Philadelphia 76ers' Joel Embiid in action during an NBA basketball game against the Miami Heat, Monday, Nov. 21, 2016, in Philadelphia. (AP Photo/Matt Slocum)
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Opponent - ORL
Proj Pts FD - 43.89 DK - 44.71
Haliburton checks all the boxes for me tonight which has him right there with Damian Lillard as top guard in our projections. I lean slightly towards Haliburton as he comes cheaper, and especially on DraftKings where his best value lies as he has tallied the double-double bonus in eight of 13 games. He is also averaging a double-double on the season with 20.6 points and 10.4 assists which has helped him to also tally 40 or more DK points in 12 of 13 games and 45 or more in eight of those. Both teams are on a back-to-back and rank outside the Top 20 in defensive efficiency so I am expecting a high-scoring game where Haliburton can easily hit his floor projection and tap into the upside as well.
Opponent - IND
Proj Pts FD - 29.16 DK - 29.85
Since entering the starting lineup back in early November Suggs has been consistent when looking at his averages(13.7 reb/4.0 reb/6.3 ast) but the standard deviation is much higher than say, Haliburton. He can give you 20 points or 50 on any given night and I kind of like taking those shots with a player in the mid-range. This is also a pace-up matchup for the Magic as the Pacers run the league's second-fastest pace and rank 23rd in fantasy points to guards. I will personally have exposure to Suggs in all formats tonight.
Opponent - MIL
Proj Pts FD - 18.09 DK - 19.66
This is a situation we will have to monitor leading up to lock but the 76ers are already short at guard with James Harden out and unfortunately also lost Tyrese Maxey to a foot injury last night. With him getting an MRI today, he is unlikely to play and that will open up some minutes and opportunities. Shake took over last night playing 31 minutes and putting up 15 points, six assists, and three rebounds for 28 fantasy points. That return is fully in play here should he get the start tonight which would easily make him one of our top PTS.$ value plays on the slate.
Opponent - LAC
Proj Pts FD - 32.79 DK - 36.51
There are some question marks surrounding the Spurs tonight with Jakob Poeltl and Devin Vassell both questionable to play the front of this back-to-back. Meanwhile, Keldon Johnson has the probable tag and already leads the team with a 28% usage rate putting him all over my radar tonight. He can be a bit inconsistent with the shot at times but has still tallied 30 or more DraftKings points in 13 of 14 games this season and had his best stretch of play during Vassell's four-game absence where he averaged 44.5 DraftKings points per game. I am interested in Johnson either way but he would become a near-lock in my cash lineup should Vassell sit out. Stay tuned.
Opponent - ORL
Proj Pts FD - 40.41 DK - 40.8
Despite both teams playing on a back-to-back tonight, this is the game I want to build around as both teams rank outside the Top 20 in defensive efficiency leading to the highest total on the slate. On the Pacers' side of things, it is Myles Turner who is right there with Haliburton as my favorite PTS/$ spend ups on the slate and like Haliburton, it comes down to consistency. The price has finally started to catch up but it's fully warranted as Turner is averaging 20.5 points and 9.5 rebounds over his last six games for an average north of 40 fantasy points per game. I have interest on both sites tonight but will have the most exposure on DraftKings in that low $7K range.
Opponent - IND
Proj Pts FD - 31.63 DK - 33.25
This is a situation where almost all the boxes are checked starting with the price and opportunity travelling in opposite directions. After four straight games posting 30 or more fantasy points, including a beast-mode 50 against the T-Wolves, Bol Bol's price has slowly been dropping and is back down in the mid to low $6K range on both sites. That is great news as he is also getting some added opportunities with rookie Paolo Banchero out and has taken double-digit shots in three straight. On top of the price+opportunity, Bol Bol and the Magic also get a plus matchup against the Pacers who rank 22nd in defensive efficiency and 5th in pace. Fire up Bol Bol in all formats.
Also consider paying top dollar for Joel Embiid(PHI) if enough value pops up. Philly could be short half their lineup and Embiid could see heavy usage and easily pay off that monster price tag in a plus matchup
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