Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 8/21/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 8/21/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitcher Chris Archer FD 10200 DK 12400 Opponent - TOR (Rowley) Park - @TB FD - 38.92 DK - 25.59 The pitching situation is nowhere near as dire as it was on Monday night's abbreviated slate, but even with a few interesting options, the projection system is pretty locked in on Archer for SP1 in cash games. The Blue Jays have struggled with right-handed pitching all season (23rd in wRC+), and a quick dive into the pitch values tells us that Archer's 37% slider usage could be problematic. Other than Kendrys Morales, and, to a lesser extent Nori Aoki, every other hitter in the Toronto lineup has reacted to the right-handed slider as if they've never encountered a breaking ball before. To wit: Josh Donaldson's .231 batting average in 2017 against righty sliders is the third-best mark on the team, and nobody else is over .207. But if that's too granular for you, just trust in Archer's 11.2 Ks/9 and Tampa's pitcher-friendly park and lock him in. Lance Lynn FD 8000 DK 7400 Opponent - SD (Richard) Park - @STL FD - 36.69 DK - 24.07 While you could argue for a couple of other, cheaper plays over Archer, we're going to have a hard time using anybody but Lynn at SP2 in cash formats. His early projections are strong enough that you could even consider him as an SP1 in tourneys if you just wanted to splurge on bats, and from an overall value perspective, he's the runaway play of the day at these prices. Facing a San Diego offense that ranks among the league's worst vs. RHP (.305 wOBA), Lynn has opened a -190 favorite, which puts him on equal footing with Archer and Carlos Carrasco in at least one regard. He obviously can't match the ceiling those guys give you, but that's embedded in the price. Plus, his modest 7.4 Ks/9 should get a boost from the Padres, who strikeout more often than just about anybody else against righties (25.3 K%). Patrick Corbin FD 8700 DK 9400 Opponent - NYM (Milone) Park - @NYM FD - 25 DK - 16.55 In case you've missed it, Corbin has been kinda decent this year. I mean, 8.75 Ks/9 and a 3.79 xFIP isn't pinging radars...
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 8/21/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 8/21/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. BALTIMORE ORIOLES This one is bound to be chalk, so take that for what it's worth. Camden Yard is the best hitter's park on the slate, and Chris Smith is the owner of a career 5.62 FIP, so it's safe to assume we'll be seeing heavy ownership on the Baltimore bats tonight. That dampens our enthusiasm a little, but not enough to recommend the fade -- there's just too much upside here to take a complete pass. Eight hitters among the Orioles' projected starters have an ISO over .190 vs. RHP this season, and the only one who doesn't is Mark Trumbo (.178) and he hit 47 home runs last year. You can literally play anybody you want, but Trey Mancini might want to be the first place you look. He's putting up massive reverse splits in his rookie season with a .397 wOBA and .277 ISO vs. RHP, and you might catch him underowned -- at least on FanDuel -- if the 1-4 stack is highly popular. Re: Chris Smith, for a guy who's been hanging around the bigs for nearly a decade, there's not an extensive track record on him. He's got 131 IP under his belt, though, and during that time righties have given him the most trouble (6.00 FIP, .340 wOBA). ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS This one's all about Robert Gsellman, who's been blasted by pretty much everybody this season. After coming into the year with some decent hype, he's struggled badly, yielding identical .370 wOBAs to righties and lefties, and a .200+ ISO to both, as well. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks' projected starters have a cumulative .217 ISO and .356 wOBA vs. RHP this season, and the middle 1/3 of the order are the obvious building blocks. Jake Lamb, Paul Goldschmidt and J.D. Martinez are all in the .280-.290 range for ISO vs. RHP this season, and Martinez (.364) is the only one of the trio with a wOBA below .400. It gets dicier after those three, but Peralta (.363 wOBA), Pollock (.337), Decalso (.335) and Ketel Marte (.338) are all worth considering. Try out InGame Fantasy...
Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings – 8/21/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 8/21/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitchers Taijuan Walker FD 7100 DK 7800 Opponent - NYM (Gsellman) Park - @NYM FD - 30.13 DK - 15.33 We don't necessarily love Walker tonight, but this is just a gross slate for pitching and the Mets have pretty much given up on the season, so that's a bonus. Of the guys they have left, Cespedes and Conforto are the only ones who scare us, and the projected starters come in with a combined .312 wOBA and .160 ISO vs. RHP this season, so that's something we're interested in trying to exploit. Plus, the matchup should suit Walker well. When he's struggled this year it's been mostly against lefties (.191 ISO allowed), and the few he'll have to see in the Mets lineups have a combined .124 ISO vs. RHP this season, even with Conforto putting up a .304. None of that makes Walker an especially exciting play; he's cruising along in the mediocre range in most of the metrics we care about (8 Ks/9, 4.21 FIP), but he's been moderately better away from Chase Field, and mediocre is actually kind of appealing tonight. Gerrit Cole FD 9300 DK 8700 Opponent - LAD (Wood) Park - @PIT FD - 28.9 DK - 14.82 Playing pitchers against the Dodgers is a good way to lose money in DFS, so the fact that we think Cole deserves consideration tells you a lot about how awful this slate is. On the plus side, Cole is one of the most talented arms going tonight and he'll be in a pitcher's park against a team with a fair amount of swing-and-miss in the lineup (21 K% vs. RHP). On the other hand, Cole's talent hasn't fully manifested itself -- he's been more competent than dominant with a 3.91 xFIP on the season -- and the Dodgers are one of the most dangerous offenses in baseball, ranking 3rd in wRC+ and 5th in wOBA vs. RHP. Keep an eye on the lineup though; there's a chance the Dodgers could be without Cody Bellinger and his .414 wOBA/.386 ISO vs. righties, and Adrian Gonzalez (.275/0.96) is nowhere...
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 8/15/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 8/15/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. COLORADO ROCKIES We're banking on recency bias here, because the relative under-performance of the Coors Field offenses last night (plus some high-priced pitching) means we could get the Rockies at relatively low ownership tonight. That's the hope anyway, because they're in an excellent spot to make noise against Braves rookie southpaw Sean Newcomb. Newcomb has some solid swing-and-miss stuff, but he leans on his curveball, and that's a problem in Denver, where the thin air tends to flatten the break on vertical movement. Also, we've got some righties to build around in the Colorado lineup who are putting up obscene numbers vs. LHP this season. Righties Nolan Arenado (.514 wOBA, .414 ISO), Trevor Story (.390/.314) and D.J. LeMahieu (.422/.154) are the obvious guys, but don't overlook Charlie Blackmon (.428/.262). BOSTON RED SOX We don't make a habit of picking on Mike Leake, because he doesn't give up a ton of homers, but he's also a low-K guy facing a team that rarely whiffs, so we like the Red Sox chances to compile production tonight. Vegas apparently agrees, because they've got Boston pegged with one of the highest totals on the night at 5.35 implied runs as of this morning. Home runs aren't what makes this offense tick, but there's probably more pop in this lineup than you might think. Mookie Betts, Andrew Benintendi and Mitch Moreland are all in the .195 ISO range vs. RHP, and Rafael Devers continues to rake since getting called up (.463 wOBA, .383 ISO in 52 PAs vs. RHP). You can also give Eduardo Nunez (.352 wOBA vs. RHP) a look, and the projection system likes Hanley on a points/$ basis. Try out InGame Fantasy for a totally new DFS experience. Promo code: DFSR LOS ANGELES DODGERS This one's a bit of a game theory play. It's always a little tricky to accurately project ownership on a big slate like the 14-gamer we've got tonight, but we like the chances that expensive pitching, Coors Field and an attractive total in the Tigers-Rangers game will divert attention away from the Dodgers and their...
Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings – 8/15/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 8/15/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitchers Danny Salazar FD 9300 DK 12200 Opponent - MIN (Colon) Park - @MIN FD - 33.61 DK - 22.25 Which Salazar do you believe in? The volatile righty has been really good since a six-week stint in the minors, striking out at least eight batters in all four appearances since being recalled. But the inefficiency issues that have intermittently plagued him throughout his career haven't cleared up completely. He walked four in 5.1 IP last time out against Tampa Bay, and while he only allowed one run and fanned 8, it's still a reminder that we can't ignore the fact that this is still a guy with 4+ BBs/9 since the beginning of 2016. That said, he might have the most upside on the slate with 12.66 Ks/9 this season. That FanDuel price could make him chalky, but it's almost too good to pass up completely. Kyle Hendricks FD 7900 DK 7700 Opponent - CIN (Castillo) Park - @CHC FD - 33.14 DK - 21.73 Ok, if you're hunting upside, Hendricks is not your guy. In fact, he's probably not even worth considering at all on one-pitcher sites. But we don't often need 30 DK points out our SP2, and at this price, we like his chances to return value. Really, it comes down to how long he lasts. The worry with Kendrick is abbreviated run -- he's topped 100 pitches in just one of four starts since coming off the DL, and the Cubs could continue to play it safe with him. The good news on that front is that the Reds rank near the bottom of the league in pitches seen per PA, and the offense should be kept in check by the conditions expected at Wrigley (mild temps with the wind blowing in). That's a big reason why the projection system has him slated as one of the top value options available at SP tonight. Try out InGame Fantasy for a totally new DFS experience. Promo code: DFSR GRAB A FREE TRIAL OF OUR PROJECTION SYSTEM, AND CHECK OUT DFSR PRO! START FREE TRIAL NOW! ...