Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings – 4/24/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/24/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitchers Francisco Liriano FD 8400 DK 9700 Opponent - LAA (Nolasco) Park - @LAA FD - 29.5 DK - 19.58 If, prior to the 2017 season, you had no knowledge of Major League Baseball and no way to access historical data, you'd already know pretty much everything you need to know about Francisco Liriano, just from his three starts this year. When he's good, he's nasty. When he's bad, he gives up five runs in 1/3 of an inning. Trying to pinpoint which version we'll get in any given start is often a fool's errand, and yet here I am. Read into that what you will. Outside of Mike Trout, there's not much to fear from the Angels lineup and the ball park suppresses offense, but Liriano's upside (9.5 K/9 since beginning of 2016) is muted a bit by the fact that they don't strikeout all that much. On the other hand, they're also not walking much in the early stages of 2017, and that's a key factor if you're playing Liriano and absorbing the risk that comes with his career 3.91 BB/9 rate. Hyun-Jin Ryu FD 7200 DK 10200 Opponent - SF (Cain) Park - @SF FD - 27.91 DK - 18.33 I mean, I guess. This pitching slate is pretty brutal. Amir Garrett will undoubtedly be a more popular option, especially on DraftKings where here's super cheap and Ryu's price is tough to stomach. But since we wrote Garrett up with the cash game picks, we're going with Ryu and calling it a contrarian play. The park is obviously a primary motivator here, because no venue is more forgiving to pitchers struggling to keep fly balls in the yard. And homers have clearly been Ryu's undoing through three starts in 2017. A couple of notes about that: 1) two of his first three starts have come in Coors Field and against the Cubs, so home runs are gonna happen. But, 2) a 54.5% HR/FB ratio is just ludicrous. Those are home run derby numbers, and Ryu's career rate is less than 10%. So, regression is coming, and otherwise, Ryu...
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 4/21/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/21/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. CHICAGO CUBS It's a pretty rare occurrence that Coors Field doesn't get top billing in this column, but it's expected to be in the 40s in Denver tonight and the Cubs are facing a low-K guy with a breeze blowing out in Cincinnati, so here we are. The Cubs offense hasn't fully gotten on track yet this season, but the potential within this lineup is well-established. Dating back to last year, they rank in the top three in team wOBA and wRC+, and while Dexter Fowler has been replaced by Kyle Schwarber, if you're looking for maximum fantasy upside, that should be a net positive. As for Cincinnati SP Tim Adleman, we haven't seen much of him, but through 14 starts, there's an awful lot to like from the Cubs' perspective, including 1.71 HR/9, a groundball rate of just 35%, and an xFIP over 5.00. And though we've had some offensive duds in Cincinnati this season, it still ranks in the top 10 for HR factors in the early stages of 2017, and regressed over the last three years it's tied for first with Coors. SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS It'll be interesting to see where everybody comes down on Coors Field tonight. On one hand, paying a price bump on San Francisco's middling power isn't all that attractive. On the other hand, Coors Field. On one hand, Johnny Cueto is pretty studly. On the other hand, Coors Field. We're siding with the Giants here. Colorado starter Tyler Chatwood does a good job of limiting homers, but as alluded to, that's not really the attraction with the San Fran bats. A big part of the Coors effect has to do with its spacious confines, and we like the probability that a team with as many good contact hitters as the Giants will make use of those generous gaps. Dating back to 2016 no National League team has struck out less, and though the rest of the offensive numbers aren't eye-popping, they're about average vs. RHP. And sometimes average is all you need to be to pile up fantasy points in Colorado....
Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings – 4/21/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/21/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitchers Sean Manaea FD 7400 DK 7800 Opponent - SEA (Iwakuma) Park - @OAK FD - 31.7 DK - 20.81 It's a really interesting night for pitchers. We've got lots of nice arms going, but it's a 15-game slate and there's no clear chalk, so you can probably get just about anybody you want at low-ish ownership rates. But with Coors Field on the slate, not to mention the Cubs at the Great American Smallpark, we feel obliged to give you some low-cost options at SP. Manaea certainly fits the bill in that regard. The second-year lefty hasn't yet made good on the promise he showed in the second half of his rookie campaign, but the upside is definitely there, as evidenced by the 20 Ks he's racked up in 16.1 IP through three starts this season. But he's been burned intermittently by walks and an absurdly low LOB% that will surely normalize as the season progresses. The walks are probably a fluke of small sample size also, because control has never been an issue for Manaea at any level. Still, it's a little hard to completely dismiss the fact that he handed out five free passes in five IP last time out. The Mariners also aren't an ideal lineup to pick on, ranking second in baseball in wRC+ since the beginning of last year, but they're a little softer against LHP -- just ask Wei-Yin Chen, who held them hitless through 7 on Tuesday. The ballpark is major consideration here, too, ranking as one of the best pitching environments in baseball in overall park factors. Adam Conley FD 8300 DK 7000 Opponent - SD (Cahill) Park - @SD FD - 31.24 DK - 20.52 Sticking with the park theme, Petco isn't the offense killer it once was, but it's still not a bad spot to target, especially against the Padres. Sure, there's some punch in this lineup with Wil Myers supported by a solid young crop of hitters, but it's not exactly an intimidating bunch at this point. So far in 2017 they rank 24th in wRC+, and they're worse against...
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 4/18/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/18/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. BALTIMORE ORIOLES Yeah, it's chalk. Sue me. I'm only human, and like every other DFSer on the planet, my eyes light up when a team with as much thump as Baltimore enters the Great American Ballpark. And when Bronson Arroyo is taking the hill, it's just too much to resist. The wind is expected to be breezing in tonight, but that's only a slight concern, because the venue is one of the best in baseball for homers, Baltimore led MLB last season in home runs, ISO and ISO vs. RHP, and Arroyo has a long history of not striking guys out and giving up loads of fly balls. Odds are somebody's going deep tonight, and it could be multiple somebodies. The hard part is figuring out which one of the seven top candidates it might be. The best bet might be to just carpet bomb the whole lineup and get exposure to everybody. TORONTO BLUE JAYS Ok, so we gave you the obvious play. Now here's something entirely different. Sort of. Truth is, if you'd have asked anybody two weeks ago what they thought about the Blue Jays against a mediocre lefty in the Rogers Centre, they probably would've slotted them as one of the top two stacks on this slate. And that, precisely, is why we're writing them up here. I mean, I get it. They've been really, really bad to start 2017, and it's no fun building lineups with a bunch of dudes OPSing in the .500-.600 range. But we're trusting the true talent to come through for us, and even without Josh Donaldson in the lineup, there's nice upside for this lineup going against Brian Johnson, a 26-year-old non-prospect making his second big-league appearance. As a bonus: there's a good chance the size of the slate (15 games) and the Blue Jays' exaggerated struggles will keep their ownership low, so if this is night they rise from the dead, all the better for the few of use who will probably choose to roster them. Fire up No Half Time for baseball season, and get a...
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 4/18/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/18/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitcher Max Scherzer FD 11400 DK 12800 Opponent - ATL (Foltynewicz) Park - @ATL FD - 40.88 DK - 26.91 So how are you guys enjoying life in the multiverse? In this new reality we inhabit, the Braves are apparently good at baseball. How 'bout that? Nonetheless, our commitment to the former paradigm, in which Nick Markakis cannot exist as the cleanup hitter for a decent offense, remains strong. So we're throwing caution to the wind and recommending Scherzer for cash games Tuesday night, because until we see reason to believe otherwise, we're going to trust that he's still one of the most dominant arms in the game, a guy who in 34 starts last season went at least seven innings 20 times and had 14 outings with double-digit Ks. And even in this topsy-turvy world in which a five-game Atlanta winning streak is possible, we think their offense is kinda weak. Scherzer's one weak spot is a tendency to give up bombs, but we're not that concerned. I mean, cheers to Ender Inciarte for already surpassing last year's home run total, but beyond Freddy Freeman, there's not much in the Atlanta lineup to scare us. Yu Darvish FD 10700 DK 10700 Opponent - OAK (Triggs) Park - @OAK FD - 37.4 DK - 24.54 Darvish is similar to Scherzer in a lot of ways: a right-handed power pitcher with a fly-ball profile who averages more than 10 Ks/9 in his career. In fact, at 11.25 per 9, Darvish's career K rate is higher than Scherzer's, and he's stingier with the long ball. Of course, he's less durable and -- more salient for our purposes -- less likely get into the seventh inning and beyond. But that's baked into the price, and the projections say both make fine plays. We're partial to Scherzer, but Darvish's fly-ball tendencies will be cushioned by Oakland Coliseum, so as long as he's hitting his spots and keeping the pitch count manageable, there's plenty of upside for Darvish tonight as well. Zack Wheeler FD 7300 DK 7800 Opponent - PHI (Eflin) Park - @NYM FD - 34.7 DK - 22.83 For cash games, we can't see looking beyond Scherzer and Darvish. There's just not enough reason to go full...