Welcome back football fans. Week four in the NFL is here and DFSR has you covered. Earlier in the week, we look at our top overall plays and now it's time to look at some stacks that can help us get to the top of our GPP contests. Let's get started.
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Opponent LV
Proj Points FD - 22.06 DK - 22.06
Opponent LV
Proj Points FD - 21.67 DK - 27.18
Opponent LAC
Proj Points FD - 20.52 DK - 25.02
A Chargers game-stack is quickly becoming one of the most popular stacks early in the DFS NFL season. The reason? To start, they head into week four ranked 3rd in passing offence and dead last in passing defence which is a recipe for high-scoring games and upside fantasy totals. Next, looking at this game specifically, both teams have a very high target share distribution to their top targets with Keenan Allen at 35% and now with no Mike Williams and Davante Adams for the Raiders at a whopping 41% on the season.
Austin Ekeler is practicing in a limited fashion this week but likely won't be pushed at 100% even if he is back in the lineup so I am confident we will see another 35-40+ pass attempts from Justin Herbert this week against a Raiders defence that ranks dead last in fantasy points to both quarterbacks and wide receivers. The price on Allen is way up on FanDuel but not nearly enough on DraftKings considering Williams being out and the terrific matchup.
While running this stack back with Adams is my favourite option, I also like Jakobi Meyers.
Opponent MIA
Proj Points FD - 22.83 DK - 22.83
Opponent MIA
Proj Points FD - 19.99 DK - 24.41
Opponent MIA
Proj Points FD - 16.54 DK - 18.5
This game is going to attract a lot of attention with a total(53.5) that is a full five points higher than any other game. There are a ton of combinations we can put together for our multi-entry GPP builds but if looking for just one direction for say a cash game or single-entry contest, this is one I absolutely love. I rarely like stacking WR and RB on the same team but this combo provides us a very high floor all around. Josh Allen has been better since his poor week one performance with back-to-back games with 22 or more fantasy points and still hasn't been close to the ceiling player we saw last year. He is only rushing the ball four times a game on average(7.8 per game in 2022) and has yet to throw for over 300 yards in a game(seven over 297 yards in 2022). The Dolphins' defence is Top 10 overall according PFF but did give up 433 total yards to the Chargers in week one and 294 passing yards to the Broncos a week ago.
When looking for a stacking partner for Josh Allen, it is always Stefon Diggs at the top of the list as he is one of just 12 wideouts in the NFL to command over a 30% target share. Then it's all about what he does with those opportunities and he comes into week four with two 100-yard games, is averaging over 20 fantasy points a game and has only reached the endzone once. High floor/high upside!
James Cook has been heavily involved in the offence and likely the reason Josh Allen has run less in 2023. Coming into the week, Cook is averaging 15 rushes and 18 total touches a game and is one of just eight running backs averaging over 100 yards from scrimmage through three weeks and has back-to-back games rushing for 98 or more yards. I do like Cook a little more from a cash game perspective but do like this double stack to help get away from some of the higher ownership on the Allen/Diggs combination.
Opponent CHI
Proj Points FD - 19.91 DK - 19.91
Opponent CHI
Proj Points FD - 12.46 DK - 15.15
Opponent CHI
Proj Points FD - 5.39 DK - 6.48
There won't be a lot of eyes on this game outside of Broncos and Bears fans as one of them will finally get their first win of the season. While the teams themselves may not be exciting, this game does line up nicely for fantasy purposes as these defence's rank 29th and 32nd through two weeks. For DFS purposes, I will be much heavier on the Broncos who have actually shown some life offensively, especially in the passing game which is currently ranked 8th in terms of passing yards per game.
The early success has come from the improvement of Russell Wilson in year two. After back-to-back 300+ yard performances, he sits 8th in passing yards, 5th in touchdown passes, 10th in air yards per attempt, and is averaging over 20 fantasy points per game. When it comes to stacking with Wilson, it is an easy choice on DraftKings as Sutton is a whopping $1,300 cheaper than Jeudy and has been much better early on catching 17 of 23 targets(74%) for 189 yards. He has also reached the endzone in two of three games and is 11th overall with four redzone targets. I also love the value with rookie Marvin Mims Jr. who is Top 20 in air yards and it has paid off as he has a couple long catches in the last two weeks leading to yardage totals of 113 and 73 yards. He is riskier with lower target share but has big upside for the price.
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