Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 4

Welcome back football fans. Week four in the NFL is here and DFSR has you covered. Earlier in the week, we look at our top cash game picks and now it's time to look at some stacks that help us get to the top of or GPP contests. Let's get started.

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Game Stack - Atlanta Falcons/Cleveland Browns

Marcus Mariota FD 7300 DK 5600
Opponent CLE
Proj Points FD - 18.17 DK - 18.17
Drake London FD 6300 DK 6100
Opponent CLE
Proj Points FD - 10.84 DK - 13.31
Amari Cooper FD 7500 DK 6300
Opponent ATL
Proj Points FD - 14.25 DK - 17.57

I originally had the Raves/Bills game stack plugged into this spot but Doug talked about the high floor/high ceiling of stacking Allen and Diggs in the cash article so I am going to pivot off for a couple of reasons. First of all, stacking them together with a run-back of Mark Andrews is a very expensive route and leaves us value hunting at almost every other spot. Instead, I will go with a value quarterback in Marcus Mariota who has impressed early in the season returning at least 3x value in all three games. He faces a Browns defense that ranks 21st in DVOA against the pass and 21st in fantasy points to the quarterback position.

Picking who to stack with Mariota is fairly easy, as well with 57% of the targets going to two players. I lean towards Drake London who has been getting 32% of those and has been impressed in his rookie season with 54 or more yards in each game and has scored a touchdown in back-to-back games. He faces a Cleveland defense that ranks 23rd in fantasy points to wideouts and in terms of upside, has given up the 6th most completed deep balls and 4th most completed yards on those deep balls(via NFL Savant).

Choosing a run back is also fairly easy here as Jacoby Brissett has concentrated his targets as well and I will ride with wideout Amari Cooper who is getting 30% of those. He started out slow this season with just three catches in week one but has caught 16 of 21 targets in weeks two and three with back-to-back 100-yard games, reaching the endzone in both.

This stack is also very affordable and allows us to fill in with pieces of the more chalky Ravens and Bills game.

Contrarian Stack - Denver Broncos

Russell Wilson FD 7100 DK 6700
Opponent LV
Proj Points FD - 18.08 DK - 18.08
Courtland Sutton FD 6800 DK 6400
Opponent LV
Proj Points FD - 13.95 DK - 16.83
Darren Waller FD 6500 DK 5600
Opponent DEN
Proj Points FD - 10.49 DK - 13.08

There are only three games on the afternoon slate on Sunday and several reasons to avoid this game which is going to generate some very low ownership in my opinion. Helping that projected low ownership is the fact people will most likely be spending up for one of Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts, Lamar Jackson, or just paying right down to save salary and load up at running back, wide receiver, or tight end.

The other reason people will be avoiding this game is the fact Russ has not been cooking like Denver had hoped. Week one looked promising as he threw for 340 yards but hasn't topped 219 in each of the last two weeks and has just two touchdowns on the season. While there is a ton of risk in going back to Russ here there is also a lot of things to like starting with the low ownership and the fact he has two very good wide receivers. Then there is the matchup against the Raiders who rank 23rd in DVOA against the pass and 29th in fantasy points to the quarterback position. Then we look at some advanced metrics using PFF and see that Wilson's x-TD rate is almost four scores higher and while he has scored just 38.9 fantasy points, his x-fantasy points is 53.4 which is the third highest rate in the league.

I will be stacking him with Courtland Sutton this week who has outperformed Jerry Jeudy in almost every area including targets, catch %, yards per target, aDOT, and redzone usage. On the run back, the Broncos' defense has been Top 5 overall and 4th against the pass but has one glaring weakness. They have given up the 8th best catch rate to tight ends(75%) and rank 25th in fantasy points against the position. That combined with Waller's projected lower ownership(due to Andrews ownership and Waller's drops last week) has me liking him as my favorite option to pair with Russ and Sutton.

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