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DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 9/5/22
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Pitchers
Blake Snell FD 10300 DK 10200
Opponent - ARI (Ryne Nelson) Park - ARI
FD - 39.54 DK - 21.73
After a small blip on the radar against the Guardians, Snell got back on track shutting out the Giants over six innings while striking out eight batters. It was a continuation of a dominant second half where he has tallied a 2.30 ERA/2.69 xFIP and a 33% K rate while averaging 22.6 DK/39.5 FD points per game. He now gets a matchup against a D-Backs team that has been better in the second half but is bottom 10 against left-handed pitching. All things considered, Snell is my top pitcher in all formats on Monday.
Andrew Heaney FD 9400 DK 9600
Opponent - SF (Logan Webb) Park - SF
FD - 31.94 DK - 17.1
We can't talk about pitchers who have looked terrific and helped their teams' playoff pushes in the second half without mentioning Andrew Heaney. He dealt with injuries and only made three starts before the break but has been borderline dominant post-break tallying a 2.87 ERA/2.96 xFIP across seven starts while striking out a ridiculous 35% of batters. The Giants have been a Top 10 team against lefties but have really struggled overall in the second half so I am not worried at all and will have exposure to Heaney in all formats.
Also Consider: Kevin Gausman(TOR) and Taijuan Walker(NYM) on the early slate
Catcher/First Base
Harold Ramírez FD 3100 DK 3600
Opponent - BOS (Michael Wacha) Park - BOS
FD - 7.75 DK - 6.01
The Rays are right in the thick of the playoff race in the American League and for fantasy purposes provide a ton of PTS/$ value with no real superstar on their team. One of the players providing said value has been Harold Ramirez who has shined brightest since the start of July with a .359 average and while he lacks power upside has been very productive for fantasy with a .377 wOBA. The matchup may not top the charts as Wacha has been above-average this season, the Rays have got to him both times and his underlying numbers do point to some luck and upcoming regression. All things considered, Ramirez is a top PTS/$ play on this early slate, especially on DraftKings at just $3100.
José Abreu FD 3600 DK 4400
Opponent - SEA (Marco Gonzales) Park - SEA
FD - 8.58 DK - 6.5
While the White Sox can seem to shake the inconsistency in terms of winning, their offence has been terrific over the last week averaging six runs per game. They make a great team to stack with one of the big boy teams as well given their value pricing and heading that ship is Jose Abreu. He has been a PTS/$ beast lately with hits in 17 of his last 20 games including 11 multi-hit efforts resulting in a .390 average with .387 wOBA/156 wRC+ in that span. He is red-hot, hits lefties well, and comes at a bit of a buy low so fire him up in all formats.
Second Base
Kolten Wong FD 3500 DK 3800
Opponent - COL (Ryan Feltner) Park - COL
FD - 11.27 DK - 8.67
The Brewers will head into and will be popular with their value prices but that isn't the only reason. Let's start with Wong who is projected to hit leadoff for a third straight game which brings its own value boost but he also comes in playing well with hits in six of his last seven games including three multi-hit efforts and six extra-base hits(three 2B, three HR). He and the Brew Crew also get a plus matchup against Ryan Feltner who has given up three or more earned runs in seven of his last eight starts(6.37 ERA/4.81 xFIP) and at least one home run in six straight. If back leading off, Wong is my top PTS/$ play on this slate.
Luis Rengifo FD 2400 DK 3800
Opponent - DET (Tyler Alexander) Park - DET
FD - 11.34 DK - 8.74
On the main slate, I am focused on the Angels and while Trout and Ohtani are going to be hard to fit if we are paying up for pitching, they are surrounded by value. It starts with Rengifo who has been a solid contributor for the Angels in the second half and despite only walking 2.5% of the time, is hitting .273 in that span and has a 111 wRC+. Better yet, he hits in the top half of the lineup behind those superstars and has been very good against lefties(.388 wOBA/155 wRC+). In a plus matchup against Tyler Alexander, I will have exposure to the value in all formats.
Shortstop
Willy Adames FD 3800 DK 5500
Opponent - COL (Ryan Feltner) Park - COL
FD - 14.58 DK - 11.04
Adames is the most expensive Brewers bat on this slate but considering there are 10 players in the $6K range today, this feels like a bargain. It starts with the matchup against Ryan Feltner who has struggled to a 6.37 ERA/4.81 xFIP over his last eight starts and has given up at least one home run in six straight. For Adames, he is coming off an 0-fer on Sunday but went into the game with hits in 13 of his previous 15 games with a .313/.348/.531 slash line. I will be loading up on the Brew Crew today and it's centered around Adames at the top of the order.
David Fletcher FD 2200 DK 3100
Opponent - DET (Tyler Alexander) Park - DET
FD - 8.61 DK - 6.8
I mentioned the Angels' value above with Rengifo and Fletcher checks even more boxes here today. He hits leadoff in front of Trout, Ohtani, and Rengifo and while he isn't going to win you a GPP on his own, he has been incredibly consistent since the start of August hitting .318 and is a very tough out striking out under 10% of the time. Even with all those things going for him, he comes cheaper thanRengifo on both sites making him my top value on the entire slate allowing us to easily load up on pitching and a couple of big bats.
Third Base
Manny Machado FD 4500 DK 5900
Opponent - ARI (Ryne Nelson) Park - ARI
FD - 13.22 DK - 10.03
The Padres are in a terrific spot on the main slate tonight as they face a rookie in Ryne Nelson making his MLB debut after struggling to a 5.43 ERA/5.56 xFIP in AAA this season. The building block of the offence is most definitely Manny Machado who comes in with an eight-game hit streak including four multi-hit efforts, four home runs and 12 RBI in that span. This run has pushed his season totals to another MVP-like season(.306/.374/.546 slash line) while helping the Padres push for the NL wildcard. He is one of the top plays to build around in all formats tonight.
Also Consider: Yandy Diaz(TB) leading off for the Rays or Ryan McMahon(COL) who is projected to leadoff for the Rockies at home on the early slate
Outfield
Hunter Renfroe FD 4200 DK 4500
Opponent - COL (Ryan Feltner) Park - COL
FD - 13.81 DK - 10.37
Finishing off my favourite stack of the day is Hunter Renfroe who checks all the boxes. He comes in scorching hot with hits in 11 straight games including five multi-hit efforts and gets a plus matchup against Ryan Feltner in Coors Field. I will be stacking him with Wong and Adames as a 1-2-3 stack and while they may not be locks on FanDuel, the price is surprisingly low on DraftKings where all of their best values lie. Lock and load.
Juan Soto FD 3900 DK 5600
Opponent - ARI (Ryne Nelson) Park - ARI
FD - 14.39 DK - 10.74
Soto ended his mini-slump on Sunday with a pair of hits in the finale with the Dodgers and now comes into Monday at one of his lowest prices on the season on DraftKings. While the average(.248) is down overall, he still gets on base at an elite rate(.408 OBP), has a ton of power upside(24 HR and a .224 ISO), and is extremely productive with a .385 woBA/149 wRC+. On top of that, he gets an elite matchup against a pitcher making a spot start after struggling mightily at the AAA level this season. Let's buy-low on Soto and stack him with Machado in this elite spot tonight.
