Milwaukee Bucks' Giannis Antetokounmpo drives against Charlotte Hornets' Jeremy Lamb during an NBA basketball game Saturday, March 26, 2016, in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
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Opponent - BOS
Proj Pts FD - 45.56 DK - 48.73
Holiday was good in the first round against the Bulls but has been great in this second-round matchup against the Celtics defense that ranked #1 in defensive efficiency during the regular season. It starts with the heavy usage he has seen taking 20 or more shots in all three games while averaging 23 real points and over 44 fantasy points per game. Despite the rising price, there is still a ton of upside here as he has shot just 37% in those games while averaging 50% over 67 regular-season games. He is my top guard on this slate and in play in all formats.
Opponent - MEM
Proj Pts FD - 35.39 DK - 39.09
Poole was relied on heavily in 2022 with injuries to both Klay Thompson and Steph Curry and took a huge step forward in his third season in the league. It has also been fascinating to see how he has adapted in the playoff run as well as he started each game against Denver in round one but has been dramatically better since returning to a bench/6th man role against the Grizzlies. He is averaging over 34 minutes, has taken 16+ shots and tallied 20+ points in all three games, and from a fantasy perspective, is averaging 41.6 DK/39 FD points per game. He provides a high floor and also adds some upside putting him in play in all formats on both sites.
Opponent - GS
Proj Pts FD - 29.67 DK - 31.82
Superstar Ja Morant is doubtful for game four on Monday with a knee injury and that should give Tyus Jones his first start of the playoffs. He made 23 starts during the regular season in games in which Morant missed and was very productive for fantasy playing just over 30 minutes a game and averaging 29 fantasy points per game. Given his sub $4K price tag on both sites, he is likely one of the chalkiest plays on the slate and I am on board in all formats on this small slate where I want 2-3 top plays in my lineup.
Opponent - GS
Proj Pts FD - 33 DK - 35.02
After being ejected early in game two and suspended for game 3, Dillon Brooks is back in the Memphis lineup tonight, and boy will they need him with Ja Morant doubtful to play and the Grizz down 2-1 in the series. With Ja off the floor in the regular season, Brooks saw his usage rate climb above 30% while tallying close to 1.1 fantasy points per minute on each site. His floor tonight is likely around 16-18 shots with upside of 25+ and so at these prices on a two-game slate, he is an excellent value in all formats.
Opponent - BOS
Proj Pts FD - 65.43 DK - 68.84
Giannis is our top projected player on the slate and fitting that giant price tag is much easier this time around with all the unexpected value created by Ja Morant's expected absence. Price is of no concern to me, as well, when we are talking a 50-point fantasy floor and near 80 upside which he has shown throughout the playoffs. He has also seen some insane usage in this series taking 25, 27, and 30 shots while averaging close to a triple-double(31.3 pts, 11.3 reb, 9 ast per game). Don't overthink it and build around Giannis in all formats.
Opponent - GS
Proj Pts FD - 35.78 DK - 36.67
Given the small slate and opportunity created with superstar Ja Morant doubtful and likely out, the Grizzlies are likely heavy chalk on this slate so let's finish things up with one more. Jackson would be number three on my list only because I prefer the value with Brooks and Tyus a little more limiting the salary cap risk if the game turns into a blowout. He has been more consistent against the Warriors in round two dropping 28 or more DK points in all three games and showed his upside with 52 DK points in game one. That is the range I have him for tonight which puts him in play in all formats.
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