Minnesota Timberwolves center Karl-Anthony Towns (32) in the first half during a preseason NBA basketball game against the Phoenix Suns, Tuesday, Oct. 8, 2019, in Phoenix. (AP Photo/Rick Scuteri)
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Opponent - MIN
Proj Pts FD - 46.55 DK - 49.91
Morant is somewhat of a longshot for the MVP award(+1400) at the halfway point but has definitely entered the conversation in a big way in 2022 and likely for years to come. He went into the fantasy break with a great matchup against Portland and crushed with a 44-5-11 line and now comes out of the break with another elite matchup. While the T-Wolves are league average in terms of defensive efficiency, this game has a monster total(239) due to the projected pace as both teams rank Top 10 in that area. The price is now consistently in the $10K range on both sites which I am fine with considering the 45 fantasy point floor and 70 point upside. Lock and load in all formats.
Opponent - DET
Proj Pts FD - 26.04 DK - 27.63
With both Darius Garland and Caris LeVert out tonight, Rondo should step into a starting role and if that's the case will be a lock in all formats at a sub $4K price tag. Right now we have him projected for 29 minutes and the last two times he has seen that kind of time on the floor he went for 40+ DK points in each. I would fully expect double-digit attempts here but he has also been solid in providing secondary stat value which helps give him a very high floor as well. All things considered, he will be a top PTS/$ for us tonight but make sure to check back for starting lineups prior to lock.
Keep an eye on the status of Cameron Payne(PHO) who is reportedly slated to return Thursday and enter the starting lineup with Chris Paul out. Stay tuned for more news and starting lineups.
Opponent - OKC
Proj Pts FD - 46.41 DK - 49.76
Opponent - OKC
Proj Pts FD - 26.59 DK - 28.39
The Suns have been dominant this season with a league-high 48 wins at the All-Star break but open up the second half without their best player in Chris Paul who is set to miss 6-8 weeks with a thumb injury. While Paul had a sub 20% usage rate, his absence most definitely creates fantasy value throughout and it starts with Devin Booker who is in the sub $9K range on both sites. With Paul in the lineup, he has averaged 44 DK/42.7 FD points per game going back to the start of January. I have that as his floor without Paul which leaves a ton of room for upside. Aaron Holiday is projected to jump into the starting lineup with Cameron Payne still questionable to return from injury. If he was to geet the start, it would push him into Rondo territory in terms of top values on the slate. Stay tuned.
Also Consider: Gary Payton(GSW) who is expected to get the start tonight and is near min price on both sites and helps us load up on 3-4 top plays
Opponent - MIN
Proj Pts FD - 34.42 DK - 37.26
Back to this game with the monster total and while the price is again on the rise for Bane, it is still below his season-high. That is great news as he has been providing a rock-solid floor and it starts with the usage as he has averaged just under 15 shots per game over his last 11 games and has made the most of them averaging 32.9 DK/32 FD points per game. I will have exposure in all formats and love the Morant/Bane/KAT stack for GPP formats.
Opponent - GS
Proj Pts FD - 33.04 DK - 34.54
With Nurk on the shelf for at least four weeks, there are going to be minutes to go around for the Blazers' and Winslow will be one who benefits a ton. Since entering the starting lineup five games ago, Winslow has been very consistent for fantasy averaging 13.2 points, 7.4 rebounds, 3.8 assists, and 2.8 stocks while topping 30 fantasy points in each of those games. He draws a tough matchup against the Warriors but will now see some added usage/fantasy upside so I am fine with it on DraftKings where the price is still somewhat suppressed.
Opponent - MEM
Proj Pts FD - 46.84 DK - 50.01
I mentioned Ja Morant to open the article and it's going to be hard not to stack him with KAT in this game with a monster 239 total as both teams love pushing the ball(both Top 10 in pace). The T-Wolves actually have the better matchup as the Grizzlies rank 18th in defensive efficiency as well but with most of the starting five priced up where there the PTS/$ returns are inconsistent, I will be turning to Towns as my top play. I love that he is under $10K on both sites and is averaging a double-double(24.3 pts/10.5 reb) and 48.9 DK/47.2 FD points per game going back to the start of January. Top play in all formats.
Opponent - CHI
Proj Pts FD - 24.35 DK - 26.89
There is some excellent value throughout this slate and Gallinari is another one of my favorites with John Collins doubtful and set to miss his fourth straight game tonight. It has been an up and down venture for Gallinari since stepping into a starting role as he nearly put up a donut against the Celtics but has rebounded nicely with 33 and 20 DK points in each of his last two starts. What stands out the most here and has me liking his floor and ceiling is the fact this game has a monster total(234.5) and is expected to stay close throughout. I will have exposure in all formats.
Also Consider: Trendon Watford(POR) who is likely to get a start with Nurkic injured and is near min price on both sites or Nikola Vucevic(CHI) who could come a bit low owned tonight and has an elite floor and terrific matchup
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