Sacramento Kings forward Domantas Sabonis (10) brings he ball up the floor in the second half in an NBA basketball game against the Minnesota Timberwolves in Sacramento, Calif., Saturday, March 4, 2023. The Timberwolves won 138-134. (AP Photo/José Luis Villegas)
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Opponent - IND
Proj Pts FD - 48.94 DK - 53.51
The 76ers are one of seven teams playing on a back-to-back tonight but no way we are ignoring the matchup as they are six-point favourites in a game with the third-highest total(234) on the slate. Let's start with James Harden who may not have the same upside as in the past but is still one of the most consistent PTS/$ producers in the league. It comes down to his contributions in almost every fantasy stat and has been especially good recently averaging a double-double on 22.7 points and 10.8 assists and with the addition of another 6.9 rebounds he has averaged 52 fantasy points a game since the break. Against a Pacers' team that ranks 26th in defensive efficiency, I will have a ton of exposure to Harden in all formats tonight.
Opponent - SAC
Proj Pts FD - 43.94 DK - 47.26
It is a similar situation for Beal here as the Wizards are one of the teams playing on a back-to-back but the good news is that they are home as favourites in a game with a monster 236 total. Like Philly, they also get a plus matchup, as well, facing a Kings team that ranks 25th in defensive efficiency and 21st in fantasy points to guards. For Beal, the price is creeping back up and justifiably so as he has been very consistent lately averaging over 45 fantasy points over his last eight games on a very balanced attack(26 points, 5.5 rebounds, 6 assists, 2.4 blocks+steals). All things considered tonight, Beal is a core play for me in all formats.
Opponent - WAS
Proj Pts FD - 28.72 DK - 32
We are always looking for value and many times it comes in the form of opportunity due to injury. That is the case for the Kings as Kevin Huerter left Thursday's game with a knee injury and is highly questionable tonight. That would open up some added minutes for Malik Monk who could possibly get a spot start but either way has been a very consistent contributor off the bench recently. He has taken double-digit shots and tallied double-digit points in four of his last five while averaging over 30 fantasy points a game. I will have him in my player pool regardless but he becomes a top PTS/$ option if he gets the start. Stay tuned.
Opponent - PHI
Proj Pts FD - 22.12 DK - 24.84
Nwora has seen an increased role in the short term with Tyrese Haliburton out and with him expected to miss a fourth straight, the opportunity is there once again for him to become a top value play on this slate. He has only started one of those games with Haliburton out but has been consistent across them all with 30 or more fantasy points in three of his last four games. The matchup is not great against the 76ers but they are playing on a back-to-back on the road and it's hard to turn down 30+ minutes and double-digit shots at this price. I will have exposure in all formats.
Opponent - WAS
Proj Pts FD - 46.3 DK - 50.46
Sabonis is coming off a monster performance recording his league-leading 56th double-double and in very impressive fashion with a 20-20 effort(24 pts, 21 reb). To say he has been dominating in the second half would be an understatement as he comes in easily averaging a double-double on 20.2 points and 13.8 rebounds and with another 8.2 assists per game has averaged 52 fantasy points across his last 12 games(4-5 Fpts higher than season average). He now gets a Wizards team that is playing on a back-to-back and ranks 19th in overall defensive efficiency and in fantasy points to centers. I am not expecting another triple-double like he recorded last time vs the Wizards but he is easily one of my top pay-ups in all formats.
Opponent - TOR
Proj Pts FD - 32.16 DK - 33.78
Opponent - TOR
Proj Pts FD - 24.45 DK - 25.98
There is a little uncertainty with the rotation tonight as the Timberwolves are coming off a double-OT loss last night but with Anthony Edwards leaving and not returning with an ankle sprain, there could be some value to be had here. For me, it starts with Kyle Anderson who has been a consistent fantasy option lately and it comes down to his contributions across multiple categories. Over the last six games, he has averaged 13.3 points, 7.7 rebounds, 9.0 assists, and 2.5 blocks+steals for over 42 fantasy points a game. Despite the extended run last night, if Edwards is out here, he should easily see 30-35 minutes once again. McDaniels played a ton of minutes last night(45) giving us a ceiling game but has also been fairly consistent in the short-term tallying 24 or more DK points in 10 of his last 12 games. With an extended run again tonight, he would be a top PTS/$ value.
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