A Huge Over/Under In Coors Highlights DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 8/12/22

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Pitchers

Max Scherzer FD 11400 DK 10900
Opponent - PHI (Ranger Suárez) Park - PHI
FD - 44.33 DK - 25.09

Scherzer has, once again, been lights out this season striking out batters at a 32% clip and walking them only 4.6% of the time. He’s sporting a sub-2 ERA and comes into this game as a -200 favorite against the Phillies. He’s very expensive though for good reason considering he has as much upside as any pitcher in the game. With a game in Coors rostering expensive bats might make it all a tough fit, but Scherzer makes for a tough fade every time he takes the mound.

Luis Garcia FD 8700 DK 9800
Opponent - OAK (Adam Oller) Park - OAK
FD - 42.37 DK - 22.69

Garcia comes in as the best moneyline win odds pitcher on the slate, and it’s for good reason. He’s -300 against the Athletics who own the second-worst team wOBA in the league after the Tigers and have been in a battle for the basement all season long. Garcia is having a decent season with he strikeouts, putting down more than a batter per nine and has been able to average 5.6 innings per start. Considering the savings you get with him and the matchup, he could be a chalk cash game option who allows you to roster some bigger bats.

Catcher/First Base

Christian Walker FD 3800 DK 4100
Opponent - COL (Antonio Senzatela) Park - COL
FD - 13.38 DK - 10.15

We’ve got a game in Coors with a run line that’s sitting at 12.5 runs, about the highest you will ever see in a baseball game. And the projected runs are about even on both sides, so we are staring down almost a full game stack here. Walker has 26 home runs on the season with an 11.7% walk rate and a 19% K rate. The mid-700s OPS is mostly because he’s running about 100 points off his career BABIP average. He’s a great play here.

Brandon Belt FD 2500 DK 3200
Opponent - PIT (Bryse Wilson) Park - PIT
FD - 12.28 DK - 9.15

If looking to save a little money, and you’ll probably need to at a couple of different points in the lineup, then Belt is a good option on both sites. He’s likely to hit second in the order for the Giants here and is facing off against a pitcher in Wilson who’s struggled to put guys away at the major league level. The Giants have a run line pushing up against 5.0 and Belt isn’t going to break the bank.

Strongly consider C.J. Cron (FD $4300 DK $5200)

Second Base

Josh Rojas FD 3400 DK 4800
Opponent - COL (Antonio Senzatela) Park - COL
FD - 14.58 DK - 11.17

Ketel Marte FD 3900 DK 4800
Opponent - COL (Antonio Senzatela) Park - COL
FD - 14.19 DK - 10.86

Both of these guys qualify at 2B and both are good options on this slate. They should hit first and third in the order against Senzatela and have some pretty high upside in this game. Rojas doesn’t strike out all that much, a great thing for Coors and has speed on the base paths with 13 stolen bases this season. The mid-700s OPS plays though he doesn’t have much in the way of power, though there is a little pop from time to time.

Meanwhile, Marte isn’t going back to the 32 home run season from 2019, but he will still hit one here and there. He has 10 on the season and one could make the case that he’s run bad on his Hr/FB ratio so far. Like Rojas, he is tough to strike out, walks about 11% of the time, and when it comes to Coors we just want you making contact and getting on base. Marte does those two things well.

Strongly consider Brendan Rodgers (FD $3500 DK $4900) who should be hitting third again for the Rockies.

Shortstop

Shortstop is looking pretty rough on this slate and, for the time being, I think we are going to want to get away from it on the cheaper side. There are some decent punt options though none are going to blow your doors off. That being said, I don’t think it makes sense to spend all the way up for some of the more elite guys at the position because the matchups just don’t warrant it.

Some dudes to consider include Geraldo Perdomo (FD $3000 DK $2500) hitting near the bottom of the DBacks’ lineup.

José Iglesias (FD $3200 DK $4200) is hitting second for the Rockies though is coming a little expensive. That being said, he puts the ball in play a ton and is running hot on the OPS.

Brandon Crawford (FD $2300 DK $2000) is coming at or near the minimums on both sites.

Third Base

Ryan McMahon FD 3400 DK 4500
Opponent - ARI (Zach Davies) Park - ARI
FD - 13.65 DK - 10.32

Elehuris Montero FD 2700 DK 2700
Opponent - ARI (Zach Davies) Park - ARI
FD - 12.04 DK - 9.15

Though these guys aren’t hitting near the top of the Rockies order, we aren’t paying through the nose for either one. McMahon should be in the fifth slot for Colorado and comes in with a .733 OPS on the season. For his career, he’s significantly better at home (duh) with an .837 OPS and .223 ISO in the friendly confines of Coors. And the numbers look even better at home against righties. We are getting him at a bit of a discount.

Meanwhile, Montero has only been in the majors for a short stint now and is hitting seventh in the lineup. I usually wouldn’t recommend a cash play hitting that low in the order, but he’s coming cheap on both sites, especially DraftKings, and that allows for some flexibility. He projects to have some power on the major league level and did show some patience at the plate in his minor league time.

Outfield

Juan Soto FD 4000 DK 5900
Opponent - WSH (Cory Abbott) Park - WSH
FD - 16.46 DK - 12.28

We haven’t strayed too far from the game in Coors, and for good reason, though I do think it’s worth it to make mention of Soto here. The Padres has a 5.6 implied run line in Washington against Cory Abbott. This has nothing to do with any kind of revenge game (remember, Soto didn’t want to stay in Washington) but it makes for a fun narrative nonetheless. The 23-year-old is among the best hitters in the game and is in a great matchup.

Alek Thomas FD 3200 DK 3800
Opponent - COL (Antonio Senzatela) Park - COL
FD - 13.59 DK - 10.53

Daulton Varsho FD 3700 DK 4200
Opponent - COL (Antonio Senzatela) Park - COL
FD - 13.97 DK - 10.64

Thomas and Varsho should hit second and fifth in the order respectively in the matchup against the righty Senzatela and neither will cost an arm, nor a leg all things considered. Thomas, like some of his teammates, doesn’t go down on strikes much, putting the ball in play about 75% of the time this season. When playing in the mile-high air, getting the ball out there is the key to putting up a lot of runs. He doesn’t have tons of power, but the price and lineup placement wins out here.

Varsho has moved down in the order over the course of the season but this is still a guy with 16 home runs while adding seven stolen bases as well. For his career, he’s been significantly better against righties with a .778 OPS and 110 wRC+ that stand in sharp contrast to what he does against southpaws.

Strongly consider Charlie Blackmon (FD $3900 DK $4800)

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