Dallas Mavericks' Luka Doncic shoots free throws during an NBA basketball game against the Los Angeles Lakers in Dallas, Thursday, April 22, 2021. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)
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Opponent - LAL
Proj Pts FD - 56.39 DK - 61.88
The Mavericks are big, -12 home favorites against the Lakers on Tuesday, and for good reason. They will be facing a Los Angeles team without Lebron James and Anthony Davis and should coast to a pretty easy win. But we should still play Luka in cash here without hesitation. Even for a four-seed, Dallas is still fighting to stay out of the play-in game and this win could almost seal it they will stick in the top six. Luka is Luka, averaging 30 points, nine rebounds, and seven assists over the last month, and will now face a Lakers team ranked 21st on defense and allowing the fifth-most fantasy points to opponents over the last two months.
Opponent - BKN
Proj Pts FD - 39.62 DK - 43.18
Jerami Grant is going to sit the rest of the season and this is now fully Cade’s team for the remainder. The rookie has played 35 or more minutes in 10 of the last 12 games and in that stretch has averaged 22 points, seven rebounds, and seven assists while also getting to two blocks+steals. He’s just becoming an elite fantasy performer, well in line with expectation considering the pedigree. He’s a little expensive on DraftKings, but not on FanDuel where he’s still coming under $8K. There is definitely blowout concern here against Brooklyn who is -13.5 home favorites and desperately needing a win. But I think we can take the risk on Cade here because there is, for sure, upside.
Opponent - DAL
Proj Pts FD - 40.58 DK - 45.46
Well, the Lakers are officially a mess. Lebron James is doubtful with an ankle injury, Anthony Davis still isn’t back and now they sit only a half-game out of the 11th seed thanks to a Spurs win over the Rockets on Monday. They are in real danger of being fully out of the playoff picture. And now they come in as huge underdogs to the Mavericks. But this game, if it stays close, could feature a ton of minutes for Westbrook as one of the team’s last few “offensive” players. It’s still a stretch considering how much he’s fallen off a cliff this season, but we have to consider him because of the context around the team right now. There are still hints of triple-double in him when things are going well (not often) and that upside alone and with the Lakers’ injury situation makes him a play.
Opponent - CHI
Proj Pts FD - 21.87 DK - 22.74
Satoransky is still coming very cheap on both sites and should remain in the starting lineup for the Wizards on Tuesday against the Bulls. Though Washington isn’t playing for anything at this point, they are messing around with different lineup combos which has had Sato as a starter for the last couple. He isn’t a crazy high ceiling guy, but has managed an 8/ 7/ 3/ 1.5 line over the last couple which is fine enough considering these pretty low price points. I think the’s definitely a FanDuel considering if it helps you pay up for some of the higher-priced, more sure thing plays on this slate.
Opponent - BKN
Proj Pts FD - 32.3 DK - 35.31
Like we said with Cade Cunningham, now that Jerami Grant is out of the mix for the rest of the season, there will be much more for the young guys to get up to on the court. Unlike Cade, it’s much harder to trust Bey on a game-to-game basis. Sure, he dropped 51 points six games ago (with all of the other Pistons sitting out), but he’s managed only 77 points total in the five games since then. So yeah, it’s a mixed bag. But it’s also what’s kept his price in check here, especially on FanDuel. I don’t mind stacking him and Cunningham here against the Nets even with the blowout risk.
Opponent - CHI
Proj Pts FD - 21.42 DK - 23.58
Look, I know that it’s almost completely impossible to trust the minutes coming out of the Washington Wizards on a game-to-game basis. They mess around with that (especially for their starters) as much as any team in the league. But Kispert is coming off playing 40 minutes on Sunday against the Warriors, a game that saw him shoot 9-12 from the field (6-9 from three) and drop in 25 points. There is a risk-reward here because he doesn’t get a ton of shots up in the offense (even when starting) and really needs to hit his shots from behind the arc to be a value. But the price is low enough, especially on DK that I think he’s a fine punt play here.
Opponent - DAL
Proj Pts FD - 30.73 DK - 32.29
Opponent - DAL
Proj Pts FD - 24.8 DK - 26.97
Well, we’ve reached the part of the season where I’m writing up Dwight Howard and Wenyen Gabriel as cash game plays and not actually feeling all that bad about it. Congratulations universe, you win. These two are in line for more minutes against the Mavs with Lebron likely out and Davis still not back. Howard has played 28 and 33 minutes respectively over the last two games (both losses, shocker) and averaged 16 points and nine rebounds. The price is way too low on both sites as long as he’s starting and can manage somewhere in the mid-20s in terms of minutes.
And then there is Gabriel who is here because he’s cheap and should see a decent number of minutes with the Lakers banged up. He has some rebounding upside at these prices and is coming cheap enough on both sites. Look, the Lakers are a mess right now and their role players are coming at close to punt prices. You have to consider them in this matchup simply for the savings.
Opponent - BKN
Proj Pts FD - 34.14 DK - 36.45
Opponent - BKN
Proj Pts FD - 29.8 DK - 31.41
I see both of these guys more as DraftKings plays than FanDuel and I still hold some of the same reservations around the blowout risk that I mentioned with Cade and Bey. Brooklyn has gotten harder to rebound against with the addition of Andre Drummond, so it might be tough to find upside there. But both of these guys are coming off playing big minutes last time out with the Pistons a little thinner in the frontcourt now. In the game against the Knicks, with Grant out, Bagley ran 35 minutes and put up 27 points, and seven rebounds. Meanwhile, Stewart added a double-double with 10 points and 10 rebounds. These two are both coming totally reasonably priced on DK and considering it’s really only Olynyk behind them with any size, the minutes should be there as long as it’s not a total rout.
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