Minnesota Timberwolves guard Anthony Edwards (1) dribbles down the court during the second half of an NBA basketball game against the Washington Wizards, Thursday, Feb. 16, 2023, in Minneapolis. (AP Photo/Abbie Parr)
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Opponent - IND
Proj Pts FD - 49.33 DK - 53.22
Karl-Anthony Towns is going to sit this game out against the Pacers, and that’s going to open up a lot of opportunity for the rest of the Timberwolves. Anthony Edwards stands maybe the most to gain, going from a 32% usage guy on the season to a whopping 35.3% with KAT off the court. That’s about as high as you’ll see in the game today, and he gets a matchup against the Pacers who want to push the pace. It all lines up for Edwards to be a popular, high-floor play on this slate.
Opponent - SAC
Proj Pts FD - 40.02 DK - 43.06
No Victor Wembanyama for the Spurs today after he was ruled out on Wednesday evening. That’s going to have a trickle-down effect on the rest of the lineup in really every area of the box score. With Victor Wembanyama off the court this season, Devin Vassell has the highest usage at 25.3%, and he sees the assists and rebounds tick up as well. This game’s 238 over/under is the highest of the slate, and while there’s some blowout risk for sure, Vassell isn’t priced like a guy who is now playing without Wemby.
Opponent - DET
Proj Pts FD - 33.64 DK - 36
Cam Johnson has been ruled out for the Nets after tweaking his ankle last game. That should mean Lonnie Walker moving into the starting lineup or, at worst, seeing considerably more minutes for Brooklyn who is already without Cam Thomas in the backcourt. Walker has the best +/- on the team and will take shots at a decent enough volume, even when running with the main group. Keep an eye out for the starters here, but even if coming off the bench in a sixth-man role would mean a cash game play at these prices.
Opponent - IND
Proj Pts FD - 31.27 DK - 32.79
Kyle Anderson should draw the start for Karl-Anthony Towns here and stands to see considerable run. He’s a Swiss Army knife of sorts for this team, able to play multiple positions and step in when a bunch of different guys miss time. The last time he got the start (albeit for Rudy Gobert), Anderson went 31 minutes and finished with 12 points, nine rebounds, and three assists. He’ll play more of the four here, but the run gives him plenty of opportunity. The DraftKings price is a joke, and he’ll be 90%+ owned in cash here.
Opponent - TOR
Proj Pts FD - 31.21 DK - 34.03
With Devin Booker out, Royce O'Neale has stepped into the starting lineup for the Suns, and run major minutes in the process. He played 33 and 39 minutes (the latter was OT) over the last two games, averaging a 9/5/4 line in that stretch. Those numbers are underwhelming, but before that stretch, he was seeing double-digit shot attempts and actually getting on the boards as well. The price doesn’t fully reflect the chance to play minutes in the upper-30s and the matchup against the Raptors is a good one.
Opponent - TOR
Proj Pts FD - 54.06 DK - 57.75
With Devin Booker out, Kevin Durant has had to shoulder a massive burden for a Suns team that no finds itself on the edge of the play-in game. He’s coming off a 34-shot game, a big win over the Nuggets in overtime, and has been running close to 40 minutes when things stay close. Here, the matchup is easier against the Raptors, and Durant should be able to get up a ton of shots. The DraftKings price is still reasonable for a guy averaging 28 points and seven rebounds over his last three with 52/42/84 splits over the course of the season.
Opponent - IND
Proj Pts FD - 46.68 DK - 47.47M
Rudy Gobert sees the minutes and rebounding numbers tick up with Karl-Anthony Towns off the court and we are getting him in a good spot here against the Pacers. The game should be up and down the court, with Gobert running minutes in the upper 30s of late. He has 16 rebounds and three blocks in each of the last three games while also getting 17.7 points per game in that stretch. He’s a high-floor play for sure.
Opponent - SAC
Proj Pts FD - 33.01 DK - 35.87
Zach Collins should get the start for Victor Wembanyama here, and the price on DraftKings, especially, is way too low. He has double-double upside as long as the minutes can press towards 30, which they should in this matchup. Like with Vassell, there is blowout risk, but considering how much Wemby’s absence leaves on the table, Collins will likely be a chalk play here.
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