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DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Monday 2/28
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Point Guard
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander FD - $9600 DK - $9600
Opponent - SAC
Proj Pts FD - 48.71 DK - 51.22
The Thunder will be without Josh Giddey for the second straight game on Monday and that means another heavy workload for SGA. Despite turning the ball over seven times last game, he was en Fuego playing 38 minutes, shooting 13 for 24, and dropping one of his best fantasy performances(60.5 DK/61.1 FD) of the season. The price only ticked up slightly and he now gets an elite matchup against the Kings who rank 29th in defensive efficiency and 6th in pace. Fire up SGA in all formats tonight.
Brandon Goodwin FD - $5300 DK - $5200
Opponent - MIN
Proj Pts FD - 31.19 DK - 33.5
To say the Cavs are short guards tonight would be an understatement as all three of Garland, LeVert and Rondo are out. Goodwin has been the benefactor of getting more playing time and has put up double-digit shot attempts in back-to-back games and is set to get his second straight start after playing 38 minutes against the Wizards on Saturday. The shooting was nothing to get excited for(2-11 for 8 pts) but he did provide six assists and five rebounds to help him pay off. The price has gone up here but the PTS/$ floor is still high considering the opportunity and the matchup is decent as well as Minnesota ranks 17th in defensive efficiency and is a huge pace-up spot as they are also 6th in that area. Goodwin is a top value play on both sites.
Shooting Guard
Malcolm Brogdon FD - $5800 DK - $7100
Opponent - ORL
Proj Pts FD - 34.77 DK - 37.67
Tyrese Haliburton FD - $9200 DK - $8600
Opponent - ORL
Proj Pts FD - 40.42 DK - 42.72
The new-look Pacers have struggled to find wins(2-4) since the trade but are chock-full of fantasy production at the guard position so let's just list both here. Let's start with Brogdon who is having a very solid fantasy season thanks to a balanced effort. Before the Achilles injury in mid-December, he averaged 19.7 points, 5.5 rebounds, and 6.2 assists for fantasy average just shy of 40 points per game. He was eased back in upon his return and has started to get that game back going 13 for 27 with 10 rebounds and nine assists over his last two games. While he stands out MUCH more on FanDuel under $6K, the price on DraftKings isn't out of the question as it is still close to $2K below his season-high.
For Haliburton, he has flourished on his new team playing no less than 35 min in any of the six games while taking double-digit shot attempts in each. He has also been very productive with that usage averaging a double-double on 19.8 points and 10.7 assists. The price is on the rise but in a matchup against a Magic team that ranks 23rd in defense and 10th in pace, I will have exposure in all formats, especially on FanDuel.
Tre Mann FD - $7200 DK - $5400
Opponent - SAC
Proj Pts FD - 32.4 DK - 34.74
It has been an up and down stretch for Mann since joining the starting lineup at the end of January but things are sure trending up in the very short term. He comes into tonight with 35+ DraftKings points in four straight games and with Josh Giddey out on Friday, is coming off is best fantasy performance of the season dropping 40 DK points against the Pacers. Giddey is out again on Monday and that gives Mann a high floor in terms of opportunity(32+ min) and usage(15+ shots). He is almost priced out on FanDuel here but is a near lock on DraftKings in the mid $5K range. lock and load.
Small Forward
Anthony Edwards FD - $7000 DK - $7000
Opponent - CLE
Proj Pts FD - 37.86 DK - 40.66
Scottie Barnes FD - $5700 DK - $5700
Opponent - BKN
Proj Pts FD - 31.92 DK - 33.82
First of all, I hate the small forward position tonight and it's the reason I am grouping these two together. Do I trust either of them? Hell no! The thing that stands out the most here is that their inconsistencies have helped lower and suppress their prices which offers a nice buy-low and tons of PTS/$ upside. Let's start with Edwards who sits at a season-low price on DraftKings and if you are boxscore hunting you can easily see why. The shooting has been just terrible recently as he is making just 22% of his shots over the last four games and while this is a tougher matchup against the Cavs(3rd in def eff) they are short-handed and the price meets the opportunity.
For Barnes, it comes down to a combination of the price down and the fact OG Anunoby is out of the lineup for a third straight game. The Raptors were blown out in the first two games without OG but Barnes looked good in the first one making 13 of 18 shots and posting 38 fantasy points. He also gets the better matchup of the two listed as the Nets rank 20th in defense, 11th in pace, and have given up 117 or more points in three straight.
Power Forward/Center
Giannis Antetokounmpo FD - $11500 DK - $12000
Opponent - CHA
Proj Pts FD - 62.47 DK - 65.71
There are very few players in the league where the price doesn't really matter and right at(or near) the top is Giannis. It's all about loading up on the near-guaranteed fantasy production as he comes into tonight with at least 50 DK points in 10 of his last 13 games while averaging just over 60 in that time. Yes, this is the largest spread on the slate(MIL -10) with some blowout risk but also has the highest total and Giannis hasn't been affected as much in these situations. With more than enough value on this slate, Giannis is easily our top overall play and it shows as he leads the way in raw points projection, and it's not particularly close.
Isaiah Jackson FD - $6200 DK - $5800
Opponent - ORL
Proj Pts FD - 35.54 DK - 34.97
It is a bit speculative at this point but as of writing this, Jackson is one of the top PTS/$ big men on this slate. It will largely depend on the minutes as he missed three games prior to the ASB and played just 23 and 20 in his return but was productive in those games dropping 10 of 13 shots with 10 rebounds and an eye-popping eight blocks. If he gets his minutes ticked up to even 28 tonight, I love the play in a great matchup vs a Magic team that is 23rd in defensive efficiency, 10th in pace, and 24th in rebounding. Stay for more news closer to lock.
Also Consider: Andre Drummond(BKN) who matches up well against Khem Birch and has averaged 33 fantasy points per game since joining the Nets
