 Editor's note: Get ready for Raybon's insightful article on NFL's week 2! He's done an amazing job breaking down the top plays of the week, but obviously, he could never include every single great play. If you want point projections for individual players? Go ahead and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks. Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Starsdraft. Click here for a free 3 Day Free Trial Those familiar with my work will know that I’m a proponent of looking at tournament upside in terms of how likely a player is to score multiple TDs, which is how Week 1’s Millionaire Maker was won. The winner, BALLAH, was able hit on four players that scored multiple TDs, plus a 3-TD outing by Tony Romo. All together, his lineup scored 14 TDs, and the only roster slot he didn’t get a TD out of was the Jets DST. FANDUEL SUNDAY MILLION WON WITH TOUCHDOWNS AS WELL. Jeremybronson, the winner of the FanDuel Sunday Million, also had four multi-TD scorers and a 3-TD QB, tallying 13 TDs in all. Always keep TD upside in mind when constructing GPP lineups, and even cash game lineups. Nothing swings fantasy football outcomes more than TDs. Target players who are the most likely to have the ball in their hands (high volume of opportunities) and see a decent share of the team’s red zone targets. NFL WEEK 2 PLAYS FOR FANDUEL AND DRAFTKINGS QUARTERBACK Drew Brees - FD 8900 DK 7800 Starsdraft 8100Opponent- TB Only two defenses allowed more 20-plus yard passing plays than the Bucs in Week 1, Drew Brees opponent in a game where the Saints are 10-point home favorites (Brees performs better historically at home, and when his team is a favorite) and have a 29-point Vegas total. Lovie Smith’s cover 2 scheme was a bottom-10 unit last season (23rd in pass defense DVOA) and started off even worse this season (32nd). Tampa Bay allowed four TDs, 13 yards/attempt, and a 25% TD rate to a rookie QB in his first start, Marcus Mariota. Matt Ryan - FD 8700 DK 7400 Starsdraft 7600Opponent- NYG The Giants allowed Tony Romo to complete 80 percent of his 45 passes at 7.9 yards per attempt last week, and offered no resistance when it mattered most against a Cowboys passing game that was by that time missing Dez Bryant. Matt Ryan should have no problem similarly carving the Giants up in a game Vegas oddsmakers expect to be close (Falcons +2.5) and high scoring (O/U...

Daily Fantasy NFL Football Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, and Starsdraft - Week 1 Editor's note: If you haven't heard of Chris Raybon yet, get ready. And, you're welcome. Here's his insightful article on NFL's week 1! He's done an amazing job breaking down the top plays of the week, but obviously, he could never include every single great play. If you want point projections for individual players? Go ahead and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks. Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Starsdraft. Click here for a free 3 Day Free Trial An Introduction Since this is my first column here at DFSR, I’ll use the space in the intro to summarize my general philosophy for each position. At QB, I’m looking for efficiency, so I want a QB to be a Vegas favorite in a good matchup against an opponent that will struggle to rush the passer and cover. At RB, volume correlates more strongly to fantasy success than efficiency, and volume is largely determined by game script, so I look at whether a RB’s team is a Vegas favorite first, then judge the quality of his team’s offensive line and his opponent’s run-stopping capability second. At WR, I’m looking for targets. I tend to zone in on WRs who will command the largest target market share of their team, and those who are one of their team’s top options in the red zone (where two-thirds of receiving TDs are scored). TEs are the most inconsistent fantasy position from week-to-week because they don’t see high workloads relative to the other positions, making them highly TD-dependent. Therefore, I’m looking for TEs who are one of their team’s top red zone options on teams with QBs capable of throwing multiple TDs on a consistent basis. With Ks and D/STs, game script is again the most important thing, so I’m looking for Vegas favorites. A K’s team needs to play with a lead to ensure that they don’t forgo FG attempts to go for it on 4th down, and D/ST need to play with a lead to force the opponent into passing situations, where most D/ST fantasy points are scored via sacks and interceptions. Of course, everything I mentioned above is relative to a player’s price point. Most players I highlight at the cheap price points aren’t necessarily guys that happen to have a good matchup that week, they’re guys priced incorrectly because they’ve been thrust into larger roles. I’ll generally list players in order of how great a $/point value I believe they are. Quarterback Sam Bradford - FD 7500 DK 6900...