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Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 6 Main Slate 10/15/23
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Quarterbacks
Joe Burrow FD 7500 DK 6300
Opponent SEA
Proj Points FD - 21.01 DK - 21.01
Any concerns about lingering health issues for Joe Burrow and the calf injury were seemingly wiped away in Week 5 when he looked all the way back against the Cardinals. He completed 36 of his 46 passes for 317 yards and three touchdowns, connecting with Ja'Marr Chase over and over (and over and over) again through the air. He’ll look to keep the good times rolling here against the Seahawks who don’t provide a ton of threats in coverage and are allowing the most opponent plays per game on the season.
Matthew Stafford FD 7300 DK 6100
Opponent ARI
Proj Points FD - 20.32 DK - 20.32
We typically like to focus on running quarterback for cash simply because their respective floors are so much higher when they can get points on the ground. That being said, there’s a case to be made for Matthew Stafford here considering the matchup against the Arizona, the game total, and his weapons.
The Cardinals allow a top 25% pace to opponents and rank 25th in average yard per pass attempt. Stafford has been putting the ball in the air around 40 times per game and now has both Cooper Kupper and Puka Nacua to target.
Strongly consider Kirk Cousins going against a terrible Bears defense.
Running Back
Raheem Mostert FD 8500 DK 6400
Opponent CAR
Proj Points FD - 18.88 DK - 20.71
De'Von Achane is out with an injury and we could be headed back to the Raheem Mostert show on the ground for the Miami Dolphins. Back in Week 2 when Achane was injured, Mostert got 73% of the snaps and carried the ball 18 times for 121 yards and two scores.
That kind of workload could be in the cards once again in the game against the Panthers. It doesn’t look like Jeff Wilson is back in the mix and Salvon Ahmed is just there for relief even when healthy. Dial up Mostert here in cash without reservation.
Travis Etienne Jr. FD 7700 DK 7100
Opponent IND
Proj Points FD - 18.91 DK - 20.94
Raheem Mostert does get a little expensive on FanDuel where fitting the salary might be just a bit challenging. If that’s the case then there are a couple of pivots for a bit (or a lot) cheaper who offer some of the same base work. One is Travis Etienne who has been getting the lion’s share of touches in the Jaguars’ offense.
He played 83% of the snaps in Week 5, carrying the ball 26 times and getting five targets in the passing game as well. The Colts have been above average in opponents’ yards per rush attempt, but Etienne just has such a secure spot in this offense.
Strongly consider Kirk Cousins facing off against an awful Chicago Bears defense.
Wide Receiver
Tyreek Hill FD 9800 DK 9300
Opponent CAR
Proj Points FD - 25.99 DK - 31.04
Jaylen Waddle FD 6800 DK 7600
Opponent CAR
Proj Points FD - 16.4 DK - 20.07
Stacking Dolphins this season has basically been the winning formula with Tyreek Hill specifically having an unbelievable run through the first five games. His 651 receiving yards are 80 more than the next-closest pass-catcher in the league and his five receiving touchdowns are tied for first. He’s been amazing. The price reflects it but the floor is just so high with how the Dolphins are unleashing him.
And then there is Jaylen Waddle who wasn’t featured as much to start the season but did have 10 targets last week though only turned that into a 5/35/1 line. I’m still willing to buy on the pedigree, offense, and overall scheme. It definitely can support two WRs especially when Waddle is still relatively underpriced on FanDuel.
Jordan Addison FD 6700 DK 5700
Opponent CHI
Proj Points FD - 15.84 DK - 19.44
K.J. Osborn FD 6200 DK 4400
Opponent CHI
Proj Points FD - 13.88 DK - 17.43
Well, the Vikings are going into this game without arguably the best wide receiver in football and that’s always going to have some (major) down chain effects. Justin Jefferson is out and with him go his 53 targets through the first five weeks. It’s opening up a big-time hole in the offense, one likely to be filled by Jordan Addison, KJ Osborn, and TJ Hockenson who we will get to shortly.
Both Addison and Osborn saw nine targets last week even with Jefferson playing 71% of the snaps. Addison has out-targeted Osborn on the season 29-26 and the rookie clearly has the pedigree to take over WR1 type of usage. These guys are priced in such a way that playing them both is possible and that might just be the play for cash games considering how big of a loss Jefferson is for the offense.
Tight End
T.J. Hockenson FD 6700 DK 6600
Opponent CHI
Proj Points FD - 15.01 DK - 18.85
TJ Hockenson leads all tight ends in targets on the season with 39 and now will play in a game with the Vikings missing Justin Jefferson. That’s a tough spot to pass up on him. And he gets the Bears defense which has been among the worst in the league this season. The price is higher, but on FanDuel it’s reasonable to pay up in this spot considering the context.
Kyle Pitts FD 5300 DK 3500
Opponent WAS
Proj Points FD - 10.71 DK - 13.2
Can we start trusting Kyle Pitts now? Probably not, but the price on DraftKings at least makes it a bit easier to stomach. He finally had a massive target game, getting 11 looks in Week 5 and turning them into seven catches and 87 yards. The problem is that those 11 targets represent about 33% of his season output and it’s been a struggle for him to even play all of the plays. He was only on the field for 53% of the offensive snaps in Week 5. That being said, I think we can role him in cash here at these prices.
