Basketball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice
Daily Fantasy DraftKings and FanDuel NBA Picks - Wednesday, March 27, 2024
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Point Guard/ Shooting Guard
Dejounte Murray FD - $10200 DK - $9800
Opponent - POR
Proj Pts FD - 51.69 DK - 55.12
We are going to want to allocate a lot of salary to the guard position here on Wednesday, and for good reason. There are a lot of solid options in the upper tier who have been crushing of late. First and foremost is Dejounte Murray who’s been one of the best fantasy plays around since Trae Young went down a month ago.
In that stretch, Murray is averaging 26 points, 9.5 assists, 5.5 rebounds, and 2.3 steals in close to 40 minutes per game. With the Hawks still fighting to stay in the play-in, he’s got a very high floor every night. And on Wednesday he gets to play the lowly Blazers. This is lining up to be an easy play.
Jalen Brunson FD - $9500 DK - $9400
Opponent - TOR
Proj Pts FD - 48.36 DK - 52.66
Miles McBride FD - $5900 DK - $5600
Opponent - TOR
Proj Pts FD - 31.88 DK - 34.16
Few other starting units are allowed to play the number of minutes the Knicks see on a night-to-night basis and that’s all thanks to Thibs who doesn’t care about scores or blowouts where the run is concerned. Witness the other night when the Knicks were up 30 against the Pistons and the starters were all out there. Jalen Brunson and Miles McBride should see a ton of playing time again and are both values in their respective price ranges.
Brunson has taken 20+ shots in each of the last six games and some of those were blowouts where his minutes got cut some. If the Raptors can keep this close (a big “if”) then he has a very high floor.
Meanwhile, Mile McBride had been allowed to play nearly every minute of every game over a stretch, something that came to an end last game only because the Knicks were winning by so much. But there’s no better predictor of fantasy success than time spent on the court. And this guy has been allowed to do it more than almost anyone else in basketball.
Jalen Green FD - $8800 DK - $8900
Opponent - OKC
Proj Pts FD - 45.11 DK - 49.37
Like we’ve said before, Jalen Green is on a total heater right now, stepping up in a big way ever since Alperen Sengun went down with injury. He’s playing close to 40 minutes a game when things stay close and over the last six is averaging 22.3 shots and 33 points per game.
He’s bombing threes, getting up more than 10 triple attempts per game and has just turned into one of the better fantasy plays around. It’s a bit tougher here against the Thunder, but there is still room for upside on these prices as long as the game stays close.
Small Forward
De'Andre Hunter FD - $5900 DK - $5900
Opponent - POR
Proj Pts FD - 32.43 DK - 34.81
With Jalen Johnson and Saddiq Bey still out, DeAndre Hunter has been in the starting lineup and playing well enough to justify a cash game consideration at these price points. He’s coming off playing 34 minutes against the Celtics in the Hawks’ unreal comeback win. He took 14 shots and finished with 24 points and seven rebounds. I think we could still see gains in his production in the short term, and this is such a good matchup all around. If we don’t get all of the Portland value below, he makes for a solid mid-tier option on both sites.
Toumani Camara FD - $5000 DK - $4500
Opponent - ATL
Proj Pts FD - 30.68 DK - 32.23
Kris Murray FD - $4900 DK - $4300
Opponent - ATL
Proj Pts FD - 29.9 DK - 31.03
The Blazers are a mess right now, obviously, but these two wings are benefiting in the short-term because the roster is so threadbare. There have been minutes to go around if Portland can stay in the game. That could be a problem with Atlanta coming in as -10.5 home favorites, but I’m still willing to roster both Kris Murray and Toumani Camara at these price points.
Camara has played 30+ minutes in each of the last three games, averaging 13 points and six rebounds in that stretch. In the $5K range, that kind of production gets the job done.
Meanwhile, Kris Murray has played 30+ in each of the last four though he’s going to be a bit more dependent on making three-pointers, a struggle of late. He’s 1-12 from three over his last two games. All in all, these two guys ring in as value plays as long as Portland is down big chunks of their roster.
Power Forward/ Center
Anthony Davis FD - $11700 DK - $10400
Opponent - MEM
Proj Pts FD - 62.59 DK - 62.87
Playing Anthony Davis here is predicated on Lebron James sitting out again, something we hope to know prior to lineup lock. Davis is coming off a monster game against the Bucks on Tuesday, a double-overtime win that saw him drop 34 points and 23 rebounds in 52 crazy minutes.
It’s that latter piece that has me a bit concerned because it’s just a ton of run. But the Lakers need every single win at this point and against the Grizzlies, I think will be incentivized to wrap things up easily here. It’s risky for sure, but Davis without LBJ would represent one of the best plays on the slate.
Clint Capela FD - $6700 DK - $6500
Opponent - POR
Proj Pts FD - 38.78 DK - 39.49
Onyeka Okongwu is still out of the lineup and the Hawks draw a good matchup here. The biggest risk with Capela is that the minutes just won’t get into the 30s and that buzzes off some of his upside. It’s part of why the price has stagnated here. If he is getting minutes in the mid-to-high 20s then I think we are still in a good spot and he has double-double range easily.
Duop Reath FD - $4900 DK - $1000
Opponent - ATL
Proj Pts FD - 33.74 DK - 35.91
He is only in play if DeAndre Ayton sits out again, but with the Blazers-Hawks game tipping off at 7:30 PM EST we should have that information in plenty of time. Reath’s price hasn’t fully corrected with his starting role (if that’s the case) and even coming off a rough outing last game, he would still be a lock center play if he’s getting the start. He has double-double potential as long as he can stay out of foul trouble (easier said than done).