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How he leveraged DFSR's tools and his own skills to take down the DraftKings NFL Sunday Million
Sunday was a crazy night in our corner of the daily fantasy football universe. Our entire chat room was sweating DFSR user Andrew Morris, who managed to take down the Sunday Million with only a single entry.
How did he do it? A combination of luck and skill, of course. Let's take a look at his line-up.
Andrew is going to come on our NFL Podcast on Thursday to share his thought process, but here's a little information to get you started.
Right away we see guys that were showing up in our optimal cash game line-ups, like Le'Veon Bell, Jarvis Landry, Taylor Gabriel, Emmanuel Sanders, and Zach Ertz. Our projection system had picked Bell out as a clear must play, even at those prices, where the last 4 looked like big time values relative to their match-ups and current roles with their teams. It turned out that it was mandatory to play Bell if you wanted to win a big tourney this weekend, and doing so helped Andrew effectively eliminate the 75% of the field that chose not to play him.
Andrew also happened to get good separation by playing Ertz and Landry at less than 5% each. One interesting thing about our line-up optimizer is that it doesn't actually care how highly owned a guy is going to be, and while this introduces some amount of risk for 50/50s, it can also help find diamonds in the rough for big tourneys.
Then, Andrew brought his own special sauce to the occasion. He locked in Kirk Cousins, DeSean Jackson, and Jeremy Hill. Hill wound up being fantastic in a brutal weather game, and the Cousins/Jackson pairing provided very solid value on excellent prices while also giving Morris a bit of further separation on the field.
For his defense, Andrew did an excellent job of taking a defense that had a match-up worthy of being a chalk play that was slightly under-owned as compared to some of the more obvious plays (like the Jets or Bengals). Grabbing the Falcons against the erratic Rams was a real shark move, here. The Rams had a low total on the day, sure, but they also were likely to be playing from behind. Playing from behind means more chances need to be taken, and Atlanta capitalized by delivering a pick 6 and then knocking the ball loose from Goff's hands and running a fumble back for a TD as well.
And the result? Andrew Morris brought home the million.
Listen - no optimizer is going to be a one-click win button in the Sunday Million from week to week. But by combining his own excellent ideas with the solid statistical underpinning that our optimizer provides, Andrew was able to make some seriously life-changing money.
If you want to grab a 3 free day trial to our projection system and join the DFSR family - we'd love to see you on board. Best of luck this week, and be sure to listen to Thursday's NFL podcast to hear from Andrew Morris himself.
image sources
- Le’Veon Bell, Emmanuel Lamur: AP/Michael Conroy
11 Visitor Comments
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Congrats!
seriously, that’s amazing!!!!!!!!!
Badass! I’ve been using DFSR for a year or two now and I love it. Congrats, that must been a surreal feeling.
Awesome
Awesome. Congrats!
I can particularly appreciate how you site the need to use the info you provide with your own research. To me this is the key… a lot of your criticisms comes from people thinking your the panacea to their lack of DFS knowledge. Keep up the great work and very solid prognostication.
Awesome do Congrats
How much money did he spend on his lineups?
He entered one lineup.
Remarkable victory for an even better person. Go Andrew.
Congrats!!