Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 8/15/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 8/15/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitcher Madison Bumgarner FD 10300 DK 12700 Opponent - MIA (Straily) Park - @MIA FD - 37.44 DK - 24.6 Where were all these arms on Monday night. We've got a handful of viable arms approaching ace level tonight, and we like them all. MadBum won't be coming cheaply, but he might be the safest play available. He's looked much more like his pre-motorcycle accident self lately, tossing 7 IP with 7 Ks in each of his last three starts. That's pretty good, and it's even better when you consider two of those starts were against the Dodgers and the Cubs. Miami isn't terrible against lefties, but they might seem like it in comparison to LA and Chicago, both of which rank in the top five for wRC+ vs. LHP this season. Meanwhile, the Marlins come in at 14th in wRC+ and wOBA, and 27th in ISO vs. lefties. The only downside we see (aside from having to face Giancarlo Stanton 3-4 times) is the fact that there's not a lot of Ks in this lineup. That limits the ceiling for Bumgarner to some degree, but we still like him in cash games, because he's got a more stable track record than Alex Wood and Danny Salazar, and a much better matchup than Jacob deGrom. Alex Wood FD 9600 DK 9600 Opponent - CHW (Gonzalez) Park - @LAD FD - 40.9 DK - 26.86 Ok, so, Bum might be safer, but holy cow. The price/matchup for Wood is gonna be tough to pass up. The Dodgers southpaw has continued to churn out quality starts and rack up wins, but he's been much less dominant lately. After fanning nearly 11 per 9 IP in his first 13 starts this season, he's averaged just 5.76 Ks/9 over this last five. Maybe that's just a small sample fluke or maybe it's a guy who threw only 60 innings last season hitting a wall. It'd be speculation on our part to assert either, but at these prices we feel fine taking on shot with him in any format. And, obviously, the fact that he's facing the White Sox has a lot to do with that. Earlier this summer, the White Sox had one of baseball's best offenses...
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 8/14/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 8/14/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. NEW YORK YANKEES The Coors Field offenses will probably (and justifiably) get a lot of attention tonight -- in fact we're going to give them some attention in just a minute. But we'd have no problem pivoting off of the Braves and Rockies in favor of the Yankees tonight; they're coming moderately cheaper, and while no hitting environment can match Coors Field, the prospect of facing Rafael Montero in Yankee Stadium comes pretty close in terms of upside. Since the beginning of last season, the Mets starter has given up a .383 wOBA to lefties and a .374 wOBA and .212 ISO vs. righties, so every Yankees bat is in play. The most obvious guys are also the most attractive, however; Brett Gardner, Aaron Hicks, Aaron Judge, Didi Gregorious and Gary Sanchez all come in with a .200+ ISO and a .350+ wOBA vs. RHP this season. COLORADO ROCKIES Julio Teheran's struggles vs. lefties are well-documented, and those issues have expanded to include righties in 2017. He's got a .348 wOBA and .194 ISO in the split this season, which isn't that much better than what he's done against lefties (.344 wOBA, .225 ISO). Maybe just as importantly, he relies heavily on fly ball outs, and letting opposing hitters elevate the ball is rarely a formula for success at Colorado. Based on Teheran's extended track record of lefty troubles, they're still the preferred play for us, and even though Charlie Blackmon is about as chalky as it gets under these circumstances, we can't see fading his .420 wOBA and .290 ISO vs. RHP this season. Gerardo Parra would be the next-most-obvious guy (.381 wOBA, .201 ISO), but we're intrigued by Arenado and Reynolds, too. Both have done well vs. RHP this season, especially Reynolds (.387/.248). Try out InGame Fantasy for a totally new DFS experience. Promo code: DFSR DETROIT TIGERS You might not have noticed because they've been pretty bad overall, but the Tigers have actually been excellent against LHP this season. They lead baseball in wRC+, wOBA and ISO vs. southpaws this season, and they'll get the pleasure of...
Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings – 8/14/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 8/14/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitchers Travis Wood FD 5900 DK 5300 Opponent - PHI (Eickhoff) Park - @SD FD - 25.59 DK - 17.02 If you're playing multiple lineups on a two-pitcher site on Monday's 10-game main slate, you're going to end up in some dark and unsavory corners. There's just not much to be optimistic about at SP tonight -- especially beyond the guys we wrote up in the cash game picks -- so we can't find much of a reason to justify spending up for mediocrity when we can get it cheap. And make no mistake about it, mediocrity is what we're expecting from Travis Wood tonight. Honestly, mediocrity would be an improvement. He has just one decent start since moving into the rotation last month, and enters Wednesday night with a 6.71 ERA and a 5.35 xFIP, both of which are gross. There's really only about three things working in Wood's favor tonight. 1) He's cheap. Don't underestimate that, especially when Coors Field is on the slate. 2) Petco Park. Its reputation as an offense killer might be slightly overblown, but it's still a pretty great place to pitch. 3) The Phillies. They're actually kinda dangerous against lefties with a .173 team ISO, but Petco should help limit the long-ball worries and they still rank in the bottom third of the league in wRC+ and wOBA vs. LHP, so it's obviously not a lineup that worries us that much. Just to reiterate though: none of the preceding should be taken as a stirring endorsement for Wood. He's just a cheap arm with a decent chance to return value on a low price while letting us play expensive bats. Zack Greinke FD 9500 DK 10800 Opponent - HOU (McHugh) Park - @ARI FD - 34.48 DK - 22.81 If you can't bring yourself to play a bad pitcher against a bad offense, you could consider the other side of the same unappealing coin: a good pitcher against a great offense in a hitter's park (or, you could consider taking the night off, because there's not much in between on this slate). Listen, the...
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 8/8/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 8/8/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. HOUSTON ASTROS Ok, so it doesn't take the world's greatest DFS analyst to tell you to stack up baseball's best offense against one of the worst pitchers on the slate in a favorable hitter's park. The Astros lead MLB in wRC+ and wOBA and rank third in ISO vs. lefties, and they could be getting George Springer back tonight. Yeah, it's chalk, and yeah, you'll have to pay a bunch to get the best bats, but you're going to want some exposure to this lineup tonight. Aside from Springer and Jose Altuve, Alex Bregman, Marwin Gonzalez and Brian McCann all have ISOs over .200 vs. LHP this season, and while Tyler White hasn't had many opportunities this year, he's got a .258 ISO in the split since the beginning of 2016 (and he's super cheap). You might have to get creative, but there are enough viable options here that you won't have to sacrifice too much at SP to get a piece of Derek Holland's 5.40 xFIP and .400 wOBA allowed vs. righties. WASHINGTON NATIONALS There's no telling how many DFS lineups withered and died when Chris O'Grady exited in the second inning last night, but let's hope the Nats' failure to take advantage of the Marlins' bullpen sours people from going back to the well tonight, because they're in a great spot again. Vance Worley is taking the hill for Miami tonight, and while the 4.09 xFIP tells us he's better than his 5.35 ERA suggests, we're not worried. He's giving up a .349 wOBA this season and both righties and lefties are hitting him well. Also worth noting: the Marlins bullpen has been overworked lately, logging 12 IP in the last three days and 14 2/3 in the last four, so Worley could get left out there to twist in the wind if the Nats get to him early. Meanwhile, six of Washington's projected starters carry an ISO over .200 vs. RHP (Goodwin, Harper, Zimmerman, Murphy, Rendon, Lind), and of those, only Goodwin has a wOBA lower than .369. Try out InGame Fantasy for a totally new...
Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings – 8/8/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 8/8/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitchers Dallas Keuchel FD 9300 DK 11000 Opponent - CHW (Holland) Park - @CHW FD - 34.81 DK - 22.9 Ok. Like we talked about in the cash games article, the top two choices at SP are clear. It's Kluber or Sale and nobody else comes close in terms of consistency/safety and upside. Both guys are chalk in cash games, and should anchor an awful lot of GPP lineups as well. So with those guys being pretty obvious plays, we're gonna go slightly off the board here and talk Dallas Keuchel -- which might be the first time in DFS history a -250 favorite could be considered even mildly contrarian. I'd expect there to be a lot debate around the Astros lefty today, because the White Sox as currently constructed are incredibly awful against lefties, and Keuchel has the ability to dominate when he's clicking. And if we felt confident that we were getting him at 100 percent, we'd be interested in him in all formats. Unfortunately, he's been shaky since returning from a six-week injury absence, giving up six runs and fanning only five in eight IP over two starts. That's worrisome, but it's also the reason we're getting him at a nice discount (at least on FanDuel). To be clear, this isn't a safe, +EV play, but it is one with an awful lot of upside if Keuchel returns to form. Even with the last two starts included, he's carrying a 2.18 ERA, 3.16 xFIP and nearly 8 Ks/9. Those K numbers aren't as eye-popping as Sale or Kluber, but the matchup presents an opportunity for rare dominance -- the projected White Sox lineup has a .288 wOBA and .98 ISO vs. LHP this season. Chad Kuhl FD 6200 DK 6800 Opponent - DET (Boyd) Park - @PIT FD - 26.11 DK - 17.26 Yesterday's mediocre strikeout righty worked out so well, we're just gonna run it back. Well, sort of. Even though we analyze each slate and each matchup independently, there's just an awful lot of similarities to last night,when Trevor Williams one-hit the Tigers over seven innings....