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DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Thursday 2/17
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Point Guard
Luka Doncic FD - $11300 DK - $12400
Opponent - NO
Proj Pts FD - 55.55 DK - 60.93
While Luka isn't going to pop when looking at PTS/$ at his current price, it is not hard to fit his crazy high floor in terms of raw fantasy points with the abundance of value created with six of the nine top-priced players out. Luka has been elite and one of the best fantasy plays in basketball lately averaging a near triple-double(28.4 pts, 10.1 reb, 9.5 last) and 60 DK/55.7 FD points per game going back to the start of January. While this game does have the lowest total on this slate it is a plus matchup as the Pels ranks 21st in defensive efficiency and this game is expected to stay close.
Raul Neto FD - $4800 DK - $4600
Opponent - BKN
Proj Pts FD - 25.2 DK - 27.31
Straight to one of the value plays that can help us roster Luka comfortably tonight. Neto has stepped into a starting role over the last four games and been productive from a fantasy standpoint averaging over 6.5x PTS/$ on DraftKings while playing 28 or more minutes in each. It's another low total game but he faces a Brooklynn team that ranks 19th in defensive efficiency and 11th in pace and missing their top three players. I will have exposure to Neto in all formats tonight.
Shooting Guard
Seth Curry FD - $6000 DK - $5500
Opponent - WAS
Proj Pts FD - 32.57 DK - 36.1
I mentioned the Nets being short their three best players which has pushed newly acquired Seth Curry into a heavy-usage role and at his price is one of our top projected PTS/$ plays. Through two games with the Nets, he has drooped 17 of 32 shots which includes 9 of 17 from behind the arc and 30+ fantasy points in both. The price remains in a buy-low situation as it has actually dropped since last night on DraftKings while he faces a Wizards team that ranks 22nd in defense. Look for Curry to be in every optimized lineup by lineup lock.
Terance Mann FD - $5900 DK - $5100
Opponent - HOU
Proj Pts FD - 29.03 DK - 31.35
Mann is coming off a complete disaster fantasy effort against a very tough Suns defense but the good news here is that he now gets the nuts matchup(30th in def eff, 1st in pace) against the Rockets. More good news as the minutes have been safe in the short term as he has started three straight and before last games dud, had tallied 26 or more DK points in five straight games. There is a chance of a blowout here but I think the price is still low enough where the floor is still safe for cash games and in GPP lineups, I would suggest stacking with one or more Rockets players.
Small Forward
Kyle Kuzma FD - $7700 DK - $9000
Opponent - BKN
Proj Pts FD - 44.55 DK - 48.29
It seems we have Kuzma in our articles daily but he has delivered in a huge way averaging a double-double on 21.4 points and 10.1 rebounds per game going back to the start of January which is a 21-game sample size. He has also seen a short-term spike in assists with six or more in four of the last five games and despite the spike in price on DraftKings has hit 5x at the current price in three of the last four, as well. I am likely not playing him in cash games on DraftKings but on FanDuel he is a near-lock in all formats under $8K at the tough SF position.
Eric Gordon FD - $4100 DK - $3800
Opponent - LAC
Proj Pts FD - 22.09 DK - 24.94
Tough not to target this high total game(228.5) on a five-game slate despite the blowout risk(LAC-10.5) and Gordon's price makes it so much easier. He has looked terrific since returning from a three-game absence playing 29 and 38 minutes and coming off a game against a tough Phoenix defense last night where he took 24 shots and put up 28 DK/26 FD points. The matchup may not stand out on paper(LAC 8th in def eff) but the Clippers have struggled as of late losing four of their last six games while giving up an average of 114.7 points per game. Gordon has a high floor at these prices even if only getting 28-30 minutes tonight and the upside is 35+ again which gives him elite PTS/$ upside as well. I will have exposure in all formats.
Power Forward/Center
Bam Adebayo FD - $9500 DK - $8400
Opponent - CHA
Proj Pts FD - 46.48 DK - 48.86
Bam is pretty much priced out on FanDuel but stands out as a top PTS/$ big man on DraftKings tonight. Going back to his return from injury in mid-January(15 games), Bam has averaged a double-double(18.7 pts/10.1 reb) and 42.7 DK points per game and comes in ever hotter with 43+ DK points in six of his last seven games. He now gets an elite matchup against a Hornets team that ranks 24th in defensive efficiency and is tied with the Rockets for #1 in pace. Lock and load in all formats on DraftKings.
Andre Drummond FD - $6600 DK - $6000
Opponent - WAS
Proj Pts FD - 35.12 DK - 35.81
Drummond's price is slowly on the rise but based on his performances through two games on a short-handed Nets team, he should probably be in the $7K range making him a top PTS/$ big man once again on Thursday. Despite only playing 23 and 24 minutes, Drumm has managed 18 shots in the offense and has posted 11/9/4 and 11/19/2 lines in those games. Both teams are playing on a back-to-back here but the price alone makes him a strong play on both sites.
