(AP Photo/Steve Helber)
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Oak Hills Country Club
Par 70 - 7,394 Yards
Greens - Bentgrass
**Click the image above to see a hole-by-hole breakdown from PGATour.com**
Xander Schauffele
World Golf Ranking (#5)
Vegas Odds (16/1)
DraftKings ($9,900)
FanDuel ($11,100)
While he is still searching for his first win at a major, he has been one of the most consistent players at the most significant events in the world and checks every box this week. He comes in with four straight Top 15 finishes at a major going back to last year's T13 at the PGA Championship and X also ranks 5th in this field making 90% of his cuts at majors going back to the start of 2018. He also comes in with elite form coming off three straight Top 10's at the Wells Fargo(elevated event), RBC Heritage(elevated event), and the Masters(major). At a price under $10K on DraftKings, Xander is my favourite golfer to start a balanced build with this week.
Scottie Scheffler
World Golf Ranking (#2)
Vegas Odds (8/1)
DraftKings ($11,200)
FanDuel ($12,000)
If paying right up, we have a tough decision between Rahm, Rory, and Scheffler and while I will probably have exposure to all three in some way but it's Scheffler who stands out the most. This is mainly due to the extreme consistency he has shown entering the week with not just 14 straight cuts made but during that stretch, he has reeled off two wins(WMPO, PLAYERS) and finished 12th or better in 13 of those events with seven Top 5's. There is literally no weakness in his game and he sits #1 in both my short-term and long-term models and is my pick to win and my favourite stars and scrubs building block.
Rickie Fowler
World Golf Ranking (#49)
Vegas Odds (60/1)
DraftKings ($7,600)
FanDuel ($9,200)
From a PTS/$ value standpoint, Rickie jumps off the page this week checking almost every single box. He is back in a major for the first time since last year's PGA Championship and enters playing some of the best golf we have seen from him in years. He has made 13 of 14 cuts on the season and comes in with four straight Top 15 finishes while gaining a whopping 20.7 strokes tee to green. Although he has been absent in some majors more recently, he has been very consistent at the biggest events having made 13 of 14 cuts with seven Top 25's in majors going back to 2018. At these prices, Rickie is my favourite value play this week.
Gary Woodland
World Golf Ranking (#75)
Vegas Odds (80/1)
DraftKings ($7,100)
FanDuel ($8,900)
With the majors and now multiple elevated events, we continually see softer pricing which makes stars and scrubs much easier. Woodland is one of those value plays who jumps off the page this week and checks almost all the boxes. He has a good track record at the PGA Championship making six straight cuts with two Top 10's(2019/2018) and but more importantly, comes in with excellent form backed by his elite ball striking. He is coming off a T14 at the Wells Fargo where he gained an insane 10 strokes ball striking and probably would have been in contention if not for losing 3.5 strokes on the greens. In this elite field, he ranks 5th in SG: Ball Striking, 2nd in Proximity from 200+ yards, 17th in par 4 scoring, and 25th in DraftKings scoring. Fire up Woodland in all formats.
Harold Varner
World Golf Ranking (#65)
Vegas Odds (225/1)
DraftKings ($6,600)
FanDuel ($8,100)
We are getting into wildcard territory here in this price range but Varner is someone who I feel could pop off and crush his price if things go right. What makes him a wildcard, more than anything, is the accuracy off the tee which could get him into trouble in the tough rough conditions. The good news is that he has made the cut in four straight PGA Championships and after a slow start to his LIV season(28th, 27th, 19th, 17th), has reeled off a T11 at Adelaide, T8 at Singapore, and T4 last week at Tulsa. He also did well for his price at the Masters with a T29 and another finish like that is what I am looking for from HVIII with a Top 10-20 upside in the cards.
Patrick Cantlay who I love pairing with Xander on DraftKings as both are under $10K. Cantlay ranks 2nd in SG: Tee to Green, 8th in fairways gained, 28th in driving distance, 4th in par 4 scoring, and 2nd in BoB % in my L24 round model.
Jason Day who is coming off a win in a huge comeback season, has a win at the PGA Championship(2015) with some strong event history including a T8 here at Oak Hill back in 2013.
Joaquin Niemann is another LIV player I will have exposure to at projected lower ownership. Looking at his PGA stats from last season, he is a Top 15 player in terms of ball striking, has the distance to compete at longer courses combined with elite long irons and is coming off back-to-back Top 10's on the LIV tour.
Keith Mitchell who joins Patrick Cantlay and Scottie Scheffler as the only three players in the field to rank Top 20 in both driving accuracy and distance which is a great recipe for major success. Poor iron play lately has led to some poor form but that should also equate to lower ownership combined with Top 10/20 upside.
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