Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings – 4/13/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/13/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitchers Luis Severino FD 6700 DK 6200 Opponent - TB (Andriese) Park - @NYY FD - 30.03 DK - 19.87 We've got a pretty stark case of haves/have-nots when it comes to pitching on both slates today. Madison Bumgarner and Yu Darvish are the clear studs, and Jonathan Gray makes a nice pivot off of MadBum in AT&T Park. After that, we're kinda throwing darts, but from a projected points/$ standpoint, Severino's an interesting play. The park hurts, as fly balls have a habit of leaving the yard in Yankee Stadium, and Severino has been troubled by homers from time to time. But if he can keep the damage to a minimum, there's some upside here. The 23-year-old righty has averaged 8.33 Ks/9 in his first 138 big-league innings, and he's trending up. Tampa Bay should provide a boost in that regard, because so far in 2017, the Rays look very much like the free-swinging bunch they were last year. Since the beginning of 2016, they rank third in MLB in K% vs. RHP (24.4%). That said, the breeze is expected to be blowing out toward right tonight, so the risk is real. But the air should be cool, and the price is right, so if there are some high-priced bats you want to fit in, or if you're seeking an SP2 with upside, Severino's a fine place to turn. Robert Gsellman FD 7300 DK 7000 Opponent - MIA (Chen) Park - @MIA FD - 25.94 DK - 17.2 The projections are less enthusiastic about Gsellman, at least partly due to the fact that the Marlins have been a pretty solid group of contact hitters since the beginning of last season. He's also an underdog in this matchup, and that shouldn't be disregarded. But unless you're willing to go back down the Francisco Liriano hole (maybe not a terrible contrarian play in limited exposure) or take a shot on Kevin Gausman in the Rogers Centre, Gsellman might have the best swing-and-miss stuff among the non-studs going today. He struck out 8.46 per 9 in eight appearances last season with a...
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 4/11/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/11/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. COLORADO ROCKIES Picking on Jered Weaver in Coors Field is about a chalky as it gets, but what are you going to do, fade it? Good luck with that. Sure, if he's able to keep the Rockies in check, you'll be sitting pretty because it'll probably sink a good chunk of the field. And it's baseball, so sure, it could happen. But we're playing probabilities here, and there's a much (much, much) better chance that Weaver's 84 mph fastball is gonna get turned around more than a few times tonight. Over the last two years, Weaver has amassed a 5.38 xFIP with 1.6 HR/9, and that was pitching with the Angels, with his home games in one of baseball's best pitcher's parks. Meanwhile, the Rockies' exploits are home are well-documented. Last season, they put up a .375 wOBA and .213 ISO in Coors Field. To put that in context, their 1-8 hitters last year at home were basically J.D. Martinez. So, yeah, every Colorado bat is in play here. Carlos Gonzalez is our preferred building block, especially on FanDuel, but you're probably going to want some level exposure to virtually everybody in the lineup. TORONTO BLUE JAYS Rogers Centre always makes a nice pivot and/or combo stack with Coors, even when Wily Peralta isn't on the mound. As we write about often, Peralta is a below-average guy in pretty much every regard, putting up a 4.41 xFIP with less than 6 Ks/9 over the last two seasons. His home runs allowed are less-than-astronomical, but he still gives up more than his share (1.3 per 9), especially for a guy with a 50% groundball rate. That all adds up to a soft matchup for a potent lineup that should be able to take advantage in a park that ranks among baseball's best for offense. Also, the pricing on FanDuel is just out of whack on Blue Jays hitters. Assuming they roll out their typical lineup, we like everybody in the 1-6 spots tonight. Fire up No Half Time for baseball season, and get a $25 bonus code when you...
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 4/11/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/11/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitcher Carlos Carrasco FD 9900 DK 9800 Opponent - CHW (Shields) Park - @CLE FD - 36.44 DK - 23.9 Here we have perhaps the best reason for dipping into an all-day slate, because reliable starting pitching is looking somewhat scarce on the night shift. Carrasco's got virtually everything you'd want in your starter. The only knock on him is health, and since he's a much better bet to make it through six innings as opposed to six months, the risk here is minimal. He's been at a K/inning or better each of the last three years, and 2016 was the first time in that span his FIP crept north of 3.00 (still solid at 3.32). Meanwhile, the White Sox are in the middle of a total rebuild, leaving the offense with only a few pieces that inspire anything resembling fear. The ballpark is a mild concern, as it does favor offense, but Carrasco's career numbers at Progressive Field are only marginally worse than his overall marks. All told, it might not have all the ingredients of a no-brainer on some slates, but for all-day cash games on this one, Carrasco is the clear choice. Jameson Taillon FD 8000 DK 8400 Opponent - CIN (Davis) Park - @PIT FD - 32.67 DK - 21.41 So, compared to what we saw a couple of days last week, the pitching on this slate isn't actually that bad. There's nobody outside of Carrasco who qualifies as an ace, but we're got a handful of usable dudes -- Jeff Samardzija at home, Cole Hamel at the Angels, etc. So it's interesting that the projection system has identified Taillon as its top play of on the night slate for overall points. He's a former elite prospect, and he turned in solid work in his first big-league action last season after missing two seasons due to injury. The K totals weren't exactly eye-popping (20.3 K%, 7.36 K/9), but he's still just 25 years old, so there's room for growth in that area, and at these prices we don't really need him mowing guys down. Early lines have the Pirates installed as a -175 favorite in this one with an 8-run total, so the expectation is that he'll be...
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 4/7/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/7/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. LOS ANGELES DODGERS Per usual, both teams at Coors Field are firmly in play, but we're giving the Dodgers the edge, because we're not sure opposing pitcher Kyle Freeland is a real person. Rumor has it he's a 23-year-old lefty who had a 3.91 ERA and less than 7 Ks per 9 in Triple-A last year, but I dunno. Sounds fishy. Meanwhile, the Dodgers had their trouble with southpaws last year, but took some nice steps to correct those issues with the addition of lefty killers Logan Forsythe and Franklin Gutierrez. Respectively, they'll likely be at the top of and in the heart of the order, and both would make fine additions to your stack. But then again, so would practically everybody in this game. I wouldn't be overly concerned about splits vs. SP either, because Vegas has the Dodgers pegged for more than six runs in this one, and odds are the kid making his major league debut at baseball's worst pitcher's park isn't gonna survive all that long. CHICAGO CUBS The Brewers found a way to keep the Colorado bats mostly in check during their four-game, season-opening set, giving up just three runs in the last two. Maybe that sorcery will continue tonight with Jimmy Nelson on the hill and the Cubs coming to town. Yeah. Maybe. Or -- just hear me out on this -- or maybe the the team with five hitters sporting a +.360 wOBA vs. RHP in the last two seasons will rattle some bats, and maybe Miller Park will play the top-five HR park it has proven itself to be, and maybe Jimmy Nelson will display the form that earned him a 5.12 FIP last season and get chased before the sixth inning like he did in 14 of his last 21 starts last year. But who knows. It's baseball. Anything could happen. If you choose to play the favorable odds, there's plenty to like the Cubs lineup. Virtually every hitter is worth some level of exposure, but Kyle Schwarber, Anthony Rizzo and Kris Bryant probably deserve the largest share of...
Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings – 4/7/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/7/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitchers Francisco Liriano FD 8000 DK 8900 Opponent - TB (Andriese) Park - @TB FD - 34.59 DK - 22.83 Woo, buddy. The pitching on the late slate is gonna make you nostalgic for yesterday, when the likes of Brandon McCarthy was a viable cash-game option. From the looks of what we've got tonight, I'd say Liriano is going to be one of the two highest-owned pitchers in tournaments, and that kind of tells you the whole story. The other option is Zack Wheeler, and he'd be the first place I'd turn in cash games, but Liriano might the best we're gonna get for GPPs, which, I know, is gross. But just wait. It's gonna get worse. Here's the pitch for Liriano: With the exception of a rough stretch in Pittsburgh last year, he's actually been pretty good over the last three years. Walks have always been an issue and resurfaced in a major way in 2016 with 4.69 per 9. What really sunk him, though, were the homers. After back-to-back seasons with .72 HRs/9 in 2014-15, he surrendered twice that number last year. So the move to Toronto in the second half looked a disaster waiting to happen, but he somehow found a way to navigate the hitter-friendly environs of the AL East and turned in 10 games of pretty solid work. Also, the strikeout potential is still there (at least 23% K rate and 9 Ks/9 every year since 2012), and the Rays led the majors last season in K% vs. LHP. So, while he's wildly inconsistent -- and just plain wild -- there is real upside here if the good version of Liriano shows up. Mike Fiers FD 7300 DK 7500 Opponent - KC (Vargas) Park - @HOU FD - 30.13 DK - 19.82 Listen, I don't relish the idea of trying to sell you on Mike Fiers. He's always been a pretty marginal talent, and he tanked last season as the homers climbed and his strikeouts plummeted. So maybe that's it. Maybe his two-year run as a K-per-inning guy is done and before long he'll relegated...