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Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

05/01/2017
Brent Holloway

Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 5/1/17

Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here.

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CHICAGO CUBS

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Vincent Velasquez has the ability to hit double-digit Ks, and the Cubs struggled some in April against RHP, but other than that, this is about as ideal as it gets. Velasquez hasn't been able to throw strikes consistently so far this year (5+ BB/9), and even when he's on his game, he's an extreme fly ball pitcher. Meanwhile, the Cubs love working the count and have very few true weaknesses in this lineup. Also, the wind's blowing out in Wrigley. Did we mention that? Gusting might be more accurate. It's expected to be over 20 mph toward the bleachers at game time, so there's a very real chance that this one turns into a home run derby, which is why Vegas has it pegged with a 10.5 total.

HOUSTON ASTROS

Minute Maid Park is a fine place to go homer hunting, too, and the Astros aren't gonna cost you quite as much as the Cubs' big guns. They also get Andrew Cashner tonight, and while he doesn't serve up homers quite as often as we'd like, in every other way, he's exactly the kind of pitcher we like to pick on -- below average Ks, above average walks and more than enough hard contact allowed. Lefties have been especially troublesome for Cashner over the course of his career, but everybody's giving him fits lately. Dating back to last season, he's got a .358 wOBA allowed to righties and .366 to lefties, so virtually every Astros bat deserves some level of consideration. Since the beginning of last season, Jose Altuve, Yuli Gurriel and Carlos Correa all hold wOBAs north of .350 vs. RHP, while Evan Gattis has an ISO of .241 in the split, giving you nice building blocks throughout the batting order.

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KANSAS CITY ROYALS

Yeah, I know. Quite the drop off in terms of firepower from the previous two, right? I guess we know how the projection system feels about Dylan Covey. Vegas feels the same, because on a cool-ish night in a pretty weak park for offense, the Royals have the third-highest implied team total on the board. There's not a ton of power in the Kansas City lineup (in fact, they rank last in wRC+ vs. RHP this season), but they're affordable and should be able to compile some numbers in this matchup. Let's get to Covey, but he's the true attraction here.  The short version is that he's not very good at pitching. He's walking more than 5 per 9 IP this season, and it's not just a matter of adjusting the big leagues -- he walked 5.22/9 in Double-A last year. He's also not much for missing bats. Sure, he'll probably improve on his current 3.77 Ks/9, but his career high in the minors was 7.98 in 29 Double-A innings last year, so he's gonna be below average in that regard. All told, he projects as a guy who's not ready for the majors, so even though they've had their own problems, the Royals are in a nice spot tonight.

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