Daily Fantasy College Football Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Saturday All Day 11/21/15

Another packed Saturday in college football land. Some really high scoring games could be coming your way. These picks are for both the early and late slate of college football games this week. There are no lineups for sale this week. Enjoy the Saturday's games. Scroll down to the bottom for a copy of our free ebook on setting college football lineups. And if you are playing DFS NFL this week, check out Chris Raybon's NFL picks.

 

Quarterback

Keenan Reynolds
It’s official, Reynold’s is the all time leader for rushing touchdowns with 81. I understand you may feel there is no need to continue. I mean, he’s the all time rushing touchdown leader and he is $1300 less than the most expensive quarterback on FanDuel. Reynolds is not a guy you can just set it and forget it. In spite of the gaudy totals and some fantastic games he is prone to the real soul crusher time and again. Not that you read our CFB eBook, but I’m contractually obligated to mention our CFB eBook no less than a dozen times throughout the year. Reynolds is a guy that does one thing, he runs the ball. He does it very well, but if you take that away he crushes your soul and lineup all at once. One dimensional quarterbacks deviate from their mean more often than dual threat guys like Boykin basically making them the anti cash game play. Now that I have exhausted all the reasons to avoid Reynolds let me give you one reason I have him atop this weeks list. Tulsa. There you have it. Tulsa. Go get em Keeny.

Mason Rudolph
Rudolph is in unique guy to breakdown. He heads a high powered offense, but his fantasy totals don’t keep pace with the Cowboy’s output. I’ll save some time here and just say the Cowboys simply do a little of everything that gives them their strong point totals. His backup, JW Walsh, seems to sneak in a rushing touchdown or two per game further adding to the rub. That being said, the lack of big fantasy games out of Rudolph has kept his price in check compared to the potential of the game. This week is no different. In fact, I think it’s safe to say the expected game flow out strips his price by a healthy margin. That doesn’t mean, necessarily he will crush his price, but it does mean the opportunity will be there. Even if everything goes wrong he should still do enough to keep you in the running. If things fall right it’s the rest of the field that will be playing from behind.

Vernon Adams Jr.
Adams opened the season a near elite priced quarterback. Some poor outings and injury issues has caused his price to slip, understandably so. Because I write quarterbacks last you will read further down about Oregon so I won’t pre-duplicate my thoughts there. That was kind of trippy if you were able to follow what I was saying there. Adams looks healthy and has looked good in his last two games. USC is average at best on the defensive side of the ball and anytime you play in Eugene you need to spot Oregon 10pts. This is a great spot to take advantage of Adam’s middling price. He can run when he wants or has too, but more importantly he has shown command of the offense over the past few games.Prior to last week’s tough game against Stanford, Adams put together back to back games of 25+ fantasy points against Cal and Arizona St. In front of the home crowd I think Adam’s and the Ducks get it done.

Injury Alert: Keep an eye on Greg Ward Jr. If he cannot go Kyle Postma makes for an interesting value play

 

Running Back

Sony Michel
This is a simple case of a mismatch. The price doesn’t match the expected production. Michel’s price is somewhat depressed due to some minor injury woes and a string of tough SEC competition. This week’s game against Georgia Southern offers neither. Michel is healthy and the opponent pales in comparison to recent competition. The game log is up and down, but the volume has been rock solid. Outside of the Florida game where the Bulldogs got sha-laqued, Michel has averaged 26.75 touches per game over his last 4 games. In its last 6 games Georgia has played at Tenn, Flor, and Aub along with home games against Bama, Mizzou, and Kty being the only favorable matchup. Hopefully you are picking up what I’m putting down. I love Michel’s 26.75 touches against Georgia Southern.

Wendell Smallwood
There is nothing small about this dude. Wendell has paced the Mountaineers all year long and has really thrived under the right circumstances. Kansas qualifies as the right circumstances. West Virginia is a heavy favorite which could result in a lighter workload for Smallwood, but if the game gets that out of hand there is a darn good chance my man pots and pans has ripped off a 100 and a touch. The scoring could certainly bypass Wendell, but I’m willing to take my chances for his very reasonable salary.

Royce Freeman
Oregon got off to a bumpy start with some spotty quarterback play and lack of defense. The defense hasn’t changed a whole lot, although they have improved slightly, but the offense has been pretty steady down the stretch. Freeman is a large reason for the uptick in offensive production. As the quarterback play was working itself out Freeman was seeing big volume and crushing his price. Adams seems to have settled in under center causing Freeman’s usage rate to decline in the short term. However, his efficiency has improved matching what Oregon is doing as a team on the offensive side of the ball. The position is littered with pitfalls as injuries mount and the competition is full on so getting dollars in safe at running could be key to a successful cash lineup. Freeman may not have the best pts/$ projection, but you’re paying for the floor and it’s worth it.

Injury Alert: DeVontae Booker is out with Joe Williams the expected benefactor. Williams is relatively unknown, but he’s also free.

 

Wide Receiver

Corey Coleman
Call me a glutton for punishment, but it stands to reason we are in a buy cheap scenario with Coleman. I was a big fan of everything Oklahoma last week and even wagered $200 party tokens the Sooners would win, outright. Party tokens are a useless form of currency we make up to disguise our gambling sins. So while I was heavy on Oklahoma I was equally heavy on Dr. CC. As we all know the Sooners held Coleman in check and cost those who played him a one way ticket to money city. Well, Coleman didn’t suddenly become unawesome. This is still the guy that has put up video game stats all season long. We shouldn’t let recency bias scare you off a discounted Dr. CC.

JuJu Smith
This is another guy that has seen his price drop from peak status, but for slightly different reasons. USC is kind of a mess this year. Not a bad team, but way too many outside distractions to play consistent football. JuJu is still a threat to be reckoned with and has reached double digit fantasy points in 4 of his last 5 games. Oregon has been playing better ball of late, but they’re not in shut down mode so USC should put some points on the board as well. I think this game will live up to it’s Vegas billing as a back and forth close game. USC currently sits as 4.5 dogs with a total in the low 70’s. As long as USC doesn’t have a pregame locker room meltdown JuJu should deliver the goods.

Keyarris Garrett
Garrett will be the bane of my existence and the first time I get this dude right will be the first. Please understand that last sentence as your warning that Garrett will lay an absolute egg now that he has been mentioned in my CFB spot. That said, Garrett has had a couple monster games and a couple disappearing acts since the season ending injury to Lucas. Navy represents an interesting opponent in the fact they tend to gobble up time and limit the amount of possessions and ultimately offensive snaps of their opponents. I’m banking on Tulsa’s ability to speed up the game with a serious lack of defense and fast paced, potentially quick scoring, offense.

Dominique Reed
Fred Ross
I’m lumping these guys together as they both fit similar molds. Reed and Ross both make strong value plays on each site with Reed being a really nice bargain on Draftkings. Ross had a little dip in production in the middle of the year due to some health issues, but he looks to be back at full strength. In the last two weeks Ross has hauled in 19 passes for 229 yards and a touch. Reed has sort of emerged out of nowhere on the heels of quarterback Brandon Allen’s strong play. In his last 4 games Reed has 17 receptions for 212 yards and 4 touchdowns, good for 15 or more fantasy points each week over the same stretch. I will gladly utilize both guys on Draftkings as solid value lineup fillers. They can be played on FanDuel as well, but the way money works is a little different so I won’t have as much exposure to them on that site.

 

Tight End

Jake Duzey
Gus Walley
Tight end is a disastrous wasteland of valuable salary dollars. On the late slate I am 100% running Walley as last week’s game confirmed he is back from whatever ailed him for many weeks. Walley shouldn’t be confused with Tyler HIgbee or Jaylen Samuels, but I’m simply not willing to spend up at the position. On the early slate check the news to see if Jake Duzey is going to play. He has been close for a couple weeks now so this could be the week he makes his debut. Had Duzey been healthy he would have been one of the better options this year. Who knows what you will get if he does play, but unless I have money leftover I’m not paying more than I have too at the position.