Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 6/13/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered.   Pitcher Clayton Kershaw FD 12500 DK 12900 Opponent - CLE (Bauer) Park - @CLE FD - 38.78 DK - 25.45 It's Kershaw Day, so y'all know the routine. Barring an unexpected announcement that he's going to experiment with throwing right-handed (and maybe even then), he's always in play for cash games. We don't love picking on Cleveland, because there are a lot of legit dudes in this lineup -- but they haven't performed that way vs. LHP this season. They rank 19th in the split in wRC+ and wOBA, and while they don't strike out a lot, they don't face many Clayton Kershaws, either. With some exceptions on the margins, CK has been more or less his usual self in 2017. His 2.20 ERA and 2.82 xFIP each rank third among qualified starters, and though he's not quite missing quite as many bats as we're used to, he's still fanning better than 10 per 9 IP, so we see no reason for concern. That said, we've got a handful of nice options at SP for Tuesday night, so you'll have to decide if you want to pay up. But while nobody's a sure thing in DFS baseball, Kershaw's about as close as they come. David Price FD 9300 DK 10100 Opponent - PHI (Lively) Park - @BOS FD - 35.76 DK - 23.53 Speaking of no sure things, this one will require a little bit of a leap of faith, because we've only gotten a brief glimpse of vintage David Price since his 2017 debut two weeks ago. He was sharp with 7 Ks, 3 hits and 1 run in 7 IP against the Orioles in his second start, and he was OK against the White Sox in his first time out, but he was knocked around by the Yankees last week. But here's the good news: the Phillies ain't the Yanks. Or the Orioles. Or the White Sox. They rank 22nd in wRC+ vs. LHP this season, and while they've shown some pop (.190 ISO in the split), we think there's upside here for Price. His track record shows a K-per-inning arm with excellent command who has done a great job (at least until last year) of limiting the long ball. Some...

Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 6/12/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered.   BOSTON RED SOX Ok, so the Red Sox aren't hitting for power. This is a troubling fact. They rank 27th in team ISO vs. RHP this season, despite playing most of their games in highly favorable parks. But this isn't a bad lineup -- 5th in OBP, third-lowest K% -- and Jerad Eickhoff's ineptitude this season (and that Vegas implied total) is just too much to ignore. Eickhoff is struggling to find the zone (3.5 BBs/9) and he's giving up runs in bunches (5.15 ERA). And with a .361 wOBA allowed vs. lefties, we'd have interest in Moreland, Benintendi, JBJ, et. al., no matter what. But 6.28 implied runs is kind of an eye-opener. We don't like to base our entire decision on a Vegas line, but anything over 6 is extreme. It won't go unnoticed either, so the Red Sox could be chalk. If there was a way to know that ahead of time, I'd be OK with fading them, but barring clairvoyance, we think you're going to want to get exposure throughout the order. Lefties are still our preferred bats, but that FanDuel price on Mookie Betts is too low to ignore. BALTIMORE ORIOLES Typically, we'd expect heavy ownership on the Orioles -- and just about anybody else -- against Mike Pelfrey. But Pelfrey's actually been pretty good at avoiding the blow-up this season (only one start with more than three runs allowed), so there's a decent chance large chunks of the GPP field are growing gun shy. That would be a good thing, as far as we're concerned, because we still think he's bound to get rocked sooner rather than later. Everything we look at tells us regression is looming. He still doesn't miss bats, his xFIP (4.95) is more than a run higher than his ERA (3.80), and his super-low wOBA allowed (.281) looks pretty phony based on his .340 xwOBA -- which by the way is an exact match of his career wOBA allowed. So, the hits are coming and when they come they'll likely pile up quickly. Of course, the Orioles have greatly...

Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 6/12/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered.   Pitchers Jacob deGrom FD 9700 DK 10200 Opponent - CHC (Lackey) Park - @NYM FD - 34.96 DK - 23.15 This is a weird pitching slate. Other than Strasburg, there are warts on every other option -- either in the form of a tough matchup or their own spotty track record. deGrom actually comes with a little bit of both ... or maybe neither. Like I said, this is a weird one. On pure talent, deGrom is one of the best guys going tonight. In 72 IP this season, he's fanning nearly 12 per 9 with a 14.7% swinging strike rate -- both of which surpass even his peak numbers of 2015. But he's also been inconsistent, giving up too many walks and homers, and he's coming off back-to-back terrible starts. Meanwhile, the Cubs are supposed to be baseball's most fearsome lineup, but so far in 2017, they've been below average -- especially against RHP. In the split, they rank 24th in both wRC+ (87) and wOBA (.307). So, depending on how you want to frame the argument, you've got a pitcher with extreme upside against a bad offense OR a struggling starter against one of the most loaded lineups in baseball. The truth, no surprise, probably lies somewhere between the two poles, but we think the probability that deGrom finds his form and the Cubs don't is high enough that we're going to want some level of exposure in GPPs. Rick Porcello FD 8800 DK 8600 Opponent - PHI (Eickhoff) Park - @BOS FD - 32.04 DK - 21.28 Again. All the warts. No doubt, Porcello is getting shelled this season. A 42% hard contact rate makes me think that .360 BABIP is giving up has been earned. But actually, Statcast disagrees. His xwOBA is .335, which isn't great, but better than might be expected, and his xBA (expected batting average) is just .266, well below his actual .305 BA allowed. So maybe there's some positive regression coming, as his FIP and xFIP would also suggest. Now keep in mind, even if the regression comes, he's a long way off...

Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 6/6/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered.   NEW YORK METS This has got to be one of the most intriguing slates I've run across in a while. Numerous elite pitchers, plus Coors Field, plus a handful of other offenses in great spots. With so many options, it's easy to succumb to paralysis by analysis, digging deeper and deeper into stats, splits, pitch values and scouting reports. There's definitely value in all of the preceding, and we don't discount it. But there's also value in knowing that Dillon Gee sucks against lefties and just stacking up the team that's loaded with them. It doesn't always have to be so complex. Gee hasn't made a start for Texas this season, and he spent most of last year as the Royals' swing man, but the track record here is sufficient to give us what we need: in nearly 400 innings worth of work against lefties, Gee has surrendered a .344 wOBA and owns a 4.76 xFIP. And most of that was earned in the National League and in parks much more forgiving than Globe Life. Meanwhile, the Mets have three bats among their first five hitters who are destroying righties this season. Michael Conforto (.427 wOBA, .313 ISO), Jay Bruce (.387/.303) and Lucas Duda (.396/.298) can deliver all the upside you'd get out of Coors bats, but without the price hike. DETROIT TIGERS It seems like it goes under the radar, but Jesse Chavez is serving up homers at a James Shield/Jered Weaver-like rate against righties (2.1 HRs/9, .245 ISO) since the beginning of last season. In the past, he's done a decent job of limiting damage, but that skill appears to be deserting him, too, because his ERA and xFIP continue to rise for the fourth straight season. The Tigers haven't been as sharp against RHP as they were last season, but they're still above average in the split, and there are plenty of individual pieces to like -- especially with a meatballer on the mound and the wind blowing out. The middle-of-the-order righties (Miggy, J.D. Martinez, Justin Upton) are our favorites, but the price is right on Nic...

Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 6/6/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered.   Pitchers James Paxton FD 9300 DK 8800 Opponent - MIN (Santiago) Park - @SEA FD - 37.12 DK - 24.3 On a slate that gives us Max Scherzer, Chris Archer, Jacob deGrom, Jake Arrieta and Robbie Ray vs. the Padres, nobody is a bigger favorite than Paxton. So, count Vegas among Paxton's believers, and we're right there with them. The projection system has him slightly off the Scherzer/Archer pace, but he's not far off, and coming at a relative discount, he stands a good chance to deliver the best value among the upper-tier of arms. The late-blooming lefty finally started delivering on his potential last season and he's only improved from there, registering 10.67 Ks/9 with a 1.26 ERA, 1.45 FIP and 2.98 xFIP in 2017. He missed most of May, but looked sharp in his return last time out, striking out six and allowing only three baserunners in 5.1 IP. He was limited to 74 pitches in that outing, and Seattle could be cautious with him, so there's risk of an abbreviated run here. But that's really the only thing we're worried about. The Twins don't strike out a lot vs. LHP, but otherwise, they're fine to pick on, with a .298 wOBA and 84 wRC+ on the season. Marco Estrada FD 8900 DK 9200 Opponent - OAK (Hahn) Park - @OAK FD - 35.44 DK - 23.31 The late career re-birth of Marco Estrada has taken some getting used to. As recently as 2015, he barely missed a bat, striking out just 6.5 per 9 IP. That number climbed to the mid-8s last season, and through 12 starts in 2017, he's up to 10.2/9 while trimming his walks. He's still a fly ball guy, and he'll get burned by the occasional homer, but that's where Oakland Coliseum comes into play with this pick. The atmosphere in Oakland -- plus acres of foul territory -- make this one of the most pitcher-friendly parks in baseball. The A's have some legitimate punch, especially since the emergence of Yonder Alonso. They lead baseball in ISO vs. RHP, so playing Estrada comes...