Welcome back football fans. Week four in the NFL is here and DFSR has you covered. Earlier in the week, we look at our top cash game picks and now it's time to look at some stacks that help us get to the top of or GPP contests. Let's get started.
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Opponent SEA
Proj Points FD - 24.26 DK - 24.26
Opponent SEA
Proj Points FD - 22.42 DK - 27.27
Opponent SEA
Proj Points FD - 11 DK - 13.68
The first meeting between these two teams was a huge fantasy letdown in a 19-9 win for the Seahawks but I won't let that get me away from stacking them again. The biggest difference here is just how much better Kyler Murray is with his top receiver DeAndre Hopkins back in the mix. In two games since returning, Kyler has completed 22 of 27 passes in Hopkins' direction with the star wideout having a combined 262 receiving yards in those games. With Hopkins back, Kyler has also seen his accuracy improve completing 69.8% of his passes in those two games(65% in six games without Hopkins). He is also coming off his best game of the season finally showing us his upside with 326 passing yards and three touchdowns. Finally, Kyler gives us big upside with his legs and has almost identical rushing numbers as Josh Allen.
While Hopkins is easily the top option in the offense, I do like double-stacking the Cardinals and a Kyler ceiling game will most definitely involve two pass-catchers. Rondale Moore will not only get a lot of single coverage but gets the more favorable matchup in the slot where he runs most of his routes. He flopped in the first game with DHop back but rebounded in a big way last week catching 7 of 8 targets for 92 yards and his first touchdown of the season.
Also consider getting some exposure to Zach Ertz(TE) in your Cardinals stacks. He has yet to give us the ceiling game we have been waiting for but leads all tight ends with 14 redzone targets this season so the upside is most definitely there.
Run it back with: Tyler Lockett or D.K. Metcalf in the passing game or in a Seattle leading & up late game script, run it back with Kenneth Walker who is projected to get 18-20 touches in this game
Opponent LV
Proj Points FD - 18.12 DK - 18.12
Opponent LV
Proj Points FD - 11.17 DK - 13.69
Opponent JAX
Proj Points FD - 17.75 DK - 21.59
It really feels like the field is paying up for the safety and upside in Josh Allen, going mid-range with Aaron Rodgers in the nut matchup for passing, or Justin Fields who is becoming Lamar Jackson and has looked elite rushing the ball lately. He now has a new pass-catchign option in Chase Claypool who came over in a trade over the past week. For me, I like pivoting off the chalk in this spot for GPP's as the bust rate is high. Don't get me wrong, the bust rate for the Jags is there as well but ownership will be about half meaning I won't need near as much exposure to have more than the field.
Trevor Lawrence has been the epitome of boom or bust lately with three games of 12 or fewer fantasy points and three games wtih 21 or more. At lower ownership, I am hoping for that 4-5x ceiling game in a plus matchup as the Raiders are 31st in DVOA against the pass and have given up the most fantasy points to quarterbacks. With the low price tag and fewer fantasy points to hit his ceiling, I don't think we need to double stack and will primarily be using Christian Kirk as my top option. Like his quarterback, he is very boom or bust for fantasy but the good news is their success correlates and both give us 4-5x PTS/$ upside this week. Running it back, I like Davante Adams whose price, and the success of Josh Jacobs, should keep his owenrship in check this week.
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