Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 11 Sunday 11/17/24

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Quarterbacks

Brock Purdy FD 8400 DK 6600
Opponent SEA
Proj Points FD - 21.06 DK - 21.06

The 49ers are operating at close to full strength on offense now, even without Brandon Aiyuk, and that’s good news for Brock Purdy, who has a complement of weapons at his disposal. He threw 36 times last week, going for 353 yards and two touchdowns.

The Seahawks are below average in opponent pass attempts and passing yards allowed per game, with this game’s 48 total the second-highest of the slate. Purdy has a high floor and could be the cash game play on DraftKings once again.

Bo Nix FD 7400 DK 6200
Opponent ATL
Proj Points FD - 20.57 DK - 20.57

Not the typical kind of guy we throw out here for cash games, but there’s a decent amount to like about Bo Nix heading into Sunday. The Falcons rank 24th in opponent passing yards allowed per game, and the Broncos are actually home favorites here.

Nix isn’t all that efficient, with just a 63% completion percentage, but the Broncos will throw the ball, and he also has four rushing touchdowns on the season.

Running Back

Christian McCaffrey FD 9800 DK 8300
Opponent SEA
Proj Points FD - 23.07 DK - 26.16

Any concern about Kyle Shanahan and company easing Christian McCaffrey back into action was erased last week. CMC played 88% of the San Francisco offensive snaps, getting 13 carries and seven targets on his way to 107 total yards.

The DraftKings price especially hasn’t corrected enough for him back at 100%. It’s a little closer on FanDuel, but you can play him there as well. This is a game and team we want pieces of in cash for sure.

Chase Brown FD 6800 DK 6500
Opponent LAC
Proj Points FD - 16.01 DK - 18.27

Against the Ravens in Week 10, Chase Brown was a full bellcow back in terms of usage, getting 13 carries and a monster 11 targets as well. Sure, Joe Burrow threw the ball 56 times in the loss, but you never see that kind of target distribution to a running back. We’ll take it, and these prices aren’t anywhere close to where they should be if he’s on the field 87% of the time like he was last week.

Audric Estime FD 5400 DK 4500
Opponent ATL
Proj Points FD - 12.31 DK - 13.32

It looks like Audric Estime is now the lead back in Denver, getting 14 of the 17 carries in Week 10. That was in only 45% of the offensive snaps, so there’s still some game script concerns. Coupled with him not receiving any passing game targets.

But he’s coming cheap on both sites with the Broncos home favorites against the Falcons who rank 20th in opponent rushing yards per game this season.

Strongly consider Breece Hall, especially on DraftKings at $7400. I’m just a little worried the Jets are dead men walking here.

Wide Receiver

Tyreek Hill FD 8500 DK 7400
Opponent LV
Proj Points FD - 17.41 DK - 21.12

We’re really getting dared to play Tyreek Hill on DraftKings at just $7400 at home against the Raiders. The issue has been the performance in recent weeks. Even with Tua back under center, Tyreek has totaled just nine targets in the last two games combing for seven catches and 96 yards.

He’s been banged up, and maybe there’s something else going on, but we might need to take a stand on him here.

Jauan Jennings FD 6200 DK 5300
Opponent SEA
Proj Points FD - 14.06 DK - 16.96

Even with Christian McCaffrey back and Deebo Samuel fully healthy, Jauan Jennings still led the 49ers with 11 targets in Week 10. That was good for a 30.5% target share, turning it into a. 7/93 line.

Love the price on both sites for cash games with a Purdy/ CMC/ Jennings cash game stack lining up well at their respective price points.

Khalil Shakir FD 6500 DK 6300
Opponent KC
Proj Points FD - 14.84 DK - 18.17

Ladd McConkey FD 6300 DK 6200
Opponent CIN
Proj Points FD - 11.62 DK - 14.24

Jakobi Meyers FD 6200 DK 5600
Opponent MIA
Proj Points FD - 13.26 DK - 16.41

Elijah Moore FD 5500 DK 4300
Opponent NO
Proj Points FD - 11.44 DK - 14.45

I’m putting these four guys all together as dudes in the middle/ lower price tier who project to see target share in their respective offenses. Each carries some risk, whether it’s the team leaning on the run (Shakir, McConkey), the quarterback situation being dicey (Meyers) or sharing targets with other guys in the offense (Moore). But they help with some salary relief.

Tight End

Travis Kelce FD 7400 DK 6300
Opponent BUF
Proj Points FD - 15.31 DK - 19.12

Travis Kelce now leads the league in tight end receiving targets on the season and is 10th overall. That’s thanks in large part to the last three weeks, where he’s amassed 40 total targets and 254 total yards. Kansas City could be in another high-octane game against the Bills in Week 11, and Kelce is now a very tough fade based on how they’re using him.

Davis Allen FD 4200 DK 2500
Opponent NE
Proj Points FD - 6.58 DK - 8.53

If you want to go a lot cheaper, Davis Allen now looks like the TE1 in the Rams offense, taking Colby Parkinson’s spot. He played 80% of the offensive snaps in Week 10 (Parkinson just 16%) and got six targets. He’s a punt play through and through, but on DK that can help a ton at the tight end position.