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Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 5/30/17

Posted by on May 30, 2017 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured, News | 2 comments

Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 5/30/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered.   COLORADO ROCKIES If you're looking at wRC+, you might be tempted to fade the Rockies tonight. Don't do that. Weighted runs created is a great metric, but it basically zeroes out park factors and tells you how an offense performs in a perfectly neutral environment. That does us no good tonight, because the Colorado homestand continues. In this case, the wOBA, ISO and OPS give us a better idea of what we can expect from the Rockies, who rank among the top 6-7 in each category vs. LHP this season. Tonight they get Ariel Miranda, a fly-ball guy with significant HR problems through his first 100 innings in the bigs. Nolan Arenado and Trevor Story are our favorite plays -- both have a .400+ wOBA and .300+ ISO vs. southpaws since the beginning of 2016 -- but as always with Coors, no stacking scenario is completely out of bounds, and the bigger the GPP, the more creative you can get. TORONTO BLUE JAYS The Rogers Centre is one of our favorite places to turn as a pivot off of (or to pair with) Coors stacks. Unfortunately, the Blue Jays didn't make it easy on us for the first month or so of the season. They ranked 28th in baseball in wOBA (.284) during April, which makes their current mark (.314) pretty impressive by contrast. They've also recently welcomed Josh Donaldson, Russell Martin and Troy Tulowitzki back to the lineup, so now at full strength, we see plenty to like about this lineup against Asher Wojciechowski. The 28-year-old is a journeyman minor leaguer who gave up 1.81 HRs/9 with the Marlins' Triple-A affiliate last season -- granted, we're talking about the Pacific Coast League, which inflates offensive numbers, but you know what else inflates offensive numbers? Josh Donaldson, Joey Bautista, and the Rogers Centre. The guy's in a tough spot here. Vegas has the Jays pegged with Coors-like 5.72 implied runs, so we think it'd be wise to get some exposure here. Fire up No Half Time for baseball season, and get a $25 bonus code when you use...

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Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings – 5/30/17

Posted by on May 30, 2017 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured, News | 1 comment

Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 5/30/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered.   Pitchers Jose Berrios FD 8600 DK 7300 Opponent - HOU (Fiers) Park - @MIN FD - 27.37 DK - 18.15 Ok, so the projection system isn't totally sold on the true arrival of Berrios, who's long been one of the game's most-hyped arms, but prior to this month had failed to deliver. Or maybe it just believes more in the Astros offense.  Either is sufficient to explain the less-than-enthusiastic projections you see above. Berrios has given us three straight quality starts since getting recalled -- two of which were very good, and one that was excellent. This very well could be the beginning of a long and dominant run for Berrios, but he's still a 23-year-old with sporadic home run issues, so hiccups should be expected from time to time until the track record tells us we don't have anything worry about any more. And while there's plenty to worry about against Houston, we think it's worth taking a flyer on Berrios, because he offers more upside than anything else you're getting at these prices tonight. Justin Verlander FD 9300 DK 10700 Opponent - KC (Skoglund) Park - @KC FD - 34.35 DK - 22.76 Speaking of worry, Verlander's given us plenty of reason for it through the first two months of the season. His Ks are down, his walks and homers are up, and he's giving up the highest hard-contact rate of his career. Not great. On the other hand, he went through a couple of bad months in the first half of 2016 before dominating in the second half of the season, and the velocity is still there for him, so while we're steering clear of him in cash games, we're not ruling out the possibility of a return to form. He's actually in a good spot for it tonight, because the Royals offense has been trash for a large portion of the 2017 season. They don't strike out a ton, but the accolades end there. They're tied for last place in the American League in wRC+ vs. RHP, and they're second to last in wOBA and OPS. Plus...

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Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 5/30/17

Posted by on May 30, 2017 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured, News | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 5/30/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered.   Pitcher Chris Sale FD 11700 DK 13400 Opponent - CHW (Quintana) Park - @CHW FD - 41.29 DK - 27.35 Even by his standards, Sale has been undoubtedly awesome in 2017. He leads all qualified starters in FIP (1.80) and xFIP (2.45), and he's second in Ks/9 (12.45) and top-five in ERA (2.34). He's put himself in the class of pitchers that have to be considered the top option in cash games every time they take the mound. That said, we also have to acknowledge that the fact that the White Sox are somehow not terrible against lefties. In fact, they're the best offense in baseball vs. LHP this season in terms of wOBA and wRC+, and only the Red Sox strike out less in the split. That legitimately gives us something to think about before we pay up at SP, especially with Coors Field on the slate. But here's the thing: every other pitcher on the slate is coming with a pretty significant risk in some form or other, so we'll side with the most talented one and take our chances. Robbie Ray FD 9400 DK 9600 Opponent - PIT (Nova) Park - @PIT FD - 34.15 DK - 22.48 If you want to play the matchup game and conserve some salary, Robbie Ray is in a decent spot, because the Pirates rank 22nd in wRC+ vs. LHP, and PNC Park is a pretty forgiving venue for pitchers. What we have to watch out for here are the walks. They're the reason we rarely recommend Ray in cash games, and the Pirates could exacerbate his control issues with the third-highest BB% (11.4%) vs. lefties this season. The good news is that Ray seems to have gotten his BABIP issues under control, so even though his free passes are up at a worrisome 4.35 per 9 IP, his FIP (3.65) is actually down a tick, and his run prevention is much improved (3.45 ERA) over last year. He also remains an elite source of Ks (11.1 K/9), so if he can find the zone consistently, he's got the potential to keep pace with Sale, especially when you consider the discount. Luis Severino FD 9200 DK 10200 Opponent - BAL (Tillman) Park - @BAL...

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Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 5/23/17

Posted by on May 23, 2017 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured, News | 1 comment

Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 5/23/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered.   ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS The fact that Dylan Covey's 5.41 xFIP is only the fourth worst on the slate tells you everything you need to know about the bottom of the pitcher barrel tonight. But even among a horde of BP-tossing meatballers, Covey stands out. The rookie is doing a pretty good rendition of James Shields circa 2016 with 11 home runs, 21 Ks and 16 walks in his first 35 IP. Of course, lots of pitchers have struggled in their first exposure to big-league hitting, but it's not like this is some big-name prospect who's just getting overpowered -- he's a 26-year-old with a marginal track record and if the White Sox weren't in total rebuild, there's a good chance he wouldn't be getting this kind of extended run with the big league club. As for the Diamondbacks, they're raking against RHP this season, with a league-best .356 wOBA and an NL-leading .201 ISO. Chase Field, of course, helps those numbers, and we expect it to do the same tonight. As of this morning, they're pegged by Vegas with the top total on the board with 6+ implied runs, and it's easy to see why. Paul Goldschmidt and Jake Lamb both have wOBAs over .450 and ISOs over .300 vs. RHP this season. Yasmany Tomas is at .392/.300. Brandon Drury: .391/.204. And the list keeps going. Literally every position player in the lineup is at least worth some level of consideration tonight. BOSTON RED SOX The Red Sox haven't been great against RHP this season, but facing Andrew Cashner can go a long way to alleviate that. Like we talked about in the cash game article, we don't see any reason to buy in to Cashner's recent run of decent starts. He's still walking more guys than he strikes out, which is a recipe for sure disaster sooner or later. Lefties have been especially hard him, posting a .366 wOBA since the beginning of last season, but he hasn't been very good against anybody (.335 vs. righties) and Fenway strongly favors right-handed hitting, so we think you can play just...

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Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings – 5/23/17

Posted by on May 23, 2017 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured, News | 2 comments

Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 5/23/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered.   Pitchers Jon Lester FD 10300 DK 11100 Opponent - SF (Cueto) Park - @CHC FD - 35.58 DK - 23.41 With Kershaw and Lance McCullers on the slate, we think there's a pretty good chance Lester gets overlooked tonight and with the wind blowing in at Wrigley, he's in a pretty good spot. The Giants have been the worst offense in baseball this season, and they're not much better against LHP, ranking 25th in wRC+ and 27th in both wOBA (.287) and ISO (.113). In their defense, they don't strike out a ton, but with a 20% K rate, it's not like they're making elite contact, either. Lester hasn't been exactly dominant, but his peripherals (3.57 xFIP) are in line with what we saw last year. The Ks are actually up slightly, and the ground balls are up a lot, so if he can get the walks under control, he's got more than enough to shut down the San Fran offense. One caveat here: There's rain in the forecast starting a little after first pitch, but forecasts can fluctuate a lot over the course of the day, so you'll need to keep a close on the weather in this one. Matt Shoemaker FD 8800 DK 9200 Opponent - TB (Cobb) Park - @TB FD - 29.29 DK - 19.44 We said it yesterday when we recommended JC Ramirez in this space, but there's equal amounts of upside and risk when you take a pitcher against the Rays this year. No team in baseball strikes out more (26% vs. RHP), but they're also fourth in the league in wRC+ and ISO (.194). The park should help Shoemaker limit the damage tonight -- and he could use a little help, because HRs have been an issue this season. But he's also pretty respectable when it comes to missing bats (8.94 Ks/9), and the prices only heighten our interest -- they're affordable, but not low enough to make him chalky, which is great, because if he runs up a nice total tonight, it'd be nice if we didn't have to share him with...

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