Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 8/28/17

Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here.

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COLORADO ROCKIES

Yeah, it's chalk, but if you're choosing to pay up for hitting, this is the first place you've got to turn. Their implied run total is over 7 as of Monday morning, and the full fade feels like more of a risk than I'm willing to take. On paper, it's looking like a bloodbath. Jordan Zimmermann is fanning fewer than 6 per 9 IP and has an extraordinarily low 32% ground ball rate this season. That tells us virtually everything we need to know, but if you need further evidence, consider that his 6.11 ERA is the worst in baseball among qualified starters and it's supported by a 5.46 FIP and 5.47 xFIP. In other words, Zimmermann has been precisely as bad as you think he is. The only hesitation on stacking the Rockies is the pricing, and really that's only an issue on DK, where the top five hitters are all $4.8K+. Over on FanDuel, the prices aren't that bad as far as Coors Field goes, but that also means the ownership will be that much higher. Blackmon, Arenado, Parra and Reynolds all have wOBAs over .350 and ISOs at or above .200 vs. RHP this season, but really, you can use anybody you want against Zimmerman. Lefties have a .219 ISO and .380 wOBA against his this year, and his numbers against righties aren't much better (.216/.351).

SEATTLE MARINERS

Seattle's implied run total is below five in this one, which gives me pause, but ultimately, I'm gonna take a shot on them. I'm not sure what Vegas sees here -- maybe they're expecting the betting public to be spooked by the Mariners' under-performance at Yankee Stadium this weekend, but it's going to take more than that to get me to fade the chance to pick on Chris Tillman. He's only thrown 74 innings this season, and that's the only thing keeping him off the wrong end of the ERA leaderboard. He comes in with a 7.75 mark that's more or less backed up by a 6.49 FIP and 5.54 xFIP. Righties are pummeling him (.416 wOBA, .276 ISO), but he hasn't been any better against lefties -- just differently bad. He's walking more than he strikes out (12.8 K%, 18.9%) with a .425 wOBA and .176 ISO allowed, and we like those Mariners lefties in Camden Yard, especially Alonso and Cano. Along with Nelson Cruz, they should form a nice core -- each have an ISO over .215 and a wOBA over .360 vs. RHP -- and you can build off of them in either direction. Segura (.348 wOBA), Seager (.187 ISO), Haniger (.353/.180) and Zunino (.251 ISO) all look like solid options for rounding out your stack.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES

Camden Yard is always a solid pivot off of Coors Field, and the fact that the Orioles are favored with Chris Tillman on the mound is maybe the strongest possible indictment we can offer against Marco Gonzales. We don't have much of a track record on the 25-year-old lefty (58 career IP), but what we know isn't good. He's given up 7 HRs in less than 21 IP this season, and while we're having fun with small samples, here's what righties have done against him in 2017: .450 wOBA, .405 ISO. Yeah, it's only 44 PAs, but still. The downside here is that only Machado (.217 ISO) and Schoop (.289 ISO, .388 wOBA) have posted strong numbers against southpaws this season, but Tim Beckham has been solid (.350 wOBA) and he's still rolling with only two hitless games since coming over from Tampa at the deadline. It gets sketchier after that, but we're willing to take a flyer on any of the right-handed power bats in the Baltimore order tonight.

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