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Daily Fantasy NBA Basketball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 3/8/16
Well yesterday was a bit nuts huh? Memphis sits three of their best players only to go out and field a team of phenomenal punt plays en route to a win over the Cavs. Just crazy. Tonight should be tame comparatively. There are some good defensive teams, and the Lakers going tonight with a few interesting plays. None of the real expensive dudes are running which makes lineup creation just a smidge easier. Let's get to it.
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POINT GUARD
John Wall - FD 9600 DK 9400
Opponent - POR
FD Proj. Pts - 44.71 DK Proj. Pts - 45.94
Like I said at the outset, tonight is an odd night in the DFS NBA landscape. No player on FanDuel or DraftKings is over 10K. That means you are going to roster at least a few of the top salary guys simply because you can and will need the raw points. I suppose the question to begin will be Wall or Lillard? Because you see his picture about an inch and a half up to the left, you know we like Wall. Both Portland and Washington have been below average against point guards, but our system thinks Lillard is a tad overpriced and you are getting a better bargain from both a floor and ceiling perspective on Wall.
Shane Larkin - FD 3900 DK 3700
Opponent - TOR
FD Proj. Pts - 22.08 DK Proj. Pts - 23.15
Know this: the Nets are horrible. But horrible teams get to play games too and they even have to run out guys like Larkin for extended run. He's played more than thirty minutes in the last two games while averaging a 15/6/3. It's tough to completely count on the guy as the Nets do play the loser PG carousel between Larkin and Sloan. But Shane's played well enough in the short term to warrant a moderate minutes expectation boost. If you think he sees the run then he's close to a must play at his points/$ projections.
Shelvin Mack - FD 3900 DK 4300
Opponent - ATL
FD Proj. Pts - 21 DK Proj. Pts - 22.49
Revenge game! I don't believe in such nonsense of course but some folks jump on that narrative bandwagon. Our system has no idea Mack used to roll deep on the Hawk bench, but it does like Mack's expectation if he's still the Jazz point guard. As said on the Zach Lowe podcast the other day, it's more a testament to how bad the Jazz ballhandling situation is than it is a compliment for Mack that he's the starter. But he's still coming cheap and running with the varsity.
Elfrid Payton - FD 5600 DK 5900
Opponent - LAL
FD Proj. Pts - 28.62 DK Proj. Pts - 29.19
Yes, I know the Lakers took down the big, bad Warriors the other night. They still stink on defense. LA's ranked dead last in defensive efficiency this season and it isn't particularly close. I'm all over some of the Magic guys tonight, Payton being one of them.
SHOOTING GUARD
Zach LaVine - FD 5500 DK 5800
Opponent - SAS
FD Proj. Pts - 27.69 DK Proj. Pts - 28.88
This is a bad matchup for Lavine from a game perspective with the Spurs opening as -10.5 favorites. A blowout could lead to Lavine seeing greatly reduced minutes. And oh those minutes. Sam Mitchell has found something he loves in Lavine and that means the terrible coach is running dude out there for seemingly infinity run. Shooting guard has its issues today leading me to most likely taking the chance on Lavine no matter what. I'm just worried he gets those minutes buzzed.
Victor Oladipo - FD 6600 DK 7100
Opponent - LAL
FD Proj. Pts - 30.68 DK Proj. Pts - 32.16
The Magic are a little bit all over the place right now with their injury situations and who they want to run between the two and three. Some of that confusion is thanks to recent uncertainty about Oladipo and Fournier. But things may be getting back to normal now that Dipo is back and playing a full compliment of minutes. If you think he's going in the mid 30's then he's basically a lock for me on FanDuel. As it stands, even coming on the back-to-back and questions about minutes I think I'd still take the chance on him because of how porous the Lakers are on D.
Consider Arron Afflalo
SMALL FORWARD
Carmelo Anthony - FD 9100 DK 8400
Opponent - DEN
FD Proj. Pts - 42.68 DK Proj. Pts - 44.78
Melo falls into that John Wall category for me in that he's one of the better points/$ plays among the big boys on this slate. Dude's been chucking from the rafters over his last ten games or so. Only one of them (his most recent) has seen him take less than 20 shots in an affair. The results have been a steady performance over this stretch with a higher floor and limited ceiling. Carmelo doesn't shoot enough threes to really blow it out of the box in scoring even when he's putting up shot after shot. But the volume against a below average Denver defense should be there.
Kent Bazemore - FD 4900 DK 5200
Opponent - UTA
FD Proj. Pts - 23.78 DK Proj. Pts - 25.08
Since the minutes crept back up to close to thirty a game, Baze has been paying his FanDuel price easily. Part of that is he's been shooting more threes with his time on the court. Baze isn't lights out from downtown, but he gets the job done while also chipping enough on the boards to make a solid cash game play. The Jazz are a tough defensive team but Bazemore is here because the continued opportunity is outpacing his price at the moment.
Otto Porter - FD 4400 DK 4400
Opponent - POR
FD Proj. Pts - 18.92 DK Proj. Pts - 19.61
The last time Bradley Beal missed a game Otto Porter went out and played 36 minutes with a 15/8/4/2 line. Is that a small sample size from more than a month ago? Hell yeah it is. But I could see it happen again tonight. Porter's seen his price steadily drop since Beal's return as the minutes really haven't been there with the latter coming off the bench. That won't be the case here. And while yes Washington is a slightly different team, Porter is still running with the starters and could stick on the court to provide more scoring.
POWER FORWARD
LaMarcus Aldridge - FD 7400 DK 6800
Opponent - MIN
FD Proj. Pts - 36.46 DK Proj. Pts - 37.24
What we know is that Pop won't be at the game tonight because he's dealing with a personal issue at home. Does that decrease the chance of getting Pop'd on this slate? Maybe, unless he's brainwashed the assistant coaching staff as well. The Spurs are on a back-to-back tonight and heavy favorites against the T-Wolves. But if you think LMA goes full (he got a rest night on Saturday) then he's a top play at power forward. Minnesota is about average against opposing fours this season and it wouldn't totally shock me to see Kawhi get some rest in this one. That's total conjecture of course, these are the Spurs we're talking about. Aldridge isn't the most exciting player in the NBA to watch, but he's consistent when the minutes are there. Putting up double-doubles like he's getting paid for them (which he is) and his projection has him in line for another one tonight.
Thaddeus Young - FD 7000 DK 6800
Opponent - TOR
FD Proj. Pts - 34.51 DK Proj. Pts - 35.8
The Nets sat him at the last second on Saturday (along with Brook Lopez) and leading to one of the better NBA DFS pre-lineup lock scrambles in some time (the Spurs sitting a bunch of guys aided and abetted as well). Young and Lopez only sat for rest and both should be back at full go tonight. It's a tougher matchup against the Raptors in that they're above average against power forwards, but this slate is tough almost all around from a defensive perspective. The only thing that could jeopardize his minutes is how well Thomas Robinson and Willie Reed played the other night. If you think they cut into his run then he's getting bumped down out of consideration.
Markieff Morris - FD 5100 DK 5500
Opponent - POR
FD Proj. Pts - 27.78 DK Proj. Pts - 28.74
Tournament play though our system may start insisting you play him in cash games as well. The Wiz will be without Bradley Beal and his 12-16 shot attempts per game. While Markieff isn't the positional replacement for Beal, he could certainly see more looks and there are minutes to get passed down the line. The Wiz are already forced to play small some of the time and Portland isn't a bad matchup to go a little undersized if need be. If the minutes creep into the low 30's then I'll certainly take the risk on Markieff with the expectation that he's getting up double digit shots at least.
Strongly consider Paul Millsap
CENTER
Rudy Gobert - FD 6900 DK 6600
Opponent - ATL
FD Proj. Pts - 31.95 DK Proj. Pts - 32.53
Woof is center every gross tonight. Really no options you'd feel entirely comfortable throwing out there. And I don't think Gobert is necessarily a lock for value. But he's seen an uptick in minutes lately, playing 34-37 almost like clockwork. He's not a big part of the offense, averaging only about six shots per game though he's incredibly efficient on the few dunks or post shots he gets. Gobert derives his value through rebounding and blocked shots. The latter are tough to count on game to game which can lead to swings in his production. I'm taking a slight discount on him at a weak position.
Karl-Anthony Towns - FD 8900 DK 7900
Opponent - SAS
FD Proj. Pts - 41.18 DK Proj. Pts - 41.89
KAT went beast mode last night against the Hornets to the tune of a 28/14. The Minnesota announcer went so far as to say during the broadcast that Towns would end up being the greatest T-Wolve player of all-time over Kevin Garnett. He's sure as hell off to a good start. Only the blowout has me worried here, but if Minnesota can stay in the game it's likely because Towns played well and ran a ton.
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- John Wall, Jordan Clarkson: (AP Photo/Nick Wass)
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anyone feel like shutting it down for NBA and just prepping for MLB??? Seriously considering it now that 350 can’t even win a person a double up anymore. I gotta say, I think this has honestly become the riskiest sport! Even more so than MLB because at least in that sport people will actually have different lineups!!! You can make all the right plays in NBA on any given night and still lose because every chalk play is 70 percent owned and one slipup at a spot is now instant death! Might as well just play all tournaments now that stringing together consecutive winning cash game nights is a huge task. Very disappointed with the lack of regulation by Fanduel regarding multi entri and Draftkings can we get some quintuple ups with more than 28 people already???
^^^Ditto…I’ve been thinking that the last few weeks. some nights, I score 325 in 50/50s and get nothing. what’s the point, might as well throw my mo away in gpps, at least if I hit, i hit big.
It’s been crazy, and I am glad it’s not just me. Kinda glad I don’t do 50/50s from the way folks describe them here, but the FD 20 team leagues are getting much more competitive than even two weeks ago. Sick of all the rest days leading to super obvious punt plays.
I agree. I’m also getting tired of taking time to pick my optimal lineup and then a ton of late scratches has me scrambling
Just had a big meeting about MLB today! We’re getting pumped. The optimizer should be amazing.
I don’t think NBA is the riskiest sport, per se, but you’re right that the low hanging fruit of the early season is kinda gone at this point. Still sticking with it because the edge is there, but definitely excited to go after the new MLB money in April.
I went 325-377 in 5 different lineups and only won $15 total….this is getting ridiculous.
I feel the same way considering giving up, one week 340 will win then next day I get 340 then 380 wins. Seems to be a pattern have invested as much as I have won and have been scoring high. Breaking even isn’t the goal while i’m usually missing big money by 25 and less points.
I was starting to think the same thing. It’s extremely frustrating when you put together a great lineup, score 320+ pts, and still don’t even come close in a 50/50.
I agree .. It takes about the same amount of points to cash in a 50/50 as it does to cash in a gpp anymore. Even the cash games takes more points to cash than a gpp sometimes. So why not just load up on gpps because at least it has the opportunity to cash big but still double up anyway. Last night I got gun smoked in cash but tripled up in gpps with same lineups.
I am seeing results that suggest a well diversified GPP portfolio might be safer than playing 1 cash game lineup everywhere. It just takes more time. Tough.
Has anyone ever seen a lineup cash in a GPP but miss the cash line in a 50/50? Had that happen last night. Very strange.
It’s because most people playing 5050 s and heads up type games are people like us that do our research spend a decent amount of time figuring out who the best players are and why so you’re going to get a lot more overlap and 5050 especially recently with the lot of obvious plays like green last night and Alex Len recently. I think it’s more also that most of us that do the 5050 s are checking lineup changes right up to the last minute while the big tourneys have a lot of newbies and people who may set a line up the night before or earlier in the day and just not check it. I’ve also noticed that it’s becoming harder to cash in 5050 ever since the lineup optimizer came out it makes it easier 4 people newer to DFS to just plug in certain place but they would never know about because they don’t do their research. As a lot of variables and reasons why this is happening right now but I’ve been feeling the same way recently I’m playing more tournaments because when you do get the higher scores at least you’re making more than double you making triple 5 times 10 times 100 times what you put in so until things start to level out I will definitely be putting less money into cash games.
Its just too predictive of a sport. Last season, those of us who were somewhat good cleaned up and now its like everyone can just go to DFSR or Rotogrinders and then get lucky using picks along with one random guy who goes off and then gives them the edge they dont even deserve IMO.
I also believe the overall talent level in the NBA is at an all time high and is causing these scores to be anlot higher. (yes, this is the most stacked I have ever seen a single season of NBA weather I was playing DFS or just watching as a fan).
MLB is frustrating too l, but I realize that this is the now the next best thing to make money at other than football because ownership will almost always be all over the place and there arent as many obvious plays.
Lineup construction matters a lot more in MLB, and to some degree, there’s a secret sauce there that’s not as intuitive for casual fans. We’re working on building that into our lineup optimizer UI, but it’s tricky. We’ll probably put out a few strategy articles on the subject when we come up for air on this development project.
I agree, been playing since 2011 bout to shut it down. Multi entrys are killing the games. Like a snake eating it’s tail fd and dk are slowly but surely killing themselves imo.
And yes Taylor me as well haha and then I put up an even higher score in the 25 dollar slam and lost
I’m equally frustrated, it was easily my highest cash game result without a win. I do think it was a rather rare freak occurence though… I knew when I looked at the choices before doing my lineup that it would be very difficult to choose the right combination with so many good choices, especially on DK with less positions and salary available to spend. I almost took the night off last night because of that – but I am too addicted I guess. Does ‘Draftsaholics Anonymous’ exist?
Question to DFSR or James, lol do you guys think we will ever see a drastic reduction to the max number of entries in GPPs? I never used to complain about this, but I’ve come close to hitting it big playing only my cash lineup and then a tourney lineup (2 lineups per night) and then I watch these guys with 250+ entries that have made every single pivot put through one single lineup better than mine and it makes me sick every time. Don’t get me wrong, these big time guys are good, but how good they actually are is largely overblown when you consider how many lineups they throw in. Perhaps if we are lucky, this will be something DFS sites need to get a grip on if they want to have a future. I’m keeping my fingers crossed because there are a lot of individuals who simply abuse DFS and I am not just saying that out of frustration, I mean it. Sometimes I think the guys who invented DK and FD are like little kids. Smdh
My opinion is you will see the single entry size increase but you won’t see the overall GPP sizes decrease. There is too much of a demand in the large GPP for them to decrease it. But if you have noticed the size of the single entry GPP (which is all I do) have gone up a lot since they started it a few months ago
“Question to DFSR or James, lol do you guys think we will ever see a drastic reduction to the max number of entries in GPPs? ”
Yep. I’ve actually spoken to a handful of CEOs in the industry about this. I used to be a professional poker player, and I can’t really describe to you how quickly we would have depleted the pool if I could have been playing games from $1-$20k buyins without skill loss. The scale for big players in DFS is just ridiculous – you can easily get in 5k a night without playing higher than $25 buy-ins. The casual players don’t stand a chance.
Combine that with a very aggressive rake structure, and I do worry occasionally about the long term health of DFS. But the guys who run these companies are smart, and they’ve heard these ideas before. I just hope they wise up before it’s too late.
“You can sheer a sheep many times, but skin him only once.”
It was a freak occurence Marco, but half of the slates this season have been! Hahaha
Sometimes you make money by not playing bad slates and over risky situations. Im out with NBA cash games until something changes cuz my god lol
Stephen. What I have found with multi entry GPP’s is this:
If there weren’t people entering 200+ lineups and tournies allowing it we would not have the prize pools that are available. There would be no millionairre makers.
i do however love the proactive approach by DK making these 3 limit entry tournies throughout all of the sports. I used to only do single entry as I hated multi entry and dont have time for 100+ lineups or even 20 lol.
What I do though for the big tournies is paly the single entry or limited entry qualifiers to get my tickets into the bigger tournies so I am not risking near as much of my bankroll to go against the sharks.
one more thing. These guys putting that many entries in are not even close to the most skilled players IMO. Some are but others just utilize huge spreadshseets to spit out 200+ different lineups.
in closing, LOL, I don’t think multi entry is going away EVER. It helps drive the money in DFS. I do think the sites will be even more proactive and have more tournies with small limited entries.
Good luck tonight everyone.
That makes a lot of sense Chris. I don’t want multi entry to go away, but I would love it if the limit was perhaps 10-20.
I do disagree that people who enter 200 lineups a night is the only way for there to be large payouts in tourneys. That new 3 entry limit on DK is a great example. They have been filling it consistently.
I know its smaller, but if there are really millions of people who play each week, I am sure the sharpshooter for example, would still fill on the regular. Just my opinion.
It’s a catch 22 for the industry; to get more people playing to be able to fill a big tournament with more entrants, they needed to advertise like crazy in the last year. But the only way to create large pot GPP games right now is to have the high number of entries per person, leading to the perception (and maybe reality) that the big winners are a very small percent of players. Of course we all know the spotlight the advertising gave them wound up backfiring majorly. If the industry can move past the legalities (basically accept that it is gambling, but make the strong case to the dumb legislators realize that if it goes away in the USA, the more fraudulent and truly corrupt offshore sites would fill the void and protect the consumers less), things could stabilize.
I do think tonight might be a little less crazy in terms of DFS scores….with defensive talent on teams like SA,Utah and Toronto tonight I think we wo t see many of those players with 50,60,70 DFS points tonight.
i agree its getting harder to win. But again this isnt like 3rd grade where everyone gets ice cream after either…only the best will win and people with either a heck of a brain or a good projections system will win….theres thousands of dollars at stake nightly…where theres a will theres a way and people will do anything to get it…especially in this economy!
The problem with triple ups, double ups, quintuple ups IS YOU ARE PLAYING WITH DRAFTKINGS EMPLOYEES AND PROS… look at the guys names who u play against and most of them are the top players of the year and they play hundreds of not thousands of bets because its free to then because they are employees of fd and dk… they are such dues that making 10% off of everybody’s bed isn’t enough so they have their own professional people that work for them get into almost every bit that they can just to take even more of our money. So my advice is stay away from anything exept big tourneys or just save your money. REAL TALK
Oh and by the way you might want to start paying for your information on fantasy sports because the ones who are winning are the people who get on these paid sites and pay a monthly fee to get REAL research not a free site that anyone can Google search and find this site or roto or what not.. do you think it’s just a coincidence that most of the winners usually have the same exact lineups?
Mack again…. he has burned me do much, since I’m not playing him tonight he will probably be amazing. He has killed me the last few times though.
I echo what Chris said above. Been playing the 3 entry max on DK and it’s now my preferred way to play daily basketball. While the prize pool for getting 1st isn’t nearly as large (which i’ve never done, but i digress), the chances of cashing out with a 2x or 3x on your entry fee is much better. I use sites like DFSR and my own research to get a set of “core players” (usually my value guys) and then make 3 roster iterations based on various scenarios i see playing out. And i know i’m not going against people that have nearly every freaking lineup combination possible. It’s a nice middle ground in my opinion.
Glad I’m not the only one having these problems. I won $2 on $51 last night with a 329 point lineup.. Even my 3 man league killed me because I didn’t play Ja Green and he decided to go off..
These nba slates frustrating me too. I had 3 out of 4 lineups all hit 345+ after switch ups and each of those lineups, all I have to show for it is 2$ a piece . Very Frustrating.
It’s like now to win big, the score has to bee a 400+
Any suggestions from you guys on a DK play tonight of a guy $3,700 or less?
every night is different.. I don’t get why everyone is complaining… last night was once in a blue moon.. if you did your research you knew that ja michael, chalmers and either tony allen or lance were MUST PLAYS.. they only had 8 healthy players. Seemed pretty straight forward to me.
I’m with Stephen on this one. So completely frustrating making all the right pivots and throwing a DK lineup of there that scores 338 and not even getting into the top 60% in my 50/50 and Double Up contests. Didn’t cash a single entry. Won $2 in the Daily Dollar contest. Yippee! Bring on MLB!
Of course, having said all that I’m obviously right back in here today looking to do it all over again. Glutton for punishment I guess.
I’m pretty bad at this and I knew to start those guys! Now stop whining and tell me who to start! It’s my last day of the free trial. ?
Guys, its just been a few weird nights. Things will get back to normal. Those over 400 point wins are an anomaly. It was just a few nights where everything fell into place. If you notice not only was first place high but the bubbole was raised as well. I’m sure everybody noticed that they scored higher then usual. Even the players that lost. I promise things will level back out tonight. I have been playing fantasy NBA for years. It always happens a few times a year and everyone freaks out. The fact is tonight and the nights following will be back to the adverage. Where 340-365 wins it and the bubble will be back to 250-280. Nothing to worry about.
Just do your research, play Nikola jokic and kennith varied and everything will be fine, just like Megan Fox.!
It is what it is and I’m still at it. I’ve moved on from that and I’m ready for tonight, just stuck between john wall and Damian Lillard, but I’m over yesterday.
Here is a lineup that will stop all the tears. I’m only doing this once for u guys. I never share my lineups, but I hate to see so much hate for a game I love. Let me make things better for you.
Draft kings Lineup
DEANGELLO RUSSLE 6,900. 40 pts
ARRON AFFLOLO. 4,500. 39 pts
KAWHI LEONARD. 8,200. 55 pts
L. ALDRIDGE. 6,800. 45 pts
NIKOLA JOCKIC. 6,000. 40 pts
MARCELO HUERTAS. 3,200. 28 pts
CARMELO ANTHONY. 8,400. 55 pts
ELFRID PAYTON. 5,900. 41 pts
TOTAL. 49,000 343 pts.
Play this lineup tonight and everything g will be a lot better by tomarrow, I promise. MEGAN FOX. TMNT….
Not bad but Afflolo… Can’t stomach that guy…
Not even close. I played this lineup and Im getting killed
Rushmore is right. It’s a new day and new games of slates I don’t know about yall, but imma keep at it. We got this.
I like this guy!
Who’s a must start now for the spurs?
Kawhi, who was already a must start. Guys like Patty Mills, Danny Green, and David West all get seriously increased upside.
It’s frustrating but what it tells me is that I need to do better and most likely get more aggressive. Information is what has changed the NBA DFS game. NFL, NHL and MLB you almost never get news 5 minutes before lock. Now you have all these people waiting till 6:55pm to set their NBA lineups and the amount of information you can use just makes it easier to hit higher numbers. It’s also the time of year. This is when players sit and teams want to give extended looks to younger players. Even last year and to some degree earlier this year you didn’t have multiple sites tracking news, info and tweets up to the second. Twitter is such a big and fast thing. When some beat reporter tweets at 6:55pm that so and so is sitting people just pounce on the news and do mass edits to their lineups. You find a couple of sub $4000K guys in great sots and it just frees up your lineup so much.
The higher numbers are why I stopped doing cash games. If I’m going to need a big number to win might as well have a higher potential payout. What I’ve noticed lately is the GPP is “easier” because there seems to be a lot of set it and forget lineups from the night before and a TON of people who have won entries that never adjust the auto FanDuel lineup. Was in a $2 GPP last night that had over 100 people get a goose egg because they never entered a lineup.
This speaks to a really important point:
Doug and I will almost always have a few back-up lineups ready in case of certain contingencies. You can’t always predict everything, but you will often know who’s “at risk.”
Keeping a few guys chambered in each price range will help with this a ton. Of course, it also helps quite a bit to have an optimizer with fresh projections at the ready. Honestly, the last 10 minutes of an NBA slate are like the whole reason we built the optimizer in the first place.
Yup, and the thing that makes NBA so volatile is when you get news that allows punt plays you are paying up in other spots for sure points. That’s not the case in the other sports. Pivoting to a Crosby in NHL or Trout in MLB still might get you a goose egg point wise. Not the case in NBA 99% of the time.
I’m sorry but those 400+ had V. Carter, T.Allen (coming off injury) and Ja. Green. I for one would never use VC or TA, ever! Not one expert across all the interweb recomended those two, so how come some many LU’s had them? I smelling foul play or inside info from these DFS’s or the teams themselves. I had 350 pts as well on all LU’s, put down $50 and only walk out with $10.. Multi-entries of dozens-hundreds is ridiculous. BTW, 350 was ranked outside the the 6,500 needed to win the dbl up out of 14,000ish. Sad!
Tony Allen is a frequent rec here when he’s getting his minutes, but we were bearish on his minutes due to the injury thing as well. Still, it was an absolutely worthwhile GPP dice roll.
Well no one in their right mind would ever recommend them until 45 mins before tip because that’s when we found out conley Randolph and Barnes were sitting making them all great value plays. The people who picked up on that are the ones who do tireless research and check lineups close to tip. That’s how you find out that info. Look at last night’s picks you’ll see people commenting saying green and Stephenson were in play. Making accusatory comments like that only hurt the dfs industry.
Well let’s see, I’ve been playing fantasy sports sense fantasy football was in the back of magazines and we had to do all the calculations by reading the newspaper and on paper . Second, I’ve been playing FanDuel chance the second year at as even been around where are used to win hundreds if not thousands of dollars in my first year of playing because research was all you could do to win and there was no rankings of Defense’s vs opponents or write ups or the last 10 days split stats etc. I had Mario Chalmers and thought about picking up Stephenson but decided against it and picked up another guy who did me well. Please tell me Vince Carter was on anybody’s mind that is a casual player or even the countless experts that I’ve watched on YouTube and read leading up to tip yesterday’s games. Allen, a defender coming off injury, please not one expert that put in them to as recommendations or even mention them. For the record, I start my lineup around midnight the night before the games and read up, study video all day because I’m disabled and still had no clue and even if I did have a clue, I wouldn’t have picked them to save my nephews life. There was way too many other options out there which is why I got 350
J Wall
S Larkin
E Fournier
A Affalo
K Leonard
C Anthony
K Faried
M Morris
M Gortat
This is my second season of NBA and I remember the same thing happening about this time after the AS break last year. Its just the nature of the beast. I also wonder if lineup providers are causing harm to the system by sending lineups out to multiple people. I was in a 568 entry $2 double up last night and 82 people scored 368.9 If these people all pay the same guy for his lineups and all enter similar contests, then thats worse odds than a gpp where 1 person could put 50 entries and of course its going to push the cash line up higher. Of course the solution there is to just outscore the lineup providers. Hopefully the optimizer can help with that.
I think for long term viability of the space, keeping money in from a group of players who would have otherwise been dead money and making them break even is ok. From a player to player standpoint (people like us) it does crush the margins.
Alright guys I need an opinion on this lineup
Lowry
Russell
DeRozan
Oladipo
Leonard
Bogdanovic
Aldridge
Gordon
Plumlee
Thanks
The Wiz @ Blazer Game is getting CHIPPY! Alan Anderson and Gerald Henderson / Offsetting technicals – a personal foul and Anderson gets ejected. Funny as I just watched a replay of Rambis and Charles Barkley fight from YEARS ago on social media today.
I don’t care what anyone has to say about last night. It was complete bullshit. Makes a regular guy like myself and others not want to play anymore. Which hurts DFS in the long run. When your 50/50 score doesn’t cash when the same lineup cashes in GPP contests makes no sense whatsoever. My lineup last night was perfect. I did everything right. I pivoted to the damn Grizzlies at the lst minute like I should have and still fell way short. Had Gasol who nobody else had. NBA is terrible. At least I feel like I have a chance at MLB.
To Hoddy,
I for one actually strongly considered Allen at SG but got spooked after coming back from injury. In the injury updates DFSR had Jamichael.
Also, I am not trying to knock the optimizer product, but those things can miss a lot of good plays every slate. Just be warned lol
Actually I want to clarifyy because I have a system similar to an optimizer in my excel document for the sports I play and what I mean is that the optimizer product is a good product, but just because something it spits out says it is the best overall combination of selections, you should not just automatically go with it without digging deeper.
Would that be an accurate analysis James? Lol