Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 8 Sunday 10/27/24

 

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Quarterbacks

Lamar Jackson FD 8800 DK 8000
Opponent CLE
Proj Points FD - 25.48 DK - 25.48

While I might like Bo Nix a bit more for cash games because of the pricing and just how great he’s been this season, we’ll start things off with Lamar Jackson. The Browns season is pretty much over, and Lamar has been the near-runaway leader in scoring fantasy points this season. The 15:2 TD: INT rate is as good as it gets, plus the 455 rushing yards rank 11th in the league among all players. That’s just ridiculous. He has as high a floor as you’ll see on a week-to-week basis.

Bo Nix FD 6900 DK 5600
Opponent CAR
Proj Points FD - 21.01 DK - 21.01

Opposing offenses have completely slaughtered the Carolina Panthers this season, and this game should be no different. The 243 points allowed is by far (and I mean by far) the most in the league, like full games more than the next closest team. Nix isn’t that expensive on either side and could very well be the DraftKings chalk, at least.

Yeah, the completion percentage is only 61%, but again, these are the Panthers we’re talking about. And Nix has averaged eight runs a game over the last three, keeping the floor high enough with his legs. This is all about the matchup, folks.

Running Back

Breece Hall FD 7900 DK 7300
Opponent NE
Proj Points FD - 20.12 DK - 23.04

The Jets season is pretty much on the line here, coming into this game 2-5 and likely already on the outside looking in where the playoffs are concerned. But they get the Patriots on the road as -7 favorites. Hall’s ceded plenty of carries to Braelon Allen this season, but in the last game, Breece played 82% of the snaps, seeing 12 carries and nine targets. They should lean on him heavily here in a game they pretty much need to win.

De'Von Achane FD 6800 DK 6200
Opponent ARI
Proj Points FD - 16.71 DK - 19.11

The Miami Dolphins will get Tua Tagovailoa back this week, and basically, everyone on their offense will be mispriced because of the last few disaster weeks. But now things should start operating “normally” again and we have a chance to buy all of them way low.

De'Von Achane is the RB1 here, carrying the ball 15 times last week and averaging more than four targets a game on the season. The offense is just set to look so much better, and the Cardinals are in the bottom third of the league in opponent rushing yards allowed per game this season.

Kareem Hunt FD 8100 DK 6300
Opponent LV
Proj Points FD - 17.47 DK - 18.88

The Chiefs, without basically ever WR, though, have added DeAndre Hopkins, and they take on the Raiders as big favorites. They’ve really leaned on Kareem Hunt in recent weeks since bringing him in off the scrap heap. He’s averaged 21 carries, 83 yards, and a touchdown in his three games.

Now he’ll face one of the worst teams in the league and because of some savings at QB and WR, we might not have all that hard a time fitting the salary.

Strongly consider Javonte Williams because, well, the Panthers.

Wide Receiver

Tyreek Hill FD 7600 DK 7000
Opponent ARI
Proj Points FD - 19.93 DK - 24.28

Jaylen Waddle FD 5900 DK 5400
Opponent ARI
Proj Points FD - 16.34 DK - 19.65

These guys’ prices are just a total joke. The Dolphins took weeks off from playing any offense and now will get their quarterback back in the mix. Admittedly, Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle have been terrible. But they’ve also been playing with backups.

The pricing algorithms correctly throttled them down, but now the algebra is complete with Tua under center. Remember, Tua was knocked out in the second game of the year. In the first game, Tyreek went completely off with a 7/130/1 line on 12 targets.

And while Waddle doesn’t have the same upside, the price doesn’t even make you think about it. These are some of the easier calls we’ve seen in some time and will be total chalk.

Courtland Sutton FD 5600 DK 5300
Opponent CAR
Proj Points FD - 12.6 DK - 15.51

Courtland Sutton air-balled last week with the old 0/0/0 line on 0 targets. Nice. Not easy to do when you play 86% of the snaps. But, like we’ve said with Bo Nix and Javonte Williams, a matchup against the Panthers is simply too good to pass up. Before that, he averaged nearly eight targets a game and was Nix’s top WR in the offense. I think we are buying low enough on both sites, especially FanDuel, to run him in cash because of the matchup.

Tight End

Travis Kelce FD 6900 DK 6000
Opponent LV
Proj Points FD - 14.4 DK - 17.96

With the Chiefs down basically every wide receiver, I’m still holding out hope for Travis Kelce here. The four catches on five targets for 17 yards last week isn’t all that encouraging. But I can’t help but think about the 10 and 9 targets he saw in the previous two weeks, respectively. There should be an opportunity here against the Raiders, and the addition of Hopkins might help open up some things in the offense.

Grant Calcaterra FD 4900 DK 3200
Opponent CIN
Proj Points FD - 8.13 DK - 9.9

The Eagles didn’t have to throw at all last week when they demolished the Giants, but that isn’t likely to be the case against the Benglas this time around. Grant Calcaterra is still the TE1 with Dallas Goedert out because of the hamstring issue. And he’s coming near the minimum on DraftKings where getting out of the tight end position cheap can usually make a lot of sense.