DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Saturday 12/3

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Guards

Stephen Curry FD - $10500 DK - $10900
Opponent - HOU
Proj Pts FD - 53.32 DK - 58.72

We have another small Saturday slate with very few top-tier players which makes it easy to pencil Cury in as our top overall pick tonight. It helps this game has the highest total on the board and Steph gets to play the third-worst defence in the league in a projected fast-paced game. For Steph, he has been one of the most consistent fantasy players this season averaging 30.8 points, 7.0 assists, and 6.9 rebounds and has tallied 44 or more DraftKings points in 19 of 21 games. The only thing that could spoil the party is a blowout but on a four-game slate, I am not overly worried and will have a ton of exposure in all formats.

Anfernee Simons FD - $8400 DK - $8300
Opponent - UTA
Proj Pts FD - 40.24 DK - 44.41

Despite a peaking price point, Simons comes into Saturday's action checking every box and it starts with sheer volume. While Portland has struggled with Lillard out of the lineup(1-5), Simons has benefited in a big way for fantasy playing 37 or more minutes in all six games while averaging 21 shots, almost three more per game. He is not only getting the volume, he is delivering on the rising price averaging just over 42 fantasy points a game and flashing 50+ point upside multiple times. In a matchup against a Jazz team who are playing on a back-to-back, rank 24th in defensive efficiency, and 10th in pace, Simons is my top play at the guard position tonight.

D'Angelo Russell FD - $6800 DK - $6800
Opponent - OKC
Proj Pts FD - 38.43 DK - 41.34

From a PTS/$ standpoint, our system absolutely loves Russell in this spot as this game has the second-highest total(231) on the slate as the Timberwolves are home to the Thunder. After a slow and very inconsistent start to the season, Russell found some consistency over the last month shooting around 10% better from the field while also adding about two assists per game which has also led to three double-doubles in his last five. I am not a fan of the rising price but it is very relative to the size of the slate so I will lock in the volume and projected high floor in all formats.

Small Forward

Justise Winslow FD - $5600 DK - $5200
Opponent - UTA
Proj Pts FD - 30.97 DK - 32.76

After tallying 25+ Draftkings points just three times in his first 14 games, he has not only hit that total in five straight, but he is also averaging 29.7 in that time. It comes down to volume, with Lillard off the floor, as he has taken double-digit shot attempts in all five of those games while picking up a double-double twice. More good news for his playing time as Josh Hart is doubtful and set to miss his second straight game. Fire up Winslow in all formats as a top PTS/$ value on this slate.

Power Forward/Center

Jerami Grant FD - $8200 DK - $7700
Opponent - UTA
Proj Pts FD - 39.55 DK - 41.97

As you can probably tell by now we are very high on the Trail Blazers tonight. It is hard not to when their top player is out of the lineup leaving a ton of usage and fantasy points to spread around and while they have not been winning as a team, they have been great for your fantasy team. Grant has been another player benefiting in a huge way averaging nearly 10 fantasy points per game more(42.3) since the Lillard injury thanks to getting some insane usage with 20 or more shots in four straight games. Considering the consistency, plus matchup, and smaller slate, I am not at all worried about Grant's rising price and have him as a core play in all formats.

Rudy Gobert FD - $7200 DK - $6900
Opponent - OKC
Proj Pts FD - 42.13 DK - 43.58

Despite Karl-Anthony Towns out of the lineup last game, Gobert put up a huge dude tallying a season-low one rebound and 12 fantasy points. It is always tough going back to a player following a stinker like that but he will get a chance to redeem himself as KAT will remain out for a while. The bad form has also helped keep the price in check for now, as well, and with Towns in the lineup we have seen Gobert drop 35+ fantasy points eight times while flashing 50+ upside. In a game with the second-highest total on slate and against a Thunder team that is 18th in defense and 17th in rebounding, I will lock Gobert in as my top center tonight.

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image sources

  • Stephen Curry: AP Images
Chris Durell