Basketball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice
Daily Fantasy NBA Basketball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and DraftStreet 3/31/14
Before getting caught up in baseball for the foreseeable future, don't forget we've got NBA rolling for a few more weeks. Though if you did want to double dip, we've got our baseball plays for opening day up. What a great time of year!
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Point Guards
Chris Paul - FanDuel $9,600 DraftKings $10,500 DraftStreet $20,893
No Blake? No problem. Griffin is doubtful, causing an insta-bump for everyone in the Clip locker room. Our system already loved CP3 in what should be a torrid paced game in Minnesota. There's reason to suspect Paul will see more shots just with the loss of Blake. He is the number one point guard option today and I'll be working to get him everywhere even with the big tag.
Ramon Sessions - FanDuel $5,800 DraftKings $6,400 DraftStreet $12,218
How's that for a drop off? But it's really only in name (and skill) because Sessions is still in the value zone at these prices. Getting a little steep on DK but really in play because his minutes are just there with the Bucks depleted in the backcourt (and in talent). Detroit is awful against opposing guards and this game should be a shitshow from a fan perspective. But Sessions can be in lineups.
John Wall - FanDuel $8,600 DraftStreet $17,680
He's worse away from home but is in play because the price has come down across the industry. This is a tricky one because Charlotte has been good against point guards all season and I never like buying on price rather than matchup. But I think you can justify it here to some degree, especially on FanDuel because it just seems so advantageous.
Michael Carter-Williams - FanDuel $7,500 DraftStreet $14,998
Need to fade a horrendous shooting night (he has his share of them) to pay off. MCW does seem more comfortable in the Philly offense, but he can put up stinkers. What's almost always there are the minutes.
Brandon Knight - DraftKings $6,500 DraftStreet $12,959
Two Bucks in the same section? I hope I get struck down by lightening or something. Deserve it.
Tony Wroten - DraftKings $4,700 DraftStreet $10,474
Price on DraftKings is especially advantageous as it's far from corrected after coming back from injury. DS is closer, but I still think you can fire it off in a few places.
Shooting Guards
Jamal Crawford - FanDuel $6,400 DraftKings $6,100 DraftStreet $10,661
Oh yes fucking please. Had to drop the f-bomb to let you know I was serious. No Blake means more shots. And Jamal never saw a shot he didn't want to take. Never. It's why he's still in the league. Depressed price from a stinker against Dallas and now he gets to face Minnesota with a substandard defense against two guards. This is a great spot.
Eric Gordon - FanDuel $4,900 DraftKings $5,600 DraftStreet $10,205 or
Austin Rivers - FanDuel $3,700 DraftKings $3,300 DraftStreet $8,755
Tyreke Evans - FanDuel $8,200 DraftKings $8,100 DraftStreet $15,193
Anthony Morrow - FanDuel $4,300 DraftKings $3,900 DraftStreet $7,910
Wow. This is how bad SG is tonight. I am recommending the entire Pelican team. I mean I'm not, but I'm putting them all here because you should pay close attention to news on what rotations they plan on using tonight. Because whoever is starting is someone I want playing tonight against the Kings who suck.
Small Forwards
DeMarre Carroll - FanDuel $5,600 DraftKings $4,700 DraftStreet $10,873
His absence the other night was because of a stomach bug so I'm going to assume he's back tonight. If so, you know what to do. Fire him off in every format against the Sixer who, despite the win against the lifeless Pistons, are still dreadful on defense. Can't believe I'm about to say this but, Sixer letdown game coming!
Matt Barnes - FanDuel $5,400 DraftKings $5,300 DraftStreet $9,712
Follows in the cascading value from the Blake injury. Barnes will play heavy minutes, maybe at the 4? in an effort to fill in for Griffin. Great spot. Great prices.
Al-Farouq Aminu - FanDuel $4,400 DraftKings $4,800 DraftStreet $10,373
Really only if Davis is out again, but if so Aminu just crushes these prices and is pretty much a must play if Brow doesn't go.
Power Forwards
Paul Millsap - FanDuel $7,400 DraftKings $7,900 DraftStreet $16,075
Don't see how you get away from him tonight on FanDuel, or really anywhere else. Philly allows 11% more scoring than league average to opposing power forwards and Millsap should thrive in this up and down game. On DK and DS I suppose it's a bit closer, but if you aren't playing him on FanDuel I'll come to your house personally and set the lineup.
Zach Randolph - FanDuel $7,000 DraftKings $8,000 DraftStreet $15,343
Power forward is very rough tonight which I think makes the decision rather easy. I'm looking to play midrange value in Z-Bo and Millsap as much as possible. The drop off after them is steep and they have such great matchups. Denver couldn't defend you if you happened to play power forward. And yes I know you're post up game needs work, but believe me. You'd find a way to fill it up.
Greg Monroe - DraftKings $7,200 DraftStreet $14,312
Milwaukee allows 10% more rebounding and assists than league average to opposing PFs meaning you can play Monroe in the right spots. These two sites are those places.
Thaddeus Young - DraftStreet $14,309
Has the upside to go off at this price against an Atlanta team that's substandard against opposing power forwards.
Centers
Jonas Valanciunas - FanDuel $5,100 DraftKings $5,600 DraftStreet $10,997
The next time I pick right on this guy in my lineups will be the first. Jonas seems to screw me on the regular, but his last three games have been monsters. This is because the minutes have been consistent which has been his number one problem this season. He gets yanked from games early and barely plays. Tonight he goes against a Miami team getting blitzed against opposing centers. The price is there. Do it.
Henry Sims - FanDuel $5,400 DraftKings $4,900 DraftStreet $11,611
You love the guy right? I know I do. He's come out of nowhere to become a super solid option at center. He scores. He rebounds. He plays plenty of minutes. And tonight gets a Hawks team still having problems with opposing big men. Price will reach a breaking point soon, but it isn't there yet.