Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 7/31/17

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KANSAS CITY ROYALS

You won't see the Royals leading this article often, but they've got a matchup tonight that looks too good to pass up. Ubaldo Jimenez is taking the hill for Baltimore, and that's enough to put any offense in consideration for top-stack status. Jimenez has been in rapid decline for the last four years, and enters the final 1/3 of the 2017 season with a career worst 5.85 FIP with 2.1 HRs/9. His biggest difficulties come against lefties, who own a .412 wOBA against him this season with 3 HRs/9. And even though the Royals don't give us a lot of lefties to choose from, we're happy to build around Hosmer (.377 wOBA vs. RHP) and Moustakas (.372 wOBA, .304 ISO). The short porch in right at Camden Yard, also amplifies the attraction to bottom-of-the-lineup dudes like Brandon Moss and Alex Gordon. And while lefties are our preferred bats against Ubaldo, we don't have to fade the righties. The .334 wOBA Jimenez is giving up against right-handed hitters isn't eye-popping, but it's well above average, and considering his struggles holding runners, Whit Merrifield and Lorenzo Cain are definitely in play.

CLEVELAND INDIANS

Doug Fister gives us another golden opportunity for lefties, and while Fenway Park puts a damper on left-handed power, we like the Indians' chances to pile up some runs tonight. Dating back to the beginning of last season, Fister is giving up a .405 wOBA to lefties, and he'll be seeing five of them among Cleveland's top six hitters. Meanwhile, he's been pretty tough on righties, but we're not fulling willing to bet against Edwin Encarnacion's ability to take aim at the Green Monster. As a team, the Indians rank 6th in wRC+ and wOBA vs. RHP, but only 11th in ISO -- in other words, they don't rely on HRs to inflict significant offensive damage. They've got six regulars with a wOBA over .340 vs. RHP (Ramirez, Brantley, Almonte, Encarnacion, Zimmer, Santana) so you've got a variety of options throughout the lineup.

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TORONTO BLUE JAYS

Nobody likes to fade the possibility that James Shields goes into HR Derby mode, and the Blue Jays have the highest implied total on the board as of Monday a.m., so expect this to be a popular play tonight. Shields owns a 6.56 FIP and has given up 2.13 HRs/9 in 50 IP this season, which are actually even worse rates than the ones he put up last year when he surrendered 40 HRs in 180 IP -- 13th most in a single season in MLB history. Toronto hasn't had much success against RHP this season, ranking in the bottom third of the league in wRC+ and wOBA, so if you're looking for a reason to fade the chalk, you've got one. But we'd prefer to have at least a little bit of exposure here, and Justin Smoak (.381 wOBA, .292 ISO vs. RHP) is the guy we'd like to build around.

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