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Sedgefield Country Club
Par 70 - 7,131 Yards
Greens - Bermuda
**Click the image above to see a hole-by-hole breakdown from PGATour.com**
Russell Henley
FedEx Cup Rank (#34)
Vegas Odds (20/1)
DraftKings ($10,200)
FanDuel ($11,600)
I will ignore the missed cut at the OPEN and pay for the consistent Henley we saw before the season's final major. Before that quick trip for a couple of rounds at Royal Liverpool, Henley had made nine of his previous 10 cuts with seven Top 25 finishes. That success was a direct result of some red-hot irons as he ranks #1 in this field in SG: Approach over the last 24 rounds and to go with it he ranks 9th in fairways gained. That is a great combination for Sedgefield and it has shown as Henley returns with Top 10's in three straight years here. He is my top play in the top tier this week.
Aaron Rai
FedEx Cup Rank (#61)
Vegas Odds (35/1)
DraftKings ($8,600)
FanDuel ($10,200)
This range of pricing is loaded with players who are dangerously close to the bubble to get into the playoffs and will need solid weeks to solidify their spots. Rai is one of them as he has been climbing fast with some nice form with Top 25 finishes in five of his last six events with two Top 10's mixed in, as well. He is not only one of just three players who rank Top 10 in fairways gained and SG: Approach in the short term but during this hot stretch he has gained strokes in every SG category three times. I don't just think he will make the playoffs, I feel he can really improve on his position and get closer to the next cutline of Top 50 to the BMW. I will have exposure in all formats this week and like some placing bets(Top 10, Top 20), as well.
Alex Smalley
FedEx Cup Rank (#40)
Vegas Odds (60/1)
DraftKings ($8,100)
FanDuel ($9,500)
Smalley is comfortably inside the cutline but checks all the boxes and could easily improve that position en route to the end goal, the Tour Championship. He missed the cut at the Scottish Open in his last start but was riding some hot form in the US before that coming off a T2 at the John Deere Classic and making the cut in six events during a seven-event stretch going back to the start of May. Looking at the short-term stats model, he is 27th in fairways gained, 3rd in SG: Approach, 10th in Par 4 scoring, and 2nd in Opportunities gained. He will now look to build on his terrific course history after finishing T29 and T13 in his first two trips to Sedgefield. Fire up Smalley in all formats.
Doug Ghim
FedEx Cup Rank (#117)
Vegas Odds (80/1)
DraftKings ($7,200)
FanDuel ($8,700)
Ghim is another player like Smalley who was on a roll prior to boarding a flight to Scotland only to miss the cut. He bounced back to his consistent self at the 3M Open where he finished T27 adding to his consistent resume over the last three months. He has made seven of his last eight cuts with no finish worse than T33 during that time and is another player who is excelling at hitting fairways(6th in FW gained) and dialling in the irons(11th in SG: Approach). He has missed three straight cuts here at Sedgefield but did finish T20 in his first trip back and that is the upside I am after this week.
Justin Lower
FedEx Cup Rank (#100)
Vegas Odds (200/1)
DraftKings ($6,800)
FanDuel ($7,600)
After a rough stretch to start the season leading into the spring, Lower has started to find the form he showed as a rookie when he finished T36 here at Sedgefield. The biggest part of the game that has come together has been the irons as he comes in having gained strokes on approach in five straight and eight of his last nine events gaining four or more strokes in four separate events. The putter has also been a strength for Lower as he has gained strokes there in three straight and eight of his last nine. I look for him to build on that T36 from last year with upside of a Top 25. I will have exposure in all formats.
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