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DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Thursday 3/16
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Guards
Devin Booker FD - $10300 DK - $9900
Opponent - ORL
Proj Pts FD - 49.58 DK - 50.95
This is a tougher slate tonight combining just five games, two of which have serious blowout potential, and then adding in a bunch of unknowns in terms of injuries and value plays. While Booker hasn't really flashed GPP winning upside on the regular, he has been a very consistent cash play night in and night out. He has been especially good since the break shooting 55% from the field on 23 shots per game while averaging 32.3 points, 6.1 assists, 4.4 rebounds, and just over 50 fantasy points a game.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander FD - $10600 DK - $9600
Opponent - TOR
Proj Pts FD - 53.52 DK - 52.91
The big decision for me this early in the day is which guard to pay up as they have both been consistent, both have average matchups, and both have produced very similar lines since the break. I would say SGA comes with a little more risk as he has been dealing with injuries in the second half but when on the court, has crushed shooting 52% on 23 shots a game while averaging 36 points, 6.2 rebounds, and 4.6 assists and just 55 fantasy points per game across five games since the break. The matchup isn't at the top of the list but with a price still sitting south of $10K on DraftKings, I am on board in all formats.
Spencer Dinwiddie FD - $8700 DK - $7900
Opponent - SAC
Proj Pts FD - 36.05 DK - 37.33
The Nets are most definitely a team we have our eyes on tonight as they are small home favourites in a game with the highest total(237.5) on the slate. That is not the only thing that stands out as they also get a fantastic matchup against a Kings team that is 25th in defensive efficiency, 8th in pace, and also playing on a back-to-back on the road. For Dinwiddie, I was a bit concerned as the game before and after the break were complete duds but the good news is that he has picked it up considerably almost averaging a double-double(20.1 points, 9.3 assists) over his last nine game while providing us 40+ fantasy points in five of his last six. All things considered, Dinwiddie is one of my top PTS/$ guards on this slate.
Also Consider: Andrew Nembhard(IND) who is currently one of the only healthy Pacer's guards and would become a great play if multiple players(Hield, Haliburton, McConnell) were to sit out
Small Forward
Kevin Huerter FD - $6200 DK - $5400
Opponent - CHI
Proj Pts FD - 25.58 DK - 28.06
There is definitely some volatility with Huerter who can completely crush you at times but the entire small forward position is ugly tonight so I will try to go as cheap as possible. Going back to the end of February, even with two duds(under 20 fantasy points), Huerter has still averaged over 31 fantasy points per game shooting 57% on 13 shots a game. The Kings are on a back-to-back but the good news is that Huerter played just 28 minutes last night so should be fairly fresh for this very high total game that is expected to stay close. Fire up Huerter in all formats.
Power Forward/Center
Jalen Williams FD - $7700 DK - $7100
Opponent - TOR
Proj Pts FD - 31.34 DK - 33.21
The system can be heavily geared towards larger sample sizes which could be the reason it is not nearly as high on Jalen Williams as I am tonight. The rookie has shown us his upside all season but seems to have put it all together since the break and become more consistent, as well. It is the best of all worlds as he is shooting 60% from the field on 14 shots per game with a very balanced attack of 22.3 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 5.2 assists for over 42 fantasy points per game in his last nine. He is coming off back-to-back double-doubles and is a player that I will have exposure to on both sites and in all formats.
Isaiah Jackson FD - $6000 DK - $5400
Opponent - MIL
Proj Pts FD - 32.2 DK - 32.05
Let's cap things off with a bit of a speculative pick as Myles Turner has missed two straight for the Pacers with a back injury and is in danger of missing a third. Despite not playing regularly, Jackson started both of those games playing 26 and 27 minutes, picking up a double-double in one of the games flashing his upside and tallying 24 or more fantasy points in both. It is a tougher matchup and could turn into a blowout but we are desperate for value on this slate and the price is still in the mid $5K range on DraftKings. Stay tuned for news as Jackson could become a decent PTS/$ value again tonight.
