Basketball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander plus the Nuggets without their stars highlight the DraftKings and FanDuel NBA Picks - Friday, November 18, 2022
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Point Guard/ Shooting Guard
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander FD - $10800 DK - $9900
Opponent - MEM
Proj Pts FD - 52.94 DK - 54.46
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is just on another level right now. He’s scored 30+ points in seven of his last nine games and for the time being is a 50/40/90 guy, about as efficient as it gets. SGA is one, and really the main reason OKC could have some “trouble” tanking this season. He’s just been too good. Now he’ll face off against the Grizzlies in a game that has the second-highest implied total of the day. This game should be a high-scoring affair and for the month of November, SGA is averaging 33 points, 5.3 assists, 4.2 assists, and a crazy 3.3 blocks+steals. It’s the full package and he’s coming too cheap on DraftKings.
Ja Morant FD - $10100 DK - $10500
Opponent - OKC
Proj Pts FD - 53.85 DK - 58.12
Ja Morant somehow seems to be taking yet another leap this season following the massive one he took last year. It’s really something and the fourth-year superstar is putting up some eye-popping numbers. He’s averaging 29.3 points per game and has been shooting 40% from behind the arc, the last piece of the puzzle in making him basically an unstoppable offensive talent. He’s also piled on the assists and in this game will play a Thunder team running the 4th-fastest pace in the league. Stacking SGA and Ja where possible should have a very high floor even at their upper-tier prices.
Bones Hyland FD - $5800 DK - $5000
Opponent - DAL
Proj Pts FD - 35.58 DK - 40.13
The Nuggets are coming in pretty shorthanded for this game with Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray already ruled out. That’s going to leave some bench guys to pick up the slack and Bones Hyland is in a tremendous spot. He’s slated to get the start at point guard and is a candidate to lead the team in usage here against the Mavericks. Even in somewhat limited run (25 minutes per game) over the last four, he’s averaging 14 shots and putting up 19 points, four rebounds, and three assists. The minutes are definitely going to tick up here and he should play in the mid-30s at least. Even with the price sitting in the $5K range, he’s for sure a value on this slate.
Jalen Green FD - $6500 DK - $6500
Opponent - IND
Proj Pts FD - 35.27 DK - 39.12
The Pacers and Rockets game has the highest total (236.5) of the main slate and should be an up-and-down affair with very little defense to speak of. The Rockets have upped Jalen Green’s minutes to about 35 per game and he’s putting up nearly 18 shots an outing. It’s got him averaging 22 points per game and the volume shooting gives him a higher floor. The price on both sites doesn’t really reflect the usage or the matchup here and he makes a pretty easy cash game play assuming this one stays close, which it should.
Strongly Tyrese Haliburton (FD 8900 DK 9200) in this game as well. His FanDuel price is much too low if he’s going to run mid-30s minutes.
Small Forward
Michael Porter Jr. FD - $6200 DK - $6200
Opponent - DAL
Proj Pts FD - 35.87 DK - 39.68
Michael Porter Jr. was a huge disappointment the last time out, a game that had Nikola Jokic and Aaron Gordon out of the lineup for the Nuggets. It seemed like a smash spot and he was a very chalky option. But just 28 minutes, 1-8 shooting and very little else made it a bust. Let’s go back to the well here in a game that Denver now will play without Jamal Murray as well. MPJ is averaging 17 points and six rebounds per game this season, taking 12.7 shots per game, a number that should definitely increase here. The matchup against Dallas isn’t ideal because of the pace, but again, there is so much opportunity considering who Denver is missing.
Dillon Brooks FD - $5000 DK - $6400
Opponent - OKC
Proj Pts FD - 33.17 DK - 35.89
The Grizzlies are still without Desmond Bane and last game Dillon Brooks saw the minutes tick up to 37 against the Pelicans. He ended up taking 18 shots, the second-most on the team though he struggled with efficiency, going just 2-9 from beyond the arc. I still like him as a value play here, especially on FanDuel where the $5K number is way too low for the opportunity and matchup. He’s likely to be a chalk play over there.
Power Forward/ Center
Anthony Davis FD - $11000 DK - $10200
Opponent - DET
Proj Pts FD - 54.2 DK - 54.44
Lebron James is still out for the Lakers here on Friday leaving Anthony Davis in a tremendous spot once again. LA gets a great matchup against the Pistons who are without much in the way of bigs with Isaiah Stewart out and nothing else really behind. Davis has 18 and 14 rebounds in the last two games respectively and is looking much healthier this time around. The usage is at solid levels and he has 16 or more shot attempts in six of the last seven games. He’s a bit riskier than the expensive guards mentioned above, but has a high floor in this game.
Myles Turner FD - $7800 DK - $7300
Opponent - HOU
Proj Pts FD - 42.92 DK - 43.03
Having exposure to this game could be key and Turner is playing 30+ minutes as long as the Pacers can keep the game close. He’s double-doubled in each of the last four games and is averaging three blocks per game in that span as well. There is a bit of concern about the minutes not being as high as some others at the position, but Turner on a fantasy points-per-minute basis is about as good as it gets in the NBA.
Nikola Jovic FD - $4000 DK - $3500
Opponent - WAS
Proj Pts FD - 23.61 DK - 25.52
Don’t get him confused with another guy who has a very similar name and an unbelievable set of skills. Jovic is the Heat rookie who’s been thrust into the starting lineup with Miami dealing with a host of injuries to its core group. Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, and Tyler Herro are all out for this game and leave a lot of minutes, usage, and peripheral stats on the table. Jovic started last game, played 24 minutes and finished with 13 points and three rebounds. It’s all set to increase this game and he’s coming cheap on both sites.