Memphis Grizzlies guard Ja Morant (12) goes up to shoots while defended by Charlotte Hornets center Willie Hernangomez (9) in the second half of an NBA basketball game Sunday, Dec. 29, 2019, in Memphis, Tenn. (AP Photo/Karen Pulfer Focht)
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Opponent - LAC
Proj Pts FD - 50.32 DK - 54.36
The Grizzlies don’t have their playoff fate sealed just yet, but they are close and it’s looking like they will be locked into the Western Conference #2 seed. Ja Morant rested on the front end of this back-to-back, but it looks like he will be back for this game. And the dude hasn’t shown any signs of being affected (on the court) from his time away from the team.
He dropped 27 points and six rebounds in just 29 minutes last time out and this game should see the run increase as he works his way back into the mix. The price is way too low on DraftKings especially if he’s looking at low-30s minutes and the dude has come back on a mission.
Opponent - SAC
Proj Pts FD - 34.99 DK - 37.85
The Blazers are a mess for sure and have clearly entered a full tank. Damien Lillard has been shut down for the rest of the season and they are running out the young and end-of-bench guys from here on out. Shaedon Sharpe has played 35+ minutes in each of the last four games, averaging 22.5 points and 6.3 rebounds in that stretch. Even with the rest of the lineup kind of getting jacked around, his playing time and usage do appear very safe here even with a slightly down game last time around. His price on both sites doesn’t reflect, at all, the new opportunity.
Opponent - SA
Proj Pts FD - 30.86 DK - 33.16
Opponent - SA
Proj Pts FD - 34.43 DK - 35.56
It’s a little tough to know what the Utah Jazz are doing here, and as of right now, Lauri Markkanen is questionable for the game. It doesn’t look like the Jazz, currently ranked 12th in the Western Conference, are going to try and make the play-in game, which would mean a key guy like Lauri would see limited action from here on out. In terms of fantasy production, Talen Horton-Tucker has been an up-and-down guy, though last game did come out with 16 points, eight rebounds, and eight assists. He does take over point guard duties with Jordan Clarkson out of the mix and has done enough across the box score (in the aggregate) to warrant a play at these prices.
And then there is Kris Dunn who will see minutes in the mid-20s for this team off the bench and has been able to pile on fantasy points in the right situation. Over the last month, in about 24 minutes a game, he’s averaging 10.8 points, 5.5 rebounds, 4.4 assists, and 1.3 blocks+steals. That’s balanced enough to not totally get buzzed off these prices even if it is a little weird rocking a bench guy in the middle pricing tier.
Opponent - HOU
Proj Pts FD - 42.29 DK - 43.58
Mikal Bridges has been something of a revelation for the Nets since coming over in the Kevin Durant trade and has actually turned into one of the league’s better scorers since making the move to Brooklyn. In the month of March, he’s averaging 28 points a game on 49/39/91 shooting which is ultra, ultra-efficient. In that time he’s had seven games scoring more than 30 points and dropped 44 last time out. This is a great matchup against the lowly Rockets and the Nets' intentions are pretty set here. They want the Eastern Conference sixth seed and are willing to run starters major minutes to do it.
Opponent - SAC
Proj Pts FD - 27.9 DK - 30.33
Nassir Little was a popular play last time out for the tanking Blazers, getting the start at small forward and coming pretty cheap all things considered. The issue was that he played only 20 minutes in the loss the bench guys got all of the run outside of Sharpe. Cam Reddish is now out as well in this game, limiting the bench some and I do expect we see more of Little here. He’s only a game removed from scoring 28 points and adding six rebounds against the Thunder and I do think he has a role in this offense if they can hang even a little bit. I don’t mind going back to the well here.
Opponent - IND
Proj Pts FD - 63.24 DK - 67.55
In terms of spend-ups, we might be in a tricky spot today. There are a few different options and the situations around blowouts on this slate could get really dicey, real quick. That’s the story when it comes to end-of-season hoops and how some teams have packed it in. That appears to be the case with the Pacers for sure and it’s why the Bucks are such big favorites. But when it comes to locking in a solid floor, it’s hard to argue with playing Giannis here who sat out for rest in the last game.
He’s averaging 30 points, 10 rebounds, and 6.7 assists over his last 10 games and that’s with only playing about 31 minutes. Milwaukee gets involved in their share of blowouts (from crushing teams) and it’s a concern. But Giannis very rarely gets completely buzzed off when it comes to production.
Opponent - HOU
Proj Pts FD - 46.97 DK - 45.37
Again, as we said with Mikal Bridges, the Nets are in a situation where they definitely want to win and when the going is right, Nic Claxton will run minutes in the mid-30s. He’s averaging a double-double over the last month (12 points, 10 rebounds) and over his last three games has piled up 10 blocks. He’s third in the NBA in swats this season. The Rockets are pretty bad and it stands to reason he runs full minutes here. I like the price on FanDuel especially.
Opponent - UTA
Proj Pts FD - 34.56 DK - 37.18
The Spurs are a mess for sure. They are fully tanking and the starting lineup and players available changes nearly every game. But Zach Collins should be back for this game and when he’s on the court, the dude can get there from a fantasy perspective. He’s played 30 or more minutes in four of the last six games he’s been available, averaging 21 points, eight rebounds, and 3.5 assists in that stretch. The matchup against Utah is fine here with both teams likely trying to lose.
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