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Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 4/28/17

Posted by on Apr 28, 2017 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured, News | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/28/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered.   ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS You're probably gonna be seeing the Diamondbacks an awful lot in this space -- specifically every time they face a lefty in Chase Field or another similarly great hitter's park. Their numbers against southpaws actually aren't very good this season, but that should be changing soon. They rank second in MLB in wOBA vs. LHP since the beginning of 2016 and they've got too many bona fide lefty killers to remain below average in the split for long. Paul Goldschmidt and Yasmany Tomas have posted .431 and .428 wOBA vs. lefties dating back to last season, A.J. Pollock owns a career .365 wOBA and .220 ISO in the split, and Chris Owings has a .353 wOBA and a surprisingly decent .178 ISO while hitting with the platoon advantage since 2016. They're getting rookie Kyle Freeland tonight, and while he's been decent in his first four MLB starts, he's walking too many, he's never been a high-strikeout guy, and his groundball rate so far in the majors far exceeds what he did in the minors. All told, he's a soft matchup, and the Diamondbacks should be able to take advantage of him tonight. Also worth noting: the Rockies' bullpen is depleted after working 12 innings in the last three days. That can't hurt. CLEVELAND INDIANS We actually prefer the Indians vs. RHP, but we like most anybody against Ariel Miranda. The 28-year-old lefty has a 5.26 FIP in 78 big-league IP with dramatic HR issues (1.94 per 9 IP). Progressive Field doesn't have the reputation of some other well-known launching pads, but it's still a pretty good hitters park, ranking 10th in overall park factors over the last three years. Meanwhile, the Indians are a patient bunch who don't strike out much, and they've got more than enough pop to pile up numbers -- especially with the addition of Edwin Encarnacion (career .232 ISO, .363 wOBA vs. LHP) in the middle of the order. The new cleanup hitter hasn't done much yet in 2017, but we're not worried. He started slow last year too, and still went...

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Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings – 4/28/17

Posted by on Apr 28, 2017 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured, News | 3 comments

Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/28/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered.   Pitchers Robbie Ray FD 8800 DK 8200 Opponent - COL (Freeland) Park - @ARI FD - 31.49 DK - 21.02 We've got a nice assortment of top-tier arms on tonight's 15-gamer, so if you want to pay up, you've got options. But other than Scherzer, our top cash game play, most aren't exactly in ideal situations. So, as is often the case, Robbie Ray is the first place we're turning for tourneys. The upside here is obvious. Since the beginning of last season, nobody on this slate -- not even Scherzer -- can match Ray's 11.27 Ks/9. Meanwhile, the Rockies are vulnerable against southpaws, especially away from Coors. Dating back to last season, they've got the eighth-highest K% vs. LHP and the sixth-lowest wRC+. Of course, if upside is all there was, we'd be paying a lot more for Ray tonight, so the risk must be acknowledged. He walks nearly 4 guys per 9 IP, which drives up the pitch count and shortens his outings, thereby lowering the ceiling -- sometimes significantly. Also, Chase Field may not be Coors, but it's not that far off when it comes to overall park factors. But taking on some risk is a necessary part of building winning GPP lineups, so we think the reward Ray offers when he's on his game makes his a worthy gamble. Charlie Morton FD 6300 DK 6900 Opponent - OAK (Cotton) Park - @HOU FD - 29.26 DK - 19.31 Speaking of risk... Charlie Morton. I'll wait for the laughter to subside. Ok, first things first: Charlie Morton has never been a good MLB pitcher. I mean, he's been decent enough to hang around the league for a decade, which is saying something, but a 4.00 xFIP and 6.39 Ks/9 aren't kind of career numbers we're looking for out of our tournament guys. That said, we think there's quite a bit of upside here -- at least for the price -- so if you've got some high-priced bats you really want to roster, Morton's low cost will make that much easier. But while bang-for-buck is really what's driving...

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Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 4/25/17

Posted by on Apr 25, 2017 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured, News | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/25/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered.   WASHINGTON NATIONALS There's no shortage of stacking options on this slate, as about half of tonight's games will be in nice hitters parks, but per usual, we're starting with the best of them all. We don't know an awful lot about Rockies starter German Marquez -- this will be his fourth career start and his first of the season -- but we know plenty about Coors Field. We also know enough about the Nationals' bats to not be too worried about a 22-year-old with little experience and modest pedigree. Washington's numbers against RHP are only slightly better than average this season, but the pure talent present in this lineup suggests they should be climbing the offensive leaderboards soon. As for Marquez, he started showing up in some Top 100 prospect lists for the first time prior to this season, and his minor league numbers are fine. But he projects as an average K guy with average-ish ground ball rates, so until he proves he can tamp down big-league offenses in his unfortunate home park, we'll be happy to stack against him. ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS The only reservation here is Clayton Richard's extreme ground ball tendencies (63.6% over his last 130+ IP dating back to 2015). Obviously, that keeps the ball in the yard and limits the chances of extra base hits. So, definitely take that into consideration, but also don't forget to consider the fact that he has a career sub-6 K/9 and the Diamondbacks have some guys who crush lefties. They were a top-five offense in baseball last season in both wOBA and wRC+ vs. southpaws, and that was mostly without the services of A.J. Pollock and his career .361 wOBA and .217 ISO vs. lefties. Other noted lefty killers here include Paul Goldschmidt (career .429 wOBA, .257 ISO) and Yasmany Tomas (.394 wOBA, .260 ISO). It's also worth noting that the Padres bullpen looks pretty bad. With full understanding that we're dealing with a sample size of just over 60 IP, we can't overlook the fact that they have the sixth-worst xFIP in baseball with the third-highest fly-ball...

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Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 4/25/17

Posted by on Apr 25, 2017 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured, News | 1 comment

Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/25/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered.   Pitcher Clayton Kershaw FD 12700 DK 14300 Opponent - SF (Blach) Park - @SF FD - 42.48 DK - 28.01 Holy cow, look at those prices. Gonna be an interesting night, folks. We've got a 14-game main slate that includes Coors Field, most of the better hitting parks in baseball, and Eric Thames, probably doing Thamesian things. Meanwhile, Kershaw will be eating up a mammoth chunk of your cap space and making it virtually impossible to get the hitters you really want. So be it. In cash games, he's just too good to pass up, especially in a terrible park for hitters against an average (or maybe worse) offense. The Giants lineup might just be trash. They entered Monday night ranked 25th in wRC+, and while the sample size is obviously too small to be reliable, this is really just a continuation of last year's ineptitude when they ranked 21st in wRC+ vs. lefties. If you a San Fran fan, these facts are troubling. If you're a cash gamer, they're just confirming what you already know: Kershaw is worth paying for. Kyle Hendricks FD 8500 DK 10200 Opponent - PIT (Cole) Park - @PIT FD - 31.1 DK - 20.45 Hendicks is in a decent spot tonight -- the Pirates are scuffling and the park is great -- but to be honest, it feels a bit like a half measure. He's in play, for sure. The question is, where do you feel comfortable playing him? He doesn't have the goods to keep pace with Kershaw in cash, and he's a little too costly for his limited upside in tourneys on most slates. That said, +$4K in salary savings is pretty significant, so if you can't find the bats to allow you to fit CK in, I suppose Hendricks is a fine place to turn if you believe his true talent lies closer to what we saw the last two seasons than what we've seen so far in this one -- and we do. Look, we're not saying he's gonna crank out another season with an ERA around 2.00, but positive regression is on the way. His current HR:FB ration is about 2.5 times the league average, and he's excelled at limiting homers in the...

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Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 4/24/17

Posted by on Apr 24, 2017 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured, News | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/24/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered.   COLORADO ROCKIES Per usual, you're going to want exposure on both sides of Coors Field tonight. The Nationals come in with one of baseball's most potent offenses, and the solid-but-not-spectacular Tyler Anderson isn't enough to push us off. Still, the prospect of spot-starting Jacob Turner in Coors Field is maybe even more appealing. The former first-round pick has never lived up to his pedigree, and is only cracking the Washington rotation today due to rotation shuffling with Stephen Strasburg on paternity leave. We haven't seen much of Turner since 2014 (just 24 IP in the bigs since then), but the track record tells us he can't get major league hitters out. In 323 career innings, he's struck out just 5.85 per 9 and owns a 4.45 xFIP. Meanwhile, the Rockies own a .375 wOBA and .215 ISO at Coors since the beginning of 2016. Also worth noting: Turner's quasi-reverse splits. He's yielded a .371 wOBA vs. righties in his career, compared to .321 vs. lefties, but his xFIP (4.76) is actually higher against lefties due to the fact that his Ks and walks are virtually equal in the split. All that we take away from that is that everybody's in play for Colorado today. TEXAS RANGERS The Rangers offense hasn't been great this season, but there's still plenty of GPP goodness in this lineup, and Phil Hughes should accentuate it. He's an extreme fly-ball pitcher with a long history of HR problems, and Globe Life Park is one of the better hitting environments in baseball. Hughes lives in the strike zone, but that's about the only nice thing we can say about him. Dating back to 2015, he's struck out less than 6 per 9, with a 34% hard contact rate and 1.7 HRs/9. He's also close to split-neutral, with a .353 wOBA allowed vs. righties over than span, and .348 vs. lefties. So, pretty much any Rangers bat you like is in play here, but the projection system is highest on Carlos Gomez, Mike Napoli and Rougned Odor, each of whom come with plenty of upside. Fire...

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