DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Monday 12/12

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Guards

Damian Lillard FD - $9700 DK - $10200
Opponent - MIN
Proj Pts FD - 44.76 DK - 47.33

The price has reached a point where we have to pick our spots with Lillard, which is most definitely one of them. These teams meet for the second time in three nights after hitting the over on Saturday with a handful of players providing excellent PTS/$ value. For Lillard, he put up 22 shot including 11 from behind the arc and ended up with 50+ fantasy points for the second straight game. The Timberwolves are only slightly below average defensively(18th) but run fast(3rd in pace) and have given up the second-most fantasy points to the guard position. This is a great spot for Lillard and he is my top guard in all formats.

Kyrie Irving FD - $8700 DK - $8700
Opponent - WAS
Proj Pts FD - 42.54 DK - 45.54

The Nets seemed to have put their drama-filled and poor start behind them and their recent success has in large part been thanks to their superstars. Kyrie has been playing some of his best basketball of the season recently shooting over 55% on 45 shots over the last two games while dropping 33 points in each along with 16 rebounds and 12 assists which has also led to 50+ fantasy-point performances in both. He and the Nets now face a Wizards team that is short Bradley Beal and possibly Monte Morris and has really struggled lately losing nine of their last 10. At these sub $9K prices, Kyrie is in play for me in all formats tonight.

Caris LeVert FD - $5500 DK - $5000
Opponent - SA
Proj Pts FD - 34.1 DK - 37.53

This one is a bit speculative as we will be waiting on the Donovan Mitchell news to make the final decision but if he misses his third straight game, Levert is once again a top PTS/$ play in our system. He started each of the last two games and saw a huge usage boost taking 21 and 22 shots and not only dropped 22 points in each but also added 10 rebounds and 10 assists, as well. If starting, he is massively underpriced on both sites and a lock in all formats. If Mitchell does make his return, I will consider him with a price under $9K on DraftKings in a matchup against a Spurs team that is dead last in defensive efficiency while running a Top 10 pace.

Small Forward

Deni Avdija FD - $5500 DK - $4900
Opponent - BKN
Proj Pts FD - 27.16 DK - 29.02

The small forward position is somewhat forcing us to pay up(Durant/Tatum) or travel way down the board which is what I am going to do here with Avdija. He has stepped into a larger role due to injuries in the short term and has played some monster minutes recently and more importantly, has provided fantasy value in almost every category. In those three games, he has averaged 11.7 points, 6.7 rebounds, 5.3 assists, and 2.0 blocks+steals which has resulted in 30+ fantasy points in each. He is in play for me on both sites but his best value easily comes on DraftKings where the price is still below $5K.

Also Consider: Kawhi Leonard(LAC) whose minutes and production are trending up while the price continues to trend down

Power Forward/Center

Kristaps Porzingis FD - $9200 DK - $9500
Opponent - BKN
Proj Pts FD - 45.86 DK - 48.37

The price is on the rise but for good reason as Porzingis has been an extremely consistent fantasy option over the last couple of weeks. With Beal out, he has seen his usage go up slightly and is averaging over 17 shots per game over his last seven while also averaging a double-double(29 points, 10.9 rebounds) in that time. With that, he has tallied at least 40 FD/45 DK points in each of those games while also flashing some huge 60+ point upside. He is out top center and is in play in all formats.

Kyle Anderson FD - $5600 DK - $5200
Opponent - POR
Proj Pts FD - 31.1 DK - 32.01

Anderson has been picking up some starts lately and paying off in a big way for fantasy. He is shooting really well(50%) over the last five games but that is not where the value lies as the secondary scoring has been terrific with six of more rebounds and five or more assists in four of those five games which has led to 30 or more DraftKings points in for of five, as well. If he starts again, which he is projected to, he will be a top PTS/$ value on this slate in a game with the highest total.

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