Welcome back football fans. Week four in the NFL is here and DFSR has you covered. Earlier in the week, we look at our top cash game picks and now it's time to look at some stacks that help us get to the top of or GPP contests. Let's get started.
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Opponent ATL
Proj Points FD - 22.86 DK - 22.86
Opponent ATL
Proj Points FD - 18.54 DK - 22.19
Opponent ATL
Proj Points FD - 12.31 DK - 14.85
The Bengals got the passing game going last week as Burrow put up a season-high 35 fantasy points on 300 yards passing and three touchdowns. While the offensive line is still bottom five in the league, Burrow is having a solid season throwing for 275 or more yards and multiple touchdowns in four of six games with 20+ fantasy points in each of those games. The Bengals are in another terrific spot this week against a poor Falcons defence that ranks 29th overall and 23rd against the pass.
Digging deeper, there is a lot of upside in this matchup as the Falcons have allowed the 5th most passing yards on deep balls this season(via NFL Savant), 2nd most yards to receivers on the outside, and 8th most to receivers on the inside. They have held running backs somewhat in check ranking 12th in fantasy points against which is another reason I am starting the passing game as they rank 25th or worse in fantasy points to QB, WR, and TE.
This is an offense I will be double stacking and it starts with Ja'Marr Chase who is coming off his best game of the season with 132 yards and two touchdowns and has been getting the volume all season with the 6th most targets overall. The aDOT(8.9) is down about 3-4 yards from last season but he has made up for it as he ranks 8th when looking at Air Yards + YAC. With the Falcons allowing more yards to the outside vs. the inside, Tee Higgins is next on my list and has a little deeper aDOT(9.8) and doesn't trail Chase by that much when looking at AY+YAC.
Run Back Option: Kyle Pitts as the one weakness of the Bengals' defense has been against the TE(19th in fantasy points to the position)
Opponent CLE
Proj Points FD - 25.66 DK - 25.66
Opponent CLE
Proj Points FD - 17.16 DK - 21.05
Opponent CLE
Proj Points FD - 8.71 DK - 10.58
With no Jalen Hurts or Josh Allen on the main slate, there is likely going to be a lot of ownership flowing to former MVP Lamar Jackson at the quarterback position. I am not worried about the chalk as this is such a great spot and in GPP formats, I will ultimately find separation in other areas. After opening the season with 3+ passing touchdowns in three straight games, Lamar has now gone three straight without throwing multiple touchdowns. The good news here is that he has still provided an elite floor with his rushing sitting 5th overall in rushing yards and yes, that includes running backs.
This is also a great spot to get back on track at home against a Browns defense that is 31st overall(27th vs the pass, 30th vs the rush) and just gave up 300 yards passing to Bailey Zappe and a pretty underwhelming Patriots roster. The Browns do rank 12th in fantasy points to tight ends but that also doesn't scare me as they just allowed Hunter Henry and Jonnu Smith to combine for 122 yards and a touchdown last week. This leads me to my top stacking option in Mark Andrews who has been more of a WR1 than a tight end this season commanding an insane 38% target share in the offense while tallying 89 or more receiving yards and a touchdown in four of his last five games.
Helping the upside and making this an intriguing double stack this week is the likely return of Rashod Bateman who hasn't played since week 4. He has flashed big upside this season and comes in with a team-leading 14.4 aDOT and 11.3 air yards per reception. Adding to that upside is the fact the Browns have allowed the 4th most yards to outside receivers and the 4th most yards on deep balls this season. If Bateman happens to be ruled out, I will probably just go with Andrews but you can also consider Devin Duvernay as a cheap stacking option, as well.
Run Back Option: Amari Cooper who leads the team with a 29% target share and has double-digit targets in four of his last five games
Opponent HOU
Proj Points FD - 19.19 DK - 19.19
Opponent HOU
Proj Points FD - 19.42 DK - 23.6
I think this stack comes in very low-owned this week for a couple of reasons. First of all, the above two stacks are going to be higher owned than normal with no Bills or Eagles on the slate and if people aren't paying right up at QB they will likely go way down to either Matt Ryan or Jimmy G who are in good spots, as well. Derek Carr falls right in the middle of those two and while the matchup doesn't look great on paper(HOU 8th in fantasy points to QB), the Texans defense gave up 286 passing yards to Trevor Lawrence last week and 340 to Justin Herbert the week before.
Not only does Carr give us leverage off the chalky QBs, but it also gives us leverage off of Josh Jacobs who is likely the highest-owned running back and it also appears Davante Adams will be very low-owned as the most expensive wideout on the slate. With Darren Waller now ruled out, it makes the stack pretty straightforward as Adams is getting a whopping 31% target share overall and 41% inside the redzone and could see even more on Sunday.
Run Back Option: Dameon Pierce or Brandin Cooks
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