Minnesota Timberwolves guard Anthony Edwards (1) dribbles down the court during the second half of an NBA basketball game against the Washington Wizards, Thursday, Feb. 16, 2023, in Minneapolis. (AP Photo/Abbie Parr)
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Opponent - CHA
Proj Pts FD - 49.09 DK - 52.35
Opponent - CHA
Proj Pts FD - 32.96 DK - 35.74
The Timberwolves find themselves in the best fantasy situation going on Friday, facing up against the Charlotte Hornets who rank 24th in defensive efficiency and second in pace. That’s the DFS sweet spot and stacking Minnesota in cash games should have a high floor. Anthony Edwards leads the charge here, playing the most minutes on the team and carrying in incredibly high usage, especially after the trade of D’Angelo Russell at the deadline. Edwards has averaged 23.5 shots per game over the last four putting up 30+ in three of those games. It’s just too good a spot for him here and the opportunity shift means the price is still just a tad too low.
And then there is Mike Conley. Bad news first: last game Conley played 33 minutes and scored exactly zero points. That won’t make you feel warm and fuzzy inside, but here we are. The good news is that he played a bunch of minutes and that should continue to be the case here. I think stacking this game as much as possible is the play and I’m willing to live with some of the downside risk Conley presents with his overall game.
Opponent - MIA
Proj Pts FD - 42.24 DK - 46.26
The Bucks are going to be without Giannis Antetokounmpo because of a wrist issue and that tends to open up opportunities nearly across the board for this team. It’s not an amazing matchup against the Heat, but a guy like Jrue Holiday is still firmly in as a play, especially on FanDuel where the price is a bit too low. Seeing as how Khris Middleton is still coming off the bench with a minutes-management piece, Holiday should take over the offense here. With Giannis off the court this season, Holiday has a 33% usage rate, the highest on the team (Giannis is 40% for the season). This is a pretty easy play especially if you think the minutes push into the high 30s.
Opponent - CHA
Proj Pts FD - 35.56 DK - 36.48
Slo-Mo is always such an interesting case because he can really pile it on from a fantasy perspective but then will also go long stretches in which it seems like he’s not even on the court. But he should be in the starting lineup against the Hornets and is coming off a game before the All-Star break in which he put up 18 points, eight assists, and five rebounds in 31 minutes. If that’s going to be the minutes' expectation then we can pretty confidently play him in cash games on both sites.
Opponent - GS
Proj Pts FD - 24.02 DK - 26.66
Opponent - GS
Proj Pts FD - 29.54 DK - 32.25
The Rockets are big dogs to the Warriors on Friday because they are going to be without Jalen Green and Kevin Porter for starters. And the starters, at least at the time of this writing, are a bit up in the air. But we should see some increased usage for these two guys plus dudes like TyTy Washington Jr. (FD 4000 DK 3000) or Josh Christopher (FD 4100 DK 3300) could grab the start which would put them in the value category as well. This is an odd situation seeing as how everyone could just run lower minutes with Houston fully tanking, but there should be value seeing as how so much of the team’s usage is out of the lineup right now.
Opponent - CHA
Proj Pts FD - 45.88 DK - 47.61
There was some concern about Rudy Gobert running big minutes. But that was dispelled some in the last game before the break in which he went for 36 in the loss to the Wizards. He was good for 17 points and 19 rebounds while putting up three blocks as well. This is a great matchup for Rudy considering the Hornets get blocked as much as anyone in the league and allow the second-most opponent rebounds as well. He’s a value on both sites, but especially on DraftKings with the price in the lower $7K range.
Opponent - MIN
Proj Pts FD - 34.68 DK - 34.92
He’s still a points-per-minute beast on the season even if the last couple of games have been hit or miss. That being said, he’s coming off a double-double right before the break that also saw him pile up four blocks. The price is climbing here and the matchup against Rudy Gobert isn’t exactly ideal, but I still like Mark Williams as a value because he does multiple things “well” from a fantasy perspective when given the time on the court,
Opponent - ATL
Proj Pts FD - 39 DK - 40.59
This play is less about Mobley scoring 31 points against the Nuggets on Thursday and more about that he played 38 minutes in that game. If the Cavs are going to run him major minutes on the regular then he’s simply too cheap on both sites. He’s never going to be first or second in terms of the offensive pecking order, but the run should be there for the guy especially with the Cavs front court getting a bit thinner after the buyout of Kevin Love.
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