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DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Saturday 3/11
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Guards
Devin Booker FD - $10400 DK - $9900
Opponent - SAC
Proj Pts FD - 48.21 DK - 49.8
We have a larger slate for a Saturday and a lot of good spots but let's start with the late game that also brings us the highest total(238.5) on the slate and a game that is expected to stay close(PHO -3). This is a perfect recipe for fantasy scoring and I will start my core with Devin Booker who checks all the boxes. He comes in red-hot since the break shooting 55% from the field(48% on the season) on 23.3 shots a game and has provided us 51 FD/53 DK points per game. He now faces a Kings team that is 25th in defensive efficiency while running a Top 10 pace. Despite the rising price, Booker is in play for me in all formats.
Kelly Oubre Jr. FD - $7900 DK - $7800
Opponent - UTA
Proj Pts FD - 37.52 DK - 39.48
The system is not nearly as high on Oubre as it has been due to the price approaching $8K on both sites but I am still on board considering the plus matchup tonight. Since re-joining the starting five, in the absence of Lonzo Ball, Oubre has been terrific shooting 47.3% on 18 shots for 25.2 points a game and with the addition of seven rebounds, he is averaging 39.6 DK/38.1 FD points per game. This is another game with a higher total(231) that is expected to stay close(CHA -2.5) and jazz are not only 21st in defensive efficiency, they are allowing the 2nd most fantasy points to guards this season. Lock and load with Oubre in all formats.
Tim Hardaway Jr. FD - $5600 DK - $5300
Opponent - MEM
Proj Pts FD - 28.02 DK - 29.7
The Mavericks look like they will be a bit short-handed tonight with Luka already ruled out and Kyrie is sitting with a questionable tag. Despite the tough matchup against the Grizzlies, this injury news does open up some much-needed value and it's THJ at the top of my list. With those guys in the lineup, he has played very well in the short-term shooting 57% on 35 shots over the last three games while averaging over 34 fantasy points. While the upside could be capped if the Mavs get blown out, I love the floor at these prices considering he is going to see a heavy run of minutes tonight.
Buy-low alert for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander(OKC) on DraftKings where the price has fallen into the low $9K range while he has put up 44 or more DK points in seven straight while averaging 52.9 during that stretch
Small Forward
Buddy Hield FD - $6200 DK - $6300
Opponent - DET
Proj Pts FD - 29.99 DK - 33.13
The Pacers appear on track to be very short-handed tonight with Mathurin ruled out and Haliburton, McConnell, and Turner all questionable and probably more on the doubtful side. One player who is healthy and benefits from one or all sitting out is Buddy Hield. he has provided a solid 5x floor over the last eight games with most of/all those guys playing and has also flashed 7x+ upside when given the volume which he should see tonight in a plus matchup against the Pistons' 28th-ranked defence. Fire up Hield in all formats.
Also Consider: Jimmy Butler(MIA) who has been very consistent lately putting up 41 or more DK points in seven of his last eight(46.3 average)
Power Forward/Center
Bobby Portis FD - $6700 DK - $7000
Opponent - GS
Proj Pts FD - 36.24 DK - 40.11
This one is a bit speculative but Giannis has now missed two straight and is in danger of missing a third tonight and there is really no reason to push the superstar as the Bucks are sitting atop the Eastern Conference. In Giannis's absence, Bobby Portis has been playing terrific recording a double-double in both games while shooting 68% from the field. While the Warriors are an above-average defence(12th in defensive efficiency), they rank 26th in fantasy to forwards and this game has a one-point spread and the 2nd highest total(236.5) on the slate. If Giannis is in fact out, Portis will be a core play for me in all formats.
Walker Kessler FD - $8000 DK - $7100
Opponent - CHA
Proj Pts FD - 41.41 DK - 40.49
The Jazz are just 3-4 since the break and have fallen to a half-game out of the play-in tournament but it has been no fault of Kessler who has been on fire on a personal level. He has simply taken his game to another level with four straight double-doubles and has averaged 11 points, 12.7 rebounds, and 38.7 DraftKings points per game since the break(6 games). In a projected close game, he should get full run here and is on my radar in all formats.
